NK cell findings may have treatment implications

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NK cell findings may have treatment implications

NK cell destroying a cancer cell

Credit: St Jude Children’s

Research Hospital

Researchers say they’ve gained new insight into the production of natural killer (NK) cells.

And their findings may help them generate greater numbers of the cells in culture, which could have implications for the treatment of leukemia and other malignancies.

A previous study conducted by the same team revealed that the gene E4bp4 must be switched on to allow the immune system to produce NK cells.

Their new work suggests that E4bp4 expression is required for progenitor cells to commit to the NK lineage. And the gene promotes NK-cell development by regulating expression of the transcription factors Eomes and Id2.

The researchers described these discoveries in the Journal of Experimental Medicine.

“We are excited to find that E4bp4 has such a crucial role in determining the decisive point where blood progenitor cells become NK cells,” said study author Hugh Brady, of Imperial College London in the UK.

“We are now starting to apply this to human blood stem cells to work out how switching on E4bp4 can allow us to make lots of robust human NK cells in culture. We are hoping to make human NK cells that will have improved survival and be very toxic to cancer cells when transfused into patients. Hopefully, this will allow a big reduction in the number of NK cells needed to treat an individual patient.”

To gain insight into NK-cell production, Dr Brady and his colleagues evaluated 2 types of mice with NK-cell deficiencies. The Il15ra knockout mouse model cannot mediate IL-15 signaling, which is critical for NK-cell production. And the T-bet (Tbx21) knockout model lacks a transcription factor that’s crucial for NK-cell development.

Analysis of the Il15ra model revealed that the absence of E4bp4 perturbs NK-cell development earlier than the absence of IL-15 signaling. This suggests E4bp4 acts before IL-15, which was previously considered the definitive factor required for NK-cell production.

The researchers also found that E4bp4 is required for the production of NK progenitors, but T-bet is not. And this suggests E4bp4 acts before T-bet in NK-cell development.

To investigate these findings further, the team took cells at various stages of NK-cell differentiation from wild-type bone marrow and measured their expression of transcription factor mRNAs.

They detected E4bp4 transcript in both lymphoid-primed multipotent progenitors (LMPPs) and common lymphoid progenitors (CLPs), and E4bp4 expression increased at later stages of NK-cell development.

Based on these results, the researchers speculated that E4bp4 might be a lineage commitment factor controlling the development of NK progenitors from CLPs. To test that theory, they restored E4bp4 expression in purified E4bp4-/- CLPs to see if this could re-establish NK-cell development.

The team sorted CLPs from E4bp4-/- bone marrow, cultured them in lymphocyte-inducing conditions, transduced them with E4bp4 or empty vector, and moved on to NK-cell-inducing conditions. But neither cell type produced NK cells.

So the researchers decided to initiate the culture at an earlier developmental stage, using LMPPs. They cultured LMPPs, which exhibited a CLP phenotype at the time of transduction. And CLPs transduced with E4bp4 gave rise to NK cells, but CLPs transduced with empty vector did not.

As these results suggest that E4bp4 acts at the earliest possible point in NK-cell development, the team wanted to characterize E4bp4’s relationship with transcription factors that are likely to act downstream.

They tested several transcription factors known to play a part in NK-cell production and function. But only Eomes and Id2 proved essential for E4bp4 to direct the production of fully functional, mature NK cells.

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Topics

NK cell destroying a cancer cell

Credit: St Jude Children’s

Research Hospital

Researchers say they’ve gained new insight into the production of natural killer (NK) cells.

And their findings may help them generate greater numbers of the cells in culture, which could have implications for the treatment of leukemia and other malignancies.

A previous study conducted by the same team revealed that the gene E4bp4 must be switched on to allow the immune system to produce NK cells.

Their new work suggests that E4bp4 expression is required for progenitor cells to commit to the NK lineage. And the gene promotes NK-cell development by regulating expression of the transcription factors Eomes and Id2.

The researchers described these discoveries in the Journal of Experimental Medicine.

“We are excited to find that E4bp4 has such a crucial role in determining the decisive point where blood progenitor cells become NK cells,” said study author Hugh Brady, of Imperial College London in the UK.

“We are now starting to apply this to human blood stem cells to work out how switching on E4bp4 can allow us to make lots of robust human NK cells in culture. We are hoping to make human NK cells that will have improved survival and be very toxic to cancer cells when transfused into patients. Hopefully, this will allow a big reduction in the number of NK cells needed to treat an individual patient.”

To gain insight into NK-cell production, Dr Brady and his colleagues evaluated 2 types of mice with NK-cell deficiencies. The Il15ra knockout mouse model cannot mediate IL-15 signaling, which is critical for NK-cell production. And the T-bet (Tbx21) knockout model lacks a transcription factor that’s crucial for NK-cell development.

Analysis of the Il15ra model revealed that the absence of E4bp4 perturbs NK-cell development earlier than the absence of IL-15 signaling. This suggests E4bp4 acts before IL-15, which was previously considered the definitive factor required for NK-cell production.

The researchers also found that E4bp4 is required for the production of NK progenitors, but T-bet is not. And this suggests E4bp4 acts before T-bet in NK-cell development.

To investigate these findings further, the team took cells at various stages of NK-cell differentiation from wild-type bone marrow and measured their expression of transcription factor mRNAs.

They detected E4bp4 transcript in both lymphoid-primed multipotent progenitors (LMPPs) and common lymphoid progenitors (CLPs), and E4bp4 expression increased at later stages of NK-cell development.

Based on these results, the researchers speculated that E4bp4 might be a lineage commitment factor controlling the development of NK progenitors from CLPs. To test that theory, they restored E4bp4 expression in purified E4bp4-/- CLPs to see if this could re-establish NK-cell development.

The team sorted CLPs from E4bp4-/- bone marrow, cultured them in lymphocyte-inducing conditions, transduced them with E4bp4 or empty vector, and moved on to NK-cell-inducing conditions. But neither cell type produced NK cells.

So the researchers decided to initiate the culture at an earlier developmental stage, using LMPPs. They cultured LMPPs, which exhibited a CLP phenotype at the time of transduction. And CLPs transduced with E4bp4 gave rise to NK cells, but CLPs transduced with empty vector did not.

As these results suggest that E4bp4 acts at the earliest possible point in NK-cell development, the team wanted to characterize E4bp4’s relationship with transcription factors that are likely to act downstream.

They tested several transcription factors known to play a part in NK-cell production and function. But only Eomes and Id2 proved essential for E4bp4 to direct the production of fully functional, mature NK cells.

NK cell destroying a cancer cell

Credit: St Jude Children’s

Research Hospital

Researchers say they’ve gained new insight into the production of natural killer (NK) cells.

And their findings may help them generate greater numbers of the cells in culture, which could have implications for the treatment of leukemia and other malignancies.

A previous study conducted by the same team revealed that the gene E4bp4 must be switched on to allow the immune system to produce NK cells.

Their new work suggests that E4bp4 expression is required for progenitor cells to commit to the NK lineage. And the gene promotes NK-cell development by regulating expression of the transcription factors Eomes and Id2.

The researchers described these discoveries in the Journal of Experimental Medicine.

“We are excited to find that E4bp4 has such a crucial role in determining the decisive point where blood progenitor cells become NK cells,” said study author Hugh Brady, of Imperial College London in the UK.

“We are now starting to apply this to human blood stem cells to work out how switching on E4bp4 can allow us to make lots of robust human NK cells in culture. We are hoping to make human NK cells that will have improved survival and be very toxic to cancer cells when transfused into patients. Hopefully, this will allow a big reduction in the number of NK cells needed to treat an individual patient.”

To gain insight into NK-cell production, Dr Brady and his colleagues evaluated 2 types of mice with NK-cell deficiencies. The Il15ra knockout mouse model cannot mediate IL-15 signaling, which is critical for NK-cell production. And the T-bet (Tbx21) knockout model lacks a transcription factor that’s crucial for NK-cell development.

Analysis of the Il15ra model revealed that the absence of E4bp4 perturbs NK-cell development earlier than the absence of IL-15 signaling. This suggests E4bp4 acts before IL-15, which was previously considered the definitive factor required for NK-cell production.

The researchers also found that E4bp4 is required for the production of NK progenitors, but T-bet is not. And this suggests E4bp4 acts before T-bet in NK-cell development.

To investigate these findings further, the team took cells at various stages of NK-cell differentiation from wild-type bone marrow and measured their expression of transcription factor mRNAs.

They detected E4bp4 transcript in both lymphoid-primed multipotent progenitors (LMPPs) and common lymphoid progenitors (CLPs), and E4bp4 expression increased at later stages of NK-cell development.

Based on these results, the researchers speculated that E4bp4 might be a lineage commitment factor controlling the development of NK progenitors from CLPs. To test that theory, they restored E4bp4 expression in purified E4bp4-/- CLPs to see if this could re-establish NK-cell development.

The team sorted CLPs from E4bp4-/- bone marrow, cultured them in lymphocyte-inducing conditions, transduced them with E4bp4 or empty vector, and moved on to NK-cell-inducing conditions. But neither cell type produced NK cells.

So the researchers decided to initiate the culture at an earlier developmental stage, using LMPPs. They cultured LMPPs, which exhibited a CLP phenotype at the time of transduction. And CLPs transduced with E4bp4 gave rise to NK cells, but CLPs transduced with empty vector did not.

As these results suggest that E4bp4 acts at the earliest possible point in NK-cell development, the team wanted to characterize E4bp4’s relationship with transcription factors that are likely to act downstream.

They tested several transcription factors known to play a part in NK-cell production and function. But only Eomes and Id2 proved essential for E4bp4 to direct the production of fully functional, mature NK cells.

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Chest CT in Patients with Pneumonia

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Clinical value of chest computerized tomography scans in patients admitted with pneumonia

Pneumonia remains one of the most common indications for hospital admissions. In the United States in 2010, more than 1 million patients were discharged with a diagnosis of pneumonia.[1] A diagnosis of pneumonia is based on typical clinical findings with recommendations to identify a demonstrable infiltrate on appropriate imaging modalities.[2] Although computed tomography (CT) imaging of the chest is much more sensitive than plain radiography at detecting infiltrates, the greater cost and higher radiation exposure limits its use as a screening modality.[3, 4] Additional imaging studies are recommended for patients who fail to respond to therapy.[2] There are, however, no published studies to determine the exact impact of chest CT scans on the management of pneumonia.

We conducted a retrospective assessment of CT scan use in patients admitted with a diagnosis of pneumonia. The study was designed to assess (1) the overall utilization rate of chest CT scans at our institution and (2) the impact of CT findings on patient management.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at St. John Hospital and Medical Center, an 808‐bed tertiary care community teaching hospital in Detroit. The study was approved by the St. John Hospital and Medical Center's institutional review board.

Patients admitted to our institution between January 1, 2008 and November 1, 2011 were evaluated for study inclusion by searching the hospital's computer database using the discharge International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐9‐CM) codes for pneumonia, pleural effusion, and empyema. Patients were included for initial review if the appropriate ICD‐9‐CM codes were included within the list of discharge diagnoses and were not restricted based on hierarchy within that list. Patients were included in further analysis if they were 18 years of age, a diagnosis of pneumonia was made within 48 hours of admission, and records were available for review. Patients were excluded if they did not meet the above criteria or a diagnosis of pneumonia could not be confirmed by chart review. The electronic medical record was reviewed and patient demographics, hospital admission source, microbiology results, radiographic findings, and outcomes were recorded. Additional procedures such as thoracentesis, open lung biopsy and/or chest tube placement were recorded for patients if performed. The Charlson Weighted Index of Comorbidity and Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 (CURB 65) scores were calculated as described elsewhere.[5, 6] CT scans were assessed for time and date of study after admission along with all relevant findings.

Data Analysis

Descriptive statistics were generated for the overall population. The associations between categorical variables and whether or not a CT scan was performed were assessed using the 2 test. Student t test or analysis of variance, followed by the Bonferroni correction of the P value, were used to compare mean values. Logistic regression was used to predict the probability of having a chest CT done, given the variables found to be related on univariate analysis. All data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM, Armonk, NY), and a P value of 0.05 or less was considered to indicate statistical significance.

RESULTS

A total of 264 patients were identified by discharge diagnosis, and 195 (73.9%) patients met the inclusion criteria. Among the 69 patients who were excluded, 37 patients were diagnosed more than 48 hours after admission, 19 patients did not have a radiographically demonstrable abnormality, 5 patients had an incomplete medical record, and 8 patients received no antibiotics. The overall mean age of the cases was 63.4 19.1 years, with an average length of stay of 7.4 5.7 days. Sixty‐nine (35.3%) of the case patients had a chest CT scan performed. A CT scan was performed more often in younger patients (58.1 19.0 vs 66.8 18.6, P = 0.002) and in patients with lower CURB 65 scores (1.7 1.4 vs 2.2 1.4, P = 0.037). A CT scan was also performed more often in patients with no infiltrates or consolidation on plain radiographs (26.9% vs 7.1%, P < 0.0001). Patients were also more likely to have a procedure performed if they had a CT performed (21.7% vs 3.1%, P < 0.0001) and were admitted from home versus a long‐term care facility or other healthcare institution (92.8% vs 78.6%, P = 0.011). Comparisons are shown in Table 1. After controlling for age, CURB 65 score on admission, admission source, and the presence of consolidation or infiltrates on initial chest radiograph (CXR), individuals were 4.76 times less likely to have a CT scan performed if the CXR showed consolidation and/or infiltrates (odds ratio: 0.21, P = 0.001; 95% confidence interval: 0.08‐0.53) (Table 2).

Patient Demographics and Characteristics
Characteristics Chest CT Scan Performed, n = 69 (35.4%) Chest CT Scan Not Performed, n = 126 (64.6%) P Value
  • NOTE: Abbreviations: CT, computed tomography; CXR, chest radiograph; ICU, intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

  • Two patients had no CXR prior to the CT scan.

  • Coagulase negative Staphylococcus was excluded.

  • Mixed flora and normal colonizers were excluded.

  • Patients discharged to hospice were considered as a mortality.

Mean age, y SD 58.1 19.0 66.8 18.6 0.002
Gender, male 52.2% (36) 45.2% (57) 0.35
Average length of stay, d SD 8.6 7.4 6.9 4.5 0.08
Charlson Comorbidity Index SD 1.77 2.0 2.02 1.89 0.38
CURB 65 score on admission SD 1.7 1.4 2.2 1.4 0.037
Fever on admission 34.8% (24) 36.5% (46) 0.81
Sepsis within 48 hours of CT 81.2% (56) 78.6% (99) 0.67
ICU admission within 48 hours of admission 21.7% (15) 15.1% (19) 0.24
No consolidation or infiltrates on CXR, n = 67a 26.9% (18) 7.1% (9) <0.0001
Procedure performed 21.7% (15) 3.1% (4) <0.0001
Source of admission
Home 92.8% (64) 78.6% (99) 0.011
Extended care facility 7.2% (5) 21.4% (27)
Positive blood cultureb 4.1% (2) 8.9% (7) 0.30
Positive sputum culturec 11.1% (3) 11.4% (4) 0.97
Discharged alived 91.3% (63) 88.9% (112) 0.60
Logistic Regression for Probability of Performing a Computed Tomography Scan
Characteristic Odds Ratio P Value 95% CI
  • NOTE: Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

Age 0.99 0.29 0.971.01
CURB 65 at admission 0.89 0.41 0.671.18
Admission source (healthcare facility) 0.36 0.07 0.121.09
Consolidation or infiltrates 0.21 0.001 0.080.53

Procedure Performed

Among the 195 patients, pneumonia‐related procedures were performed on only 19 (9.7%) patients. The procedures performed included bronchoscopy (n = 4), percutaneous biopsy (n = 3), thoracentesis (n = 7), and open lung biopsy (n = 5). Fifteen (78.9%) of the patients who had a pneumonia‐related procedure had a CT scan. Table 3 shows the characteristics of patients who had a procedure performed compared to those patients who did not have a procedure performed among all individuals who had a CT scan. Only average length of stay differed significantly between these 2 groups of patients (15.3 11.9 vs 6.8 4.1, P = 0.016).

Comparison of Cases With Chest Computed TomographyScan Performed and Performance of a Procedure
Characteristic Procedure Performed, n = 15 (21.7%) Procedure Not Performed, n = 54 (78.3%) P Value
  • NOTE: Abbreviations:CXR, chest radiograph; ICU, intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

  • P value cannot be calculated as there is a zero in values.

  • Patients discharged to hospice were considered as a mortality.

Mean age, y SD 56.9 19.5 58.5 19.1 0.77
Male gender 53.3% (8) 51.1% (28) 0.92
Average length of stay, d SD 15.3 11.9 6.8 4.1 0.016
Admission CURB 65 score, mean SD 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.5 0.98
Fever on admission 40% (6) 33.3% (18) 0.63
Sepsis within 48 hours of procedure 93.3% (14) 77.8% (42) 0.17
ICU admit within 48 hours of admission 26.7% (4) 20.4% (11) 0.60
No consolidation or infiltrates on CXR 21.4% (3) 7.8% (4) 0.65
Source of admission
Home 15% (100) 90.7% (49) NSa
Extended care facility 0% (0) 9.3% (5)
Discharge aliveb 80% (12) 94.4% (51) 0.08

DISCUSSION

Chest radiography plays an essential role in diagnosing pneumonia. Chest CT scans are more sensitive in diagnosing pneumonia and may be more specific for certain pathogens, but objective indicators or guidelines regarding test performance are lacking.[7] There are few available studies that evaluate the benefit of chest CT scans in adults with pneumonia. Beall et al. noted 57% of immunocompetent hosts, 22% of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients, and 45% of immunocompromised hosts had a new finding on CT.[8] In 40% of the cases, there was an overall change in management based on the findings. Nyamande et al. showed that high‐resolution CT scans identified abnormalities missed on plain radiographs in 82% (n = 40) of HIV patients in sub‐Saharan Africa.[9] A study by Syrjl et al. highlights the fact that high‐resolution CT scanning improves the diagnosis of community‐acquired pneumonia in patients with negative chest radiographs.[10] In the right clinical setting, additional imaging, such as high‐resolution CT scanning, is more sensitive at detecting abnormalities consistent with pneumonia.[10] We found that a CT scan was more likely to be performed in patients with no infiltrates or consolidation consistent with that finding. However, the authors did not attempt to evaluate improved clinical outcomes or management changes. Other investigators have tried to demonstrate unique or specific findings on CT scans compared to plain radiography for particular pathogens.[11, 12, 13]

We attempted to identify specific features of patients presenting with pneumonia that could assist clinicians in the decision‐making process as it relates to ordering a CT scan. CT scans were performed more frequently on subjects who were younger, had lower severity of illness, and were admitted from the community. We were unable to assess the radiographic and/or clinical findings that led the providers to order the CT scans. It is interesting to note, however, that Metlay et al. demonstrated a decreasing prevalence of pneumonia‐associated symptoms with increasing age.[14] One could speculate that patients who are younger and tend to have more symptoms may be more likely to get ancillary testing.

In our study, 35% of patients admitted with pneumonia had a CT scan performed that led to an additional procedure 22% of the time. We were unable to accurately evaluate the impact of CT on antibiotic modification, duration, or some outcomes. Although a number of studies demonstrated new or missed findings by CT compared to plain radiography, only Beall et al. reported outcome changes.[8, 9, 10, 12] They found that 39% (21/54) of patients had a change in their treatment plan including antibiotic alterations.

A number of factors impact outcomes such as length of stay and mortality in patients admitted with community‐acquired pneumonia. Empyema contributes to additional length of stay and pleural effusions are new findings identified by CT scans.[8, 9, 15, 16] Unfortunately, the number of patients with pleural effusions and even empyema (data not shown) was too small for us to analyze. Better prospective observational studies will be necessary to define specific CT findings leading to actual changes in management. The optimal timing of CT scanning could also be determined from these studies. The retrospective nature of our study is a key limitation to our results. It is difficult to determine retrospectively the clinical decision‐making process used when ordering additional diagnostic tests or procedures. Whether the CT scans ordered on our patients truly resulted in additional procedures or whether the procedures were preplanned cannot be elucidated. Our current electronic medical record and ordering process has significant drop‐down list selection bias for test indications. A postorder research‐based survey tool would be required to further evaluate the clinician's decision‐making process. In addition, as a single center study, the decision to perform CT scans and pneumonia‐related procedures reflects only the practice patterns among a relatively small number of physicians with a wide variety of practice levels and specialties. Although length of stay was not affected by performing a CT scan, patients who had a procedure did have a prolonged hospital stay consistent with a complicated course as confirmed by others.[16]

Our study results could be the first step in developing prospective studies to evaluate the indications and utility of ancillary imaging in patients with pneumonia. Prospective, multicenter observational studies, which include a clinical decision‐making survey tool as noted above, would be tremendously beneficial. Pathogen‐specific indications and outcomes will be facilitated by the deployment of more rapid and effective molecular diagnostic capabilities. Furthermore, the cost of the test, radiation exposure, impact on clinical outcomes, and overall risk/benefit would need to be calculated from these future studies.

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References
  1. National Hospital Discharge Survey. National Center for Health Statistics. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhds/2average/ 2010ave2_firstlist.pdf. Accessed December 10, 2013.
  2. Mandell LA, Wunderink RG, Anzueto A, et al. Infectious Diseases Society of America/American Thoracic Society consensus guidelines on the management of community‐acquired pneumonia in adults. Clin Infect Dis. 2007;44(suppl 2):S27S72.
  3. Hayden GE, Wrenn KW. Chest radiograph vs. computed tomography scan in the evaluation for pneumonia. J Emerg Med. 2009;36(3):266270.
  4. American College of Radiology. RadiologyInfo.org website. Radiation dose in x‐ray and CT exams. Available at: http://www.radiologyinfo.org/en/safety/?pg=sfty_xray. Accessed February 24, 2014.
  5. Aujesky D, Auble TE, Yealy DM, et al. Prospective comparison of three validated prediction rules for prognosis in community‐acquired pneumonia. Am J Med. 2005;118(4):384392.
  6. Quan H, Li B, Couris CM, et al. Updating and validating the Charlson comorbidity index and score for risk adjustment in hospital discharge abstracts using data from 6 countries. Am J Epidemiol. 2011;173(6):676682.
  7. Reynolds JH, Banerjee AK. Imaging pneumonia in immunocompetent and immunocompromised individuals. Curr Opin Pulm Med. 2012;18(3):194201.
  8. Beall DP, Scott WW, Kuhlman JE, Hofmann LV, Moore RD, Mundy LM. Utilization of computed tomography in patients hospitalized with community‐acquired pneumonia. Md Med J. 1998;47(4):182187.
  9. Nyamande K, Lalloo UG, Vawda F. Comparison of plain chest radiography and high‐resolution CT in human immunodeficiency virus infected patients with community‐acquired pneumonia: a sub‐Saharan Africa study. Br J Radiol. 2007;80(953):302306.
  10. Syrjälä H, Broas M, Suramo I, Ojala A, Lahde S. High‐resolution computed tomography for the diagnosis of community‐acquired pneumonia. Clin Infect Dis. 1998;27(2):358363.
  11. Haroon A, Higa F, Fujita J, et al. Pulmonary computed tomography findings in 39 cases of Streptococcus pneumoniae pneumonia. Intern Med. 2012;51(24):33433349.
  12. Okada F, Ono A, Ando Y, et al. High‐resolution CT findings in Streptococcus milleri pulmonary infection. Clin Radiol. 2013;68(6):e331e337.
  13. Okada F, Ono A, Ando Y, et al. Thin‐section CT findings in Pseudomonas aeruginosa pulmonary infection. Br J Radiol. 2012;85(1020):15331538.
  14. Metlay JP, Schulz R, Li YH, et al. Influence of age on symptoms at presentation in patients with community‐acquired pneumonia. Arch Intern Med. 1997;157(13):14531459.
  15. Huang JQ, Hooper PM, Marrie TJ. Factors associated with length of stay in hospital for suspected community‐acquired pneumonia. Can Respir J. 2006;13(6):317324.
  16. Suter‐Widmer I, Christ‐Crain M, Zimmerli W, Albrich W, Mueller B, Schuetz P. Predictors for length of hospital stay in patients with community‐acquired pneumonia: results from a Swiss multicenter study. BMC Pulm Med. 2012;12:21.
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Pneumonia remains one of the most common indications for hospital admissions. In the United States in 2010, more than 1 million patients were discharged with a diagnosis of pneumonia.[1] A diagnosis of pneumonia is based on typical clinical findings with recommendations to identify a demonstrable infiltrate on appropriate imaging modalities.[2] Although computed tomography (CT) imaging of the chest is much more sensitive than plain radiography at detecting infiltrates, the greater cost and higher radiation exposure limits its use as a screening modality.[3, 4] Additional imaging studies are recommended for patients who fail to respond to therapy.[2] There are, however, no published studies to determine the exact impact of chest CT scans on the management of pneumonia.

We conducted a retrospective assessment of CT scan use in patients admitted with a diagnosis of pneumonia. The study was designed to assess (1) the overall utilization rate of chest CT scans at our institution and (2) the impact of CT findings on patient management.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at St. John Hospital and Medical Center, an 808‐bed tertiary care community teaching hospital in Detroit. The study was approved by the St. John Hospital and Medical Center's institutional review board.

Patients admitted to our institution between January 1, 2008 and November 1, 2011 were evaluated for study inclusion by searching the hospital's computer database using the discharge International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐9‐CM) codes for pneumonia, pleural effusion, and empyema. Patients were included for initial review if the appropriate ICD‐9‐CM codes were included within the list of discharge diagnoses and were not restricted based on hierarchy within that list. Patients were included in further analysis if they were 18 years of age, a diagnosis of pneumonia was made within 48 hours of admission, and records were available for review. Patients were excluded if they did not meet the above criteria or a diagnosis of pneumonia could not be confirmed by chart review. The electronic medical record was reviewed and patient demographics, hospital admission source, microbiology results, radiographic findings, and outcomes were recorded. Additional procedures such as thoracentesis, open lung biopsy and/or chest tube placement were recorded for patients if performed. The Charlson Weighted Index of Comorbidity and Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 (CURB 65) scores were calculated as described elsewhere.[5, 6] CT scans were assessed for time and date of study after admission along with all relevant findings.

Data Analysis

Descriptive statistics were generated for the overall population. The associations between categorical variables and whether or not a CT scan was performed were assessed using the 2 test. Student t test or analysis of variance, followed by the Bonferroni correction of the P value, were used to compare mean values. Logistic regression was used to predict the probability of having a chest CT done, given the variables found to be related on univariate analysis. All data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM, Armonk, NY), and a P value of 0.05 or less was considered to indicate statistical significance.

RESULTS

A total of 264 patients were identified by discharge diagnosis, and 195 (73.9%) patients met the inclusion criteria. Among the 69 patients who were excluded, 37 patients were diagnosed more than 48 hours after admission, 19 patients did not have a radiographically demonstrable abnormality, 5 patients had an incomplete medical record, and 8 patients received no antibiotics. The overall mean age of the cases was 63.4 19.1 years, with an average length of stay of 7.4 5.7 days. Sixty‐nine (35.3%) of the case patients had a chest CT scan performed. A CT scan was performed more often in younger patients (58.1 19.0 vs 66.8 18.6, P = 0.002) and in patients with lower CURB 65 scores (1.7 1.4 vs 2.2 1.4, P = 0.037). A CT scan was also performed more often in patients with no infiltrates or consolidation on plain radiographs (26.9% vs 7.1%, P < 0.0001). Patients were also more likely to have a procedure performed if they had a CT performed (21.7% vs 3.1%, P < 0.0001) and were admitted from home versus a long‐term care facility or other healthcare institution (92.8% vs 78.6%, P = 0.011). Comparisons are shown in Table 1. After controlling for age, CURB 65 score on admission, admission source, and the presence of consolidation or infiltrates on initial chest radiograph (CXR), individuals were 4.76 times less likely to have a CT scan performed if the CXR showed consolidation and/or infiltrates (odds ratio: 0.21, P = 0.001; 95% confidence interval: 0.08‐0.53) (Table 2).

Patient Demographics and Characteristics
Characteristics Chest CT Scan Performed, n = 69 (35.4%) Chest CT Scan Not Performed, n = 126 (64.6%) P Value
  • NOTE: Abbreviations: CT, computed tomography; CXR, chest radiograph; ICU, intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

  • Two patients had no CXR prior to the CT scan.

  • Coagulase negative Staphylococcus was excluded.

  • Mixed flora and normal colonizers were excluded.

  • Patients discharged to hospice were considered as a mortality.

Mean age, y SD 58.1 19.0 66.8 18.6 0.002
Gender, male 52.2% (36) 45.2% (57) 0.35
Average length of stay, d SD 8.6 7.4 6.9 4.5 0.08
Charlson Comorbidity Index SD 1.77 2.0 2.02 1.89 0.38
CURB 65 score on admission SD 1.7 1.4 2.2 1.4 0.037
Fever on admission 34.8% (24) 36.5% (46) 0.81
Sepsis within 48 hours of CT 81.2% (56) 78.6% (99) 0.67
ICU admission within 48 hours of admission 21.7% (15) 15.1% (19) 0.24
No consolidation or infiltrates on CXR, n = 67a 26.9% (18) 7.1% (9) <0.0001
Procedure performed 21.7% (15) 3.1% (4) <0.0001
Source of admission
Home 92.8% (64) 78.6% (99) 0.011
Extended care facility 7.2% (5) 21.4% (27)
Positive blood cultureb 4.1% (2) 8.9% (7) 0.30
Positive sputum culturec 11.1% (3) 11.4% (4) 0.97
Discharged alived 91.3% (63) 88.9% (112) 0.60
Logistic Regression for Probability of Performing a Computed Tomography Scan
Characteristic Odds Ratio P Value 95% CI
  • NOTE: Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

Age 0.99 0.29 0.971.01
CURB 65 at admission 0.89 0.41 0.671.18
Admission source (healthcare facility) 0.36 0.07 0.121.09
Consolidation or infiltrates 0.21 0.001 0.080.53

Procedure Performed

Among the 195 patients, pneumonia‐related procedures were performed on only 19 (9.7%) patients. The procedures performed included bronchoscopy (n = 4), percutaneous biopsy (n = 3), thoracentesis (n = 7), and open lung biopsy (n = 5). Fifteen (78.9%) of the patients who had a pneumonia‐related procedure had a CT scan. Table 3 shows the characteristics of patients who had a procedure performed compared to those patients who did not have a procedure performed among all individuals who had a CT scan. Only average length of stay differed significantly between these 2 groups of patients (15.3 11.9 vs 6.8 4.1, P = 0.016).

Comparison of Cases With Chest Computed TomographyScan Performed and Performance of a Procedure
Characteristic Procedure Performed, n = 15 (21.7%) Procedure Not Performed, n = 54 (78.3%) P Value
  • NOTE: Abbreviations:CXR, chest radiograph; ICU, intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

  • P value cannot be calculated as there is a zero in values.

  • Patients discharged to hospice were considered as a mortality.

Mean age, y SD 56.9 19.5 58.5 19.1 0.77
Male gender 53.3% (8) 51.1% (28) 0.92
Average length of stay, d SD 15.3 11.9 6.8 4.1 0.016
Admission CURB 65 score, mean SD 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.5 0.98
Fever on admission 40% (6) 33.3% (18) 0.63
Sepsis within 48 hours of procedure 93.3% (14) 77.8% (42) 0.17
ICU admit within 48 hours of admission 26.7% (4) 20.4% (11) 0.60
No consolidation or infiltrates on CXR 21.4% (3) 7.8% (4) 0.65
Source of admission
Home 15% (100) 90.7% (49) NSa
Extended care facility 0% (0) 9.3% (5)
Discharge aliveb 80% (12) 94.4% (51) 0.08

DISCUSSION

Chest radiography plays an essential role in diagnosing pneumonia. Chest CT scans are more sensitive in diagnosing pneumonia and may be more specific for certain pathogens, but objective indicators or guidelines regarding test performance are lacking.[7] There are few available studies that evaluate the benefit of chest CT scans in adults with pneumonia. Beall et al. noted 57% of immunocompetent hosts, 22% of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients, and 45% of immunocompromised hosts had a new finding on CT.[8] In 40% of the cases, there was an overall change in management based on the findings. Nyamande et al. showed that high‐resolution CT scans identified abnormalities missed on plain radiographs in 82% (n = 40) of HIV patients in sub‐Saharan Africa.[9] A study by Syrjl et al. highlights the fact that high‐resolution CT scanning improves the diagnosis of community‐acquired pneumonia in patients with negative chest radiographs.[10] In the right clinical setting, additional imaging, such as high‐resolution CT scanning, is more sensitive at detecting abnormalities consistent with pneumonia.[10] We found that a CT scan was more likely to be performed in patients with no infiltrates or consolidation consistent with that finding. However, the authors did not attempt to evaluate improved clinical outcomes or management changes. Other investigators have tried to demonstrate unique or specific findings on CT scans compared to plain radiography for particular pathogens.[11, 12, 13]

We attempted to identify specific features of patients presenting with pneumonia that could assist clinicians in the decision‐making process as it relates to ordering a CT scan. CT scans were performed more frequently on subjects who were younger, had lower severity of illness, and were admitted from the community. We were unable to assess the radiographic and/or clinical findings that led the providers to order the CT scans. It is interesting to note, however, that Metlay et al. demonstrated a decreasing prevalence of pneumonia‐associated symptoms with increasing age.[14] One could speculate that patients who are younger and tend to have more symptoms may be more likely to get ancillary testing.

In our study, 35% of patients admitted with pneumonia had a CT scan performed that led to an additional procedure 22% of the time. We were unable to accurately evaluate the impact of CT on antibiotic modification, duration, or some outcomes. Although a number of studies demonstrated new or missed findings by CT compared to plain radiography, only Beall et al. reported outcome changes.[8, 9, 10, 12] They found that 39% (21/54) of patients had a change in their treatment plan including antibiotic alterations.

A number of factors impact outcomes such as length of stay and mortality in patients admitted with community‐acquired pneumonia. Empyema contributes to additional length of stay and pleural effusions are new findings identified by CT scans.[8, 9, 15, 16] Unfortunately, the number of patients with pleural effusions and even empyema (data not shown) was too small for us to analyze. Better prospective observational studies will be necessary to define specific CT findings leading to actual changes in management. The optimal timing of CT scanning could also be determined from these studies. The retrospective nature of our study is a key limitation to our results. It is difficult to determine retrospectively the clinical decision‐making process used when ordering additional diagnostic tests or procedures. Whether the CT scans ordered on our patients truly resulted in additional procedures or whether the procedures were preplanned cannot be elucidated. Our current electronic medical record and ordering process has significant drop‐down list selection bias for test indications. A postorder research‐based survey tool would be required to further evaluate the clinician's decision‐making process. In addition, as a single center study, the decision to perform CT scans and pneumonia‐related procedures reflects only the practice patterns among a relatively small number of physicians with a wide variety of practice levels and specialties. Although length of stay was not affected by performing a CT scan, patients who had a procedure did have a prolonged hospital stay consistent with a complicated course as confirmed by others.[16]

Our study results could be the first step in developing prospective studies to evaluate the indications and utility of ancillary imaging in patients with pneumonia. Prospective, multicenter observational studies, which include a clinical decision‐making survey tool as noted above, would be tremendously beneficial. Pathogen‐specific indications and outcomes will be facilitated by the deployment of more rapid and effective molecular diagnostic capabilities. Furthermore, the cost of the test, radiation exposure, impact on clinical outcomes, and overall risk/benefit would need to be calculated from these future studies.

Pneumonia remains one of the most common indications for hospital admissions. In the United States in 2010, more than 1 million patients were discharged with a diagnosis of pneumonia.[1] A diagnosis of pneumonia is based on typical clinical findings with recommendations to identify a demonstrable infiltrate on appropriate imaging modalities.[2] Although computed tomography (CT) imaging of the chest is much more sensitive than plain radiography at detecting infiltrates, the greater cost and higher radiation exposure limits its use as a screening modality.[3, 4] Additional imaging studies are recommended for patients who fail to respond to therapy.[2] There are, however, no published studies to determine the exact impact of chest CT scans on the management of pneumonia.

We conducted a retrospective assessment of CT scan use in patients admitted with a diagnosis of pneumonia. The study was designed to assess (1) the overall utilization rate of chest CT scans at our institution and (2) the impact of CT findings on patient management.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at St. John Hospital and Medical Center, an 808‐bed tertiary care community teaching hospital in Detroit. The study was approved by the St. John Hospital and Medical Center's institutional review board.

Patients admitted to our institution between January 1, 2008 and November 1, 2011 were evaluated for study inclusion by searching the hospital's computer database using the discharge International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐9‐CM) codes for pneumonia, pleural effusion, and empyema. Patients were included for initial review if the appropriate ICD‐9‐CM codes were included within the list of discharge diagnoses and were not restricted based on hierarchy within that list. Patients were included in further analysis if they were 18 years of age, a diagnosis of pneumonia was made within 48 hours of admission, and records were available for review. Patients were excluded if they did not meet the above criteria or a diagnosis of pneumonia could not be confirmed by chart review. The electronic medical record was reviewed and patient demographics, hospital admission source, microbiology results, radiographic findings, and outcomes were recorded. Additional procedures such as thoracentesis, open lung biopsy and/or chest tube placement were recorded for patients if performed. The Charlson Weighted Index of Comorbidity and Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 (CURB 65) scores were calculated as described elsewhere.[5, 6] CT scans were assessed for time and date of study after admission along with all relevant findings.

Data Analysis

Descriptive statistics were generated for the overall population. The associations between categorical variables and whether or not a CT scan was performed were assessed using the 2 test. Student t test or analysis of variance, followed by the Bonferroni correction of the P value, were used to compare mean values. Logistic regression was used to predict the probability of having a chest CT done, given the variables found to be related on univariate analysis. All data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM, Armonk, NY), and a P value of 0.05 or less was considered to indicate statistical significance.

RESULTS

A total of 264 patients were identified by discharge diagnosis, and 195 (73.9%) patients met the inclusion criteria. Among the 69 patients who were excluded, 37 patients were diagnosed more than 48 hours after admission, 19 patients did not have a radiographically demonstrable abnormality, 5 patients had an incomplete medical record, and 8 patients received no antibiotics. The overall mean age of the cases was 63.4 19.1 years, with an average length of stay of 7.4 5.7 days. Sixty‐nine (35.3%) of the case patients had a chest CT scan performed. A CT scan was performed more often in younger patients (58.1 19.0 vs 66.8 18.6, P = 0.002) and in patients with lower CURB 65 scores (1.7 1.4 vs 2.2 1.4, P = 0.037). A CT scan was also performed more often in patients with no infiltrates or consolidation on plain radiographs (26.9% vs 7.1%, P < 0.0001). Patients were also more likely to have a procedure performed if they had a CT performed (21.7% vs 3.1%, P < 0.0001) and were admitted from home versus a long‐term care facility or other healthcare institution (92.8% vs 78.6%, P = 0.011). Comparisons are shown in Table 1. After controlling for age, CURB 65 score on admission, admission source, and the presence of consolidation or infiltrates on initial chest radiograph (CXR), individuals were 4.76 times less likely to have a CT scan performed if the CXR showed consolidation and/or infiltrates (odds ratio: 0.21, P = 0.001; 95% confidence interval: 0.08‐0.53) (Table 2).

Patient Demographics and Characteristics
Characteristics Chest CT Scan Performed, n = 69 (35.4%) Chest CT Scan Not Performed, n = 126 (64.6%) P Value
  • NOTE: Abbreviations: CT, computed tomography; CXR, chest radiograph; ICU, intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

  • Two patients had no CXR prior to the CT scan.

  • Coagulase negative Staphylococcus was excluded.

  • Mixed flora and normal colonizers were excluded.

  • Patients discharged to hospice were considered as a mortality.

Mean age, y SD 58.1 19.0 66.8 18.6 0.002
Gender, male 52.2% (36) 45.2% (57) 0.35
Average length of stay, d SD 8.6 7.4 6.9 4.5 0.08
Charlson Comorbidity Index SD 1.77 2.0 2.02 1.89 0.38
CURB 65 score on admission SD 1.7 1.4 2.2 1.4 0.037
Fever on admission 34.8% (24) 36.5% (46) 0.81
Sepsis within 48 hours of CT 81.2% (56) 78.6% (99) 0.67
ICU admission within 48 hours of admission 21.7% (15) 15.1% (19) 0.24
No consolidation or infiltrates on CXR, n = 67a 26.9% (18) 7.1% (9) <0.0001
Procedure performed 21.7% (15) 3.1% (4) <0.0001
Source of admission
Home 92.8% (64) 78.6% (99) 0.011
Extended care facility 7.2% (5) 21.4% (27)
Positive blood cultureb 4.1% (2) 8.9% (7) 0.30
Positive sputum culturec 11.1% (3) 11.4% (4) 0.97
Discharged alived 91.3% (63) 88.9% (112) 0.60
Logistic Regression for Probability of Performing a Computed Tomography Scan
Characteristic Odds Ratio P Value 95% CI
  • NOTE: Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

Age 0.99 0.29 0.971.01
CURB 65 at admission 0.89 0.41 0.671.18
Admission source (healthcare facility) 0.36 0.07 0.121.09
Consolidation or infiltrates 0.21 0.001 0.080.53

Procedure Performed

Among the 195 patients, pneumonia‐related procedures were performed on only 19 (9.7%) patients. The procedures performed included bronchoscopy (n = 4), percutaneous biopsy (n = 3), thoracentesis (n = 7), and open lung biopsy (n = 5). Fifteen (78.9%) of the patients who had a pneumonia‐related procedure had a CT scan. Table 3 shows the characteristics of patients who had a procedure performed compared to those patients who did not have a procedure performed among all individuals who had a CT scan. Only average length of stay differed significantly between these 2 groups of patients (15.3 11.9 vs 6.8 4.1, P = 0.016).

Comparison of Cases With Chest Computed TomographyScan Performed and Performance of a Procedure
Characteristic Procedure Performed, n = 15 (21.7%) Procedure Not Performed, n = 54 (78.3%) P Value
  • NOTE: Abbreviations:CXR, chest radiograph; ICU, intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation; CURB 65, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory rate, Blood pressure, Age > 65 calculation.

  • P value cannot be calculated as there is a zero in values.

  • Patients discharged to hospice were considered as a mortality.

Mean age, y SD 56.9 19.5 58.5 19.1 0.77
Male gender 53.3% (8) 51.1% (28) 0.92
Average length of stay, d SD 15.3 11.9 6.8 4.1 0.016
Admission CURB 65 score, mean SD 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.5 0.98
Fever on admission 40% (6) 33.3% (18) 0.63
Sepsis within 48 hours of procedure 93.3% (14) 77.8% (42) 0.17
ICU admit within 48 hours of admission 26.7% (4) 20.4% (11) 0.60
No consolidation or infiltrates on CXR 21.4% (3) 7.8% (4) 0.65
Source of admission
Home 15% (100) 90.7% (49) NSa
Extended care facility 0% (0) 9.3% (5)
Discharge aliveb 80% (12) 94.4% (51) 0.08

DISCUSSION

Chest radiography plays an essential role in diagnosing pneumonia. Chest CT scans are more sensitive in diagnosing pneumonia and may be more specific for certain pathogens, but objective indicators or guidelines regarding test performance are lacking.[7] There are few available studies that evaluate the benefit of chest CT scans in adults with pneumonia. Beall et al. noted 57% of immunocompetent hosts, 22% of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients, and 45% of immunocompromised hosts had a new finding on CT.[8] In 40% of the cases, there was an overall change in management based on the findings. Nyamande et al. showed that high‐resolution CT scans identified abnormalities missed on plain radiographs in 82% (n = 40) of HIV patients in sub‐Saharan Africa.[9] A study by Syrjl et al. highlights the fact that high‐resolution CT scanning improves the diagnosis of community‐acquired pneumonia in patients with negative chest radiographs.[10] In the right clinical setting, additional imaging, such as high‐resolution CT scanning, is more sensitive at detecting abnormalities consistent with pneumonia.[10] We found that a CT scan was more likely to be performed in patients with no infiltrates or consolidation consistent with that finding. However, the authors did not attempt to evaluate improved clinical outcomes or management changes. Other investigators have tried to demonstrate unique or specific findings on CT scans compared to plain radiography for particular pathogens.[11, 12, 13]

We attempted to identify specific features of patients presenting with pneumonia that could assist clinicians in the decision‐making process as it relates to ordering a CT scan. CT scans were performed more frequently on subjects who were younger, had lower severity of illness, and were admitted from the community. We were unable to assess the radiographic and/or clinical findings that led the providers to order the CT scans. It is interesting to note, however, that Metlay et al. demonstrated a decreasing prevalence of pneumonia‐associated symptoms with increasing age.[14] One could speculate that patients who are younger and tend to have more symptoms may be more likely to get ancillary testing.

In our study, 35% of patients admitted with pneumonia had a CT scan performed that led to an additional procedure 22% of the time. We were unable to accurately evaluate the impact of CT on antibiotic modification, duration, or some outcomes. Although a number of studies demonstrated new or missed findings by CT compared to plain radiography, only Beall et al. reported outcome changes.[8, 9, 10, 12] They found that 39% (21/54) of patients had a change in their treatment plan including antibiotic alterations.

A number of factors impact outcomes such as length of stay and mortality in patients admitted with community‐acquired pneumonia. Empyema contributes to additional length of stay and pleural effusions are new findings identified by CT scans.[8, 9, 15, 16] Unfortunately, the number of patients with pleural effusions and even empyema (data not shown) was too small for us to analyze. Better prospective observational studies will be necessary to define specific CT findings leading to actual changes in management. The optimal timing of CT scanning could also be determined from these studies. The retrospective nature of our study is a key limitation to our results. It is difficult to determine retrospectively the clinical decision‐making process used when ordering additional diagnostic tests or procedures. Whether the CT scans ordered on our patients truly resulted in additional procedures or whether the procedures were preplanned cannot be elucidated. Our current electronic medical record and ordering process has significant drop‐down list selection bias for test indications. A postorder research‐based survey tool would be required to further evaluate the clinician's decision‐making process. In addition, as a single center study, the decision to perform CT scans and pneumonia‐related procedures reflects only the practice patterns among a relatively small number of physicians with a wide variety of practice levels and specialties. Although length of stay was not affected by performing a CT scan, patients who had a procedure did have a prolonged hospital stay consistent with a complicated course as confirmed by others.[16]

Our study results could be the first step in developing prospective studies to evaluate the indications and utility of ancillary imaging in patients with pneumonia. Prospective, multicenter observational studies, which include a clinical decision‐making survey tool as noted above, would be tremendously beneficial. Pathogen‐specific indications and outcomes will be facilitated by the deployment of more rapid and effective molecular diagnostic capabilities. Furthermore, the cost of the test, radiation exposure, impact on clinical outcomes, and overall risk/benefit would need to be calculated from these future studies.

References
  1. National Hospital Discharge Survey. National Center for Health Statistics. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhds/2average/ 2010ave2_firstlist.pdf. Accessed December 10, 2013.
  2. Mandell LA, Wunderink RG, Anzueto A, et al. Infectious Diseases Society of America/American Thoracic Society consensus guidelines on the management of community‐acquired pneumonia in adults. Clin Infect Dis. 2007;44(suppl 2):S27S72.
  3. Hayden GE, Wrenn KW. Chest radiograph vs. computed tomography scan in the evaluation for pneumonia. J Emerg Med. 2009;36(3):266270.
  4. American College of Radiology. RadiologyInfo.org website. Radiation dose in x‐ray and CT exams. Available at: http://www.radiologyinfo.org/en/safety/?pg=sfty_xray. Accessed February 24, 2014.
  5. Aujesky D, Auble TE, Yealy DM, et al. Prospective comparison of three validated prediction rules for prognosis in community‐acquired pneumonia. Am J Med. 2005;118(4):384392.
  6. Quan H, Li B, Couris CM, et al. Updating and validating the Charlson comorbidity index and score for risk adjustment in hospital discharge abstracts using data from 6 countries. Am J Epidemiol. 2011;173(6):676682.
  7. Reynolds JH, Banerjee AK. Imaging pneumonia in immunocompetent and immunocompromised individuals. Curr Opin Pulm Med. 2012;18(3):194201.
  8. Beall DP, Scott WW, Kuhlman JE, Hofmann LV, Moore RD, Mundy LM. Utilization of computed tomography in patients hospitalized with community‐acquired pneumonia. Md Med J. 1998;47(4):182187.
  9. Nyamande K, Lalloo UG, Vawda F. Comparison of plain chest radiography and high‐resolution CT in human immunodeficiency virus infected patients with community‐acquired pneumonia: a sub‐Saharan Africa study. Br J Radiol. 2007;80(953):302306.
  10. Syrjälä H, Broas M, Suramo I, Ojala A, Lahde S. High‐resolution computed tomography for the diagnosis of community‐acquired pneumonia. Clin Infect Dis. 1998;27(2):358363.
  11. Haroon A, Higa F, Fujita J, et al. Pulmonary computed tomography findings in 39 cases of Streptococcus pneumoniae pneumonia. Intern Med. 2012;51(24):33433349.
  12. Okada F, Ono A, Ando Y, et al. High‐resolution CT findings in Streptococcus milleri pulmonary infection. Clin Radiol. 2013;68(6):e331e337.
  13. Okada F, Ono A, Ando Y, et al. Thin‐section CT findings in Pseudomonas aeruginosa pulmonary infection. Br J Radiol. 2012;85(1020):15331538.
  14. Metlay JP, Schulz R, Li YH, et al. Influence of age on symptoms at presentation in patients with community‐acquired pneumonia. Arch Intern Med. 1997;157(13):14531459.
  15. Huang JQ, Hooper PM, Marrie TJ. Factors associated with length of stay in hospital for suspected community‐acquired pneumonia. Can Respir J. 2006;13(6):317324.
  16. Suter‐Widmer I, Christ‐Crain M, Zimmerli W, Albrich W, Mueller B, Schuetz P. Predictors for length of hospital stay in patients with community‐acquired pneumonia: results from a Swiss multicenter study. BMC Pulm Med. 2012;12:21.
References
  1. National Hospital Discharge Survey. National Center for Health Statistics. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhds/2average/ 2010ave2_firstlist.pdf. Accessed December 10, 2013.
  2. Mandell LA, Wunderink RG, Anzueto A, et al. Infectious Diseases Society of America/American Thoracic Society consensus guidelines on the management of community‐acquired pneumonia in adults. Clin Infect Dis. 2007;44(suppl 2):S27S72.
  3. Hayden GE, Wrenn KW. Chest radiograph vs. computed tomography scan in the evaluation for pneumonia. J Emerg Med. 2009;36(3):266270.
  4. American College of Radiology. RadiologyInfo.org website. Radiation dose in x‐ray and CT exams. Available at: http://www.radiologyinfo.org/en/safety/?pg=sfty_xray. Accessed February 24, 2014.
  5. Aujesky D, Auble TE, Yealy DM, et al. Prospective comparison of three validated prediction rules for prognosis in community‐acquired pneumonia. Am J Med. 2005;118(4):384392.
  6. Quan H, Li B, Couris CM, et al. Updating and validating the Charlson comorbidity index and score for risk adjustment in hospital discharge abstracts using data from 6 countries. Am J Epidemiol. 2011;173(6):676682.
  7. Reynolds JH, Banerjee AK. Imaging pneumonia in immunocompetent and immunocompromised individuals. Curr Opin Pulm Med. 2012;18(3):194201.
  8. Beall DP, Scott WW, Kuhlman JE, Hofmann LV, Moore RD, Mundy LM. Utilization of computed tomography in patients hospitalized with community‐acquired pneumonia. Md Med J. 1998;47(4):182187.
  9. Nyamande K, Lalloo UG, Vawda F. Comparison of plain chest radiography and high‐resolution CT in human immunodeficiency virus infected patients with community‐acquired pneumonia: a sub‐Saharan Africa study. Br J Radiol. 2007;80(953):302306.
  10. Syrjälä H, Broas M, Suramo I, Ojala A, Lahde S. High‐resolution computed tomography for the diagnosis of community‐acquired pneumonia. Clin Infect Dis. 1998;27(2):358363.
  11. Haroon A, Higa F, Fujita J, et al. Pulmonary computed tomography findings in 39 cases of Streptococcus pneumoniae pneumonia. Intern Med. 2012;51(24):33433349.
  12. Okada F, Ono A, Ando Y, et al. High‐resolution CT findings in Streptococcus milleri pulmonary infection. Clin Radiol. 2013;68(6):e331e337.
  13. Okada F, Ono A, Ando Y, et al. Thin‐section CT findings in Pseudomonas aeruginosa pulmonary infection. Br J Radiol. 2012;85(1020):15331538.
  14. Metlay JP, Schulz R, Li YH, et al. Influence of age on symptoms at presentation in patients with community‐acquired pneumonia. Arch Intern Med. 1997;157(13):14531459.
  15. Huang JQ, Hooper PM, Marrie TJ. Factors associated with length of stay in hospital for suspected community‐acquired pneumonia. Can Respir J. 2006;13(6):317324.
  16. Suter‐Widmer I, Christ‐Crain M, Zimmerli W, Albrich W, Mueller B, Schuetz P. Predictors for length of hospital stay in patients with community‐acquired pneumonia: results from a Swiss multicenter study. BMC Pulm Med. 2012;12:21.
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Journal of Hospital Medicine - 9(7)
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Journal of Hospital Medicine - 9(7)
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Clinical value of chest computerized tomography scans in patients admitted with pneumonia
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Clinical value of chest computerized tomography scans in patients admitted with pneumonia
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Address for correspondence and reprint requests: Joel T. Fishbain, MD, 19251 Mack Avenue, Suite 340, Grosse Pointe Woods, MI 48236; Telephone: 313‐642‐9882; Fax: 313‐343‐7840; E‐mail: joel.fishbain@stjohn.org
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HM14 Special Report: Creation of a Pediatric Hospital Medicine Dashboard Across a Four Hospital Network

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HM14 Special Report: Creation of a Pediatric Hospital Medicine Dashboard Across a Four Hospital Network

Presenter: Lindsay Fox, MD

Summation: A dashboard is a visual representation of the key performance indicators. A dashboard can give a hospitalist team real-time feedback on desired measures. The Floating Hospital for Children Center in Boston created a network dashboard across four hospital sites. The areas measured in the pilot dashboard included descriptive quality metrics, value added activities, productivity, and group sustainability.

An example of improvement in sustainability measures was documentation of the need for more staffing by evaluating staff to RVU ratios. More staff was provided to one site that had a disproportionate ratio. An example of improvement in value added activities was hospital throughput. Discharge by 10 a.m. improved to more than 90% at several sites after implementation of this dashboard and distribution of data.

Takeaways:

• A dashboard can give a hospitalist team real time feedback on desired measures.

• A dashboard can effect change by engaging individual hospitalists.

• Dashboards are tools that are useful for several parts of the care delivery system including individual hospitalists, hospitalist programs, and for hospital administration.

Dr. Hale is a pediatric hospitalist at the Floating Hospital for Children at Tufts Medical Center in Boston, and a member of Team Hospitalist.

 

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The Hospitalist - 2014(03)
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Presenter: Lindsay Fox, MD

Summation: A dashboard is a visual representation of the key performance indicators. A dashboard can give a hospitalist team real-time feedback on desired measures. The Floating Hospital for Children Center in Boston created a network dashboard across four hospital sites. The areas measured in the pilot dashboard included descriptive quality metrics, value added activities, productivity, and group sustainability.

An example of improvement in sustainability measures was documentation of the need for more staffing by evaluating staff to RVU ratios. More staff was provided to one site that had a disproportionate ratio. An example of improvement in value added activities was hospital throughput. Discharge by 10 a.m. improved to more than 90% at several sites after implementation of this dashboard and distribution of data.

Takeaways:

• A dashboard can give a hospitalist team real time feedback on desired measures.

• A dashboard can effect change by engaging individual hospitalists.

• Dashboards are tools that are useful for several parts of the care delivery system including individual hospitalists, hospitalist programs, and for hospital administration.

Dr. Hale is a pediatric hospitalist at the Floating Hospital for Children at Tufts Medical Center in Boston, and a member of Team Hospitalist.

 

Presenter: Lindsay Fox, MD

Summation: A dashboard is a visual representation of the key performance indicators. A dashboard can give a hospitalist team real-time feedback on desired measures. The Floating Hospital for Children Center in Boston created a network dashboard across four hospital sites. The areas measured in the pilot dashboard included descriptive quality metrics, value added activities, productivity, and group sustainability.

An example of improvement in sustainability measures was documentation of the need for more staffing by evaluating staff to RVU ratios. More staff was provided to one site that had a disproportionate ratio. An example of improvement in value added activities was hospital throughput. Discharge by 10 a.m. improved to more than 90% at several sites after implementation of this dashboard and distribution of data.

Takeaways:

• A dashboard can give a hospitalist team real time feedback on desired measures.

• A dashboard can effect change by engaging individual hospitalists.

• Dashboards are tools that are useful for several parts of the care delivery system including individual hospitalists, hospitalist programs, and for hospital administration.

Dr. Hale is a pediatric hospitalist at the Floating Hospital for Children at Tufts Medical Center in Boston, and a member of Team Hospitalist.

 

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HM14 Special Report: Creation of a Pediatric Hospital Medicine Dashboard Across a Four Hospital Network
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HM14 Report: Perioperative Care of the Pediatric Patient

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HM14 Report: Perioperative Care of the Pediatric Patient

Presenter: Moises Auron, MD, and David Rappaport, MD

Summation: Pediatric hospitalist involvement in perioperative pediatric care covered six areas of consideration.

1) Preoperative risk. Patient-related factors, including prematurity, reflux, congenital diseases, and intercurrent illnesses increase operative risks. For many of these factors no specific remedies are available other than heightened attention to care, need, and timing of surgery.

2) Perioperative lab testing. Published data show that absent specific clinical indications there is no need for routine preop studies—including coagulation testing for T&A's. Certain circumstances: complex/prolonged surgeries or fertile females may merit limited testing.

3) Intravenous Fluids. Isotonic fluids carry lower risks of hyponatremia than hypotonic fluids.

4) VTE. VTE is the second most common hospital acquired complication. Risk factors included intubation, CVL, infection, cancer, immobility and dehydration. A graded approach to prophylaxis with more aggressive interventions for higher risk patients should be used.

5) GI stress ulcer prophylaxis. No published data are available to clearly demonstrate benefit outweighs potential risk for routine use of prophylactic antacid therapy. There is a weak recommendation for antacid prophylaxis in critically ill children. PPIs are probably equivalent to H2 blockers.

6) Pulmonary Complications. Atelectasis does not cause fever. Lots of strategies to try to prevent atelectasis—no clear data on what works. Most likely to be effective are positive pressure, either IPPV or CPAP and preoperative incentive spirometry.

Many areas of pediatric perioperative medicine lack high-quality, published data to guide care.

Dr. Pressel is a pediatric hospitalist and inpatient medical director at Nemours/Alfred I. duPont Hospital for Children in Wilmington, Del., and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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Presenter: Moises Auron, MD, and David Rappaport, MD

Summation: Pediatric hospitalist involvement in perioperative pediatric care covered six areas of consideration.

1) Preoperative risk. Patient-related factors, including prematurity, reflux, congenital diseases, and intercurrent illnesses increase operative risks. For many of these factors no specific remedies are available other than heightened attention to care, need, and timing of surgery.

2) Perioperative lab testing. Published data show that absent specific clinical indications there is no need for routine preop studies—including coagulation testing for T&A's. Certain circumstances: complex/prolonged surgeries or fertile females may merit limited testing.

3) Intravenous Fluids. Isotonic fluids carry lower risks of hyponatremia than hypotonic fluids.

4) VTE. VTE is the second most common hospital acquired complication. Risk factors included intubation, CVL, infection, cancer, immobility and dehydration. A graded approach to prophylaxis with more aggressive interventions for higher risk patients should be used.

5) GI stress ulcer prophylaxis. No published data are available to clearly demonstrate benefit outweighs potential risk for routine use of prophylactic antacid therapy. There is a weak recommendation for antacid prophylaxis in critically ill children. PPIs are probably equivalent to H2 blockers.

6) Pulmonary Complications. Atelectasis does not cause fever. Lots of strategies to try to prevent atelectasis—no clear data on what works. Most likely to be effective are positive pressure, either IPPV or CPAP and preoperative incentive spirometry.

Many areas of pediatric perioperative medicine lack high-quality, published data to guide care.

Dr. Pressel is a pediatric hospitalist and inpatient medical director at Nemours/Alfred I. duPont Hospital for Children in Wilmington, Del., and a member of Team Hospitalist.

Presenter: Moises Auron, MD, and David Rappaport, MD

Summation: Pediatric hospitalist involvement in perioperative pediatric care covered six areas of consideration.

1) Preoperative risk. Patient-related factors, including prematurity, reflux, congenital diseases, and intercurrent illnesses increase operative risks. For many of these factors no specific remedies are available other than heightened attention to care, need, and timing of surgery.

2) Perioperative lab testing. Published data show that absent specific clinical indications there is no need for routine preop studies—including coagulation testing for T&A's. Certain circumstances: complex/prolonged surgeries or fertile females may merit limited testing.

3) Intravenous Fluids. Isotonic fluids carry lower risks of hyponatremia than hypotonic fluids.

4) VTE. VTE is the second most common hospital acquired complication. Risk factors included intubation, CVL, infection, cancer, immobility and dehydration. A graded approach to prophylaxis with more aggressive interventions for higher risk patients should be used.

5) GI stress ulcer prophylaxis. No published data are available to clearly demonstrate benefit outweighs potential risk for routine use of prophylactic antacid therapy. There is a weak recommendation for antacid prophylaxis in critically ill children. PPIs are probably equivalent to H2 blockers.

6) Pulmonary Complications. Atelectasis does not cause fever. Lots of strategies to try to prevent atelectasis—no clear data on what works. Most likely to be effective are positive pressure, either IPPV or CPAP and preoperative incentive spirometry.

Many areas of pediatric perioperative medicine lack high-quality, published data to guide care.

Dr. Pressel is a pediatric hospitalist and inpatient medical director at Nemours/Alfred I. duPont Hospital for Children in Wilmington, Del., and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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HM14 Special Report: Measurement and Clinical Decision Support Strategies that Work—Going Beyond Core Measures

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“You have got to get it right up front,” Greg Maynard, MD, UCSD, told hospitalists at SHM's HM14 annual meeting when discussing how to leverage the electronic health record (EHR) to perform active surveillance for quality and safety deficits. “This method can be labor intensive up front, but [it] leverages the EHR and has the potential to disseminate improvement efficiently,” Dr. Maynard said. He went on to provide many specific tips and techniques for providers to use in order to design successful clinical decision support strategies.

Key Points

•  You need to be willing to redesign the system to go beyond current process measures to achieve optimal care. Currently, there can be a poor association between process measures and outcomes measures;

• You need real-time data to be able to perform a “measure-vention,” or measurement with concurrent intervention. You need to be able to collect data and then act on it for a particular patient that day;

• You need to determine who is going to act on the quality or safety deficits that are discovered once you develop measure-ventions, or real-time measures. There needs to be someone tasked with reviewing and acting on these daily reports; and

• Some institutions have developed “dynamic dashboards” that highlight active, ongoing surveillance of multiple quality improvement metrics. These help to create shared situational awareness for all providers involved in a patient’s care.

 

James O’Callaghan is a clinical assistant professor of pediatrics at the University of Washington and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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“You have got to get it right up front,” Greg Maynard, MD, UCSD, told hospitalists at SHM's HM14 annual meeting when discussing how to leverage the electronic health record (EHR) to perform active surveillance for quality and safety deficits. “This method can be labor intensive up front, but [it] leverages the EHR and has the potential to disseminate improvement efficiently,” Dr. Maynard said. He went on to provide many specific tips and techniques for providers to use in order to design successful clinical decision support strategies.

Key Points

•  You need to be willing to redesign the system to go beyond current process measures to achieve optimal care. Currently, there can be a poor association between process measures and outcomes measures;

• You need real-time data to be able to perform a “measure-vention,” or measurement with concurrent intervention. You need to be able to collect data and then act on it for a particular patient that day;

• You need to determine who is going to act on the quality or safety deficits that are discovered once you develop measure-ventions, or real-time measures. There needs to be someone tasked with reviewing and acting on these daily reports; and

• Some institutions have developed “dynamic dashboards” that highlight active, ongoing surveillance of multiple quality improvement metrics. These help to create shared situational awareness for all providers involved in a patient’s care.

 

James O’Callaghan is a clinical assistant professor of pediatrics at the University of Washington and a member of Team Hospitalist.

“You have got to get it right up front,” Greg Maynard, MD, UCSD, told hospitalists at SHM's HM14 annual meeting when discussing how to leverage the electronic health record (EHR) to perform active surveillance for quality and safety deficits. “This method can be labor intensive up front, but [it] leverages the EHR and has the potential to disseminate improvement efficiently,” Dr. Maynard said. He went on to provide many specific tips and techniques for providers to use in order to design successful clinical decision support strategies.

Key Points

•  You need to be willing to redesign the system to go beyond current process measures to achieve optimal care. Currently, there can be a poor association between process measures and outcomes measures;

• You need real-time data to be able to perform a “measure-vention,” or measurement with concurrent intervention. You need to be able to collect data and then act on it for a particular patient that day;

• You need to determine who is going to act on the quality or safety deficits that are discovered once you develop measure-ventions, or real-time measures. There needs to be someone tasked with reviewing and acting on these daily reports; and

• Some institutions have developed “dynamic dashboards” that highlight active, ongoing surveillance of multiple quality improvement metrics. These help to create shared situational awareness for all providers involved in a patient’s care.

 

James O’Callaghan is a clinical assistant professor of pediatrics at the University of Washington and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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HM14 Special Report: How to Determine the Best Hospitalist Scheduling Model

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Presenters: Todd Kislak, MBA, Brian Hazen, MD, Troy Ahlstrom, MD

Summation: Two hospitalist group directors shared their scheduling tools and philosophies regarding optimal scheduling options. Dr. Hazen does the scheduling himself and Dr. Ahlstrom uses a web-based scheduling program. They both acknowledged that provider retention and satisfaction are tightly wrapped up in how you schedule providers. They recommend that groups accommodate individual preference but also be fair and equitable to the entire group.

Key Takeaways

Dr. Hazen recommended:

  • Find good providers first and then try to determine their desires and fit that into the schedule as best as possible.
  • Protect your nocturnists- they burn out easily and provide a key service to the hospital and your group.
  • Find each person's strengths and try to cater to those to make them most successful.
  • Design a weighting (or point system) for various shifts and ensure equality by using that system.
  • The last day on service is a day focused on "discharges" and other patients begin with a new provider coming on service (ensures continuity and lowers LOS).

Dr. Ahlstrom recommended:

  • Block schedules are hard to make flexible and do not always fit with the flux of patient loads and urgent needs of the group.
  • Designing and managing the schedule is a costly endeavor and they shifted this from a physician duty to an administrator's duty. They used the Lightning Bolt solution and have enjoyed significant savings and profit.
  • The ROI is made up of increased encounters, increased provider retention, and decreased locums usage.

Greg Harlan is a pediatric hospitalist, medical director for IPC The Hospitalist Company, and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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Presenters: Todd Kislak, MBA, Brian Hazen, MD, Troy Ahlstrom, MD

Summation: Two hospitalist group directors shared their scheduling tools and philosophies regarding optimal scheduling options. Dr. Hazen does the scheduling himself and Dr. Ahlstrom uses a web-based scheduling program. They both acknowledged that provider retention and satisfaction are tightly wrapped up in how you schedule providers. They recommend that groups accommodate individual preference but also be fair and equitable to the entire group.

Key Takeaways

Dr. Hazen recommended:

  • Find good providers first and then try to determine their desires and fit that into the schedule as best as possible.
  • Protect your nocturnists- they burn out easily and provide a key service to the hospital and your group.
  • Find each person's strengths and try to cater to those to make them most successful.
  • Design a weighting (or point system) for various shifts and ensure equality by using that system.
  • The last day on service is a day focused on "discharges" and other patients begin with a new provider coming on service (ensures continuity and lowers LOS).

Dr. Ahlstrom recommended:

  • Block schedules are hard to make flexible and do not always fit with the flux of patient loads and urgent needs of the group.
  • Designing and managing the schedule is a costly endeavor and they shifted this from a physician duty to an administrator's duty. They used the Lightning Bolt solution and have enjoyed significant savings and profit.
  • The ROI is made up of increased encounters, increased provider retention, and decreased locums usage.

Greg Harlan is a pediatric hospitalist, medical director for IPC The Hospitalist Company, and a member of Team Hospitalist.

Presenters: Todd Kislak, MBA, Brian Hazen, MD, Troy Ahlstrom, MD

Summation: Two hospitalist group directors shared their scheduling tools and philosophies regarding optimal scheduling options. Dr. Hazen does the scheduling himself and Dr. Ahlstrom uses a web-based scheduling program. They both acknowledged that provider retention and satisfaction are tightly wrapped up in how you schedule providers. They recommend that groups accommodate individual preference but also be fair and equitable to the entire group.

Key Takeaways

Dr. Hazen recommended:

  • Find good providers first and then try to determine their desires and fit that into the schedule as best as possible.
  • Protect your nocturnists- they burn out easily and provide a key service to the hospital and your group.
  • Find each person's strengths and try to cater to those to make them most successful.
  • Design a weighting (or point system) for various shifts and ensure equality by using that system.
  • The last day on service is a day focused on "discharges" and other patients begin with a new provider coming on service (ensures continuity and lowers LOS).

Dr. Ahlstrom recommended:

  • Block schedules are hard to make flexible and do not always fit with the flux of patient loads and urgent needs of the group.
  • Designing and managing the schedule is a costly endeavor and they shifted this from a physician duty to an administrator's duty. They used the Lightning Bolt solution and have enjoyed significant savings and profit.
  • The ROI is made up of increased encounters, increased provider retention, and decreased locums usage.

Greg Harlan is a pediatric hospitalist, medical director for IPC The Hospitalist Company, and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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Three Join Ranks of Masters in Hospital Medicine

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LAS VEGAS—For three hospitalists at SHM's annual meeting at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino, today will be a masterful day. Patrick Conway, MD, MSc, FAAP, MHM, Steven Pantilat, MD, MHM, and Jack Percelay, MD, MPH, MHM, will be designated Masters in Hospital Medicine (MHM), the growing cadre of hospitalists who have attained SHM’s highest rank. Sixteen hospitalists have attained the MHM designation. The 2014 designees will be honored on stage today during ceremonies that include the announcement of all of SHM’s new fellows and SHM’s Annual Awards of Excellence.

"If you look at the previous MHM recipients, you see the pantheon of hospital medicine—an incredible group of individuals committed to improving the healthcare system and the care of patients," Dr. Pantilat wrote in an email to The Hospitalist eWire. "This designation recognizes that there are people who have made tremendous contributions to the field, and to changing the way we care for patients."


Dr. Pantilat, who was also a member of the inaugural class of Senior Fellows in Hospital Medicine (SFHM), is a professor of medicine in the department of medicine at the University of California at San Francisco (UCSF). He’s the founding director of the UCSF Palliative Care Program and serves as director of its Leadership Center, which trains hospitalists nationwide about how to establish palliative-care services. He is also a former SHM board member and the first recipient of the SHM Excellence in Teaching Award.


"I've never been a master of anything and despite my increasing age, somehow still feel too young to be a master," Dr. Pantilat adds. "Being bestowed with this highest honor in hospital medicine definitely ranks at the top."

Dr. Conway is used to being honored, but he says he still is humbled by the designation. As a former chairman of SHM's Public Policy Committee and the current chief medical officer for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and its deputy administrator for innovation and quality, Dr. Conway is well known—and lauded—for giving HM a voice in Washington, D.C. He views his MHM as the latest sign that his specialty continues to grow and spur positive change in health-care delivery.

"I think the designation demonstrates that hospital medicine is a maturing specialty with strong leaders," he wrote in an email. "In addition, when you look at the current and former masters…it is a stellar group of leaders who are not only advancing hospital medicine, but also changing the face of health care across our nation and improving our health system."

Dr. Percelay is so humbled that he brought his wife, daughter, and mother with him to celebrate the moment. He’s also particularly honored that he and Dr. Conway represent the field of pediatric HM, which he believes has grown tremendously in reputation over the course of his career.

"We've been able to build upon the successes of adult hospital medicine and nurture the inherent 'playing nice in the sandbox' attitude of pediatrics to grow the discipline and work force to the point it's at now where pediatric hospitalists are seen as the experts and innovators for high value pediatric inpatient care," he wrote in an email.

Dr. Percelay is a hospitalist in the pediatric ICU at Saint Barnabas Medical Center in Livingston, N.J., and teaches in the department of physician studies at Pace University of College of Health Professions in New York. He was the founding chairman for the American Academy of Pediatrics Section on Hospital Medicine, an SHM board member from 2005 to 2012, and an associate editor of the Journal of Hospital Medicine. He says attaining the rank of master ranks just behind “being my daughter's father" on his list of personal accomplishments.

 

 

"I've received scholarships in high school, college, and medical school, but those acknowledged at most four years of work," he writes. "This award recognizes 20-plus years of work practicing as a pediatric hospitalist in community settings, caring for children and their families, and contributing to the field as a whole."

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LAS VEGAS—For three hospitalists at SHM's annual meeting at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino, today will be a masterful day. Patrick Conway, MD, MSc, FAAP, MHM, Steven Pantilat, MD, MHM, and Jack Percelay, MD, MPH, MHM, will be designated Masters in Hospital Medicine (MHM), the growing cadre of hospitalists who have attained SHM’s highest rank. Sixteen hospitalists have attained the MHM designation. The 2014 designees will be honored on stage today during ceremonies that include the announcement of all of SHM’s new fellows and SHM’s Annual Awards of Excellence.

"If you look at the previous MHM recipients, you see the pantheon of hospital medicine—an incredible group of individuals committed to improving the healthcare system and the care of patients," Dr. Pantilat wrote in an email to The Hospitalist eWire. "This designation recognizes that there are people who have made tremendous contributions to the field, and to changing the way we care for patients."


Dr. Pantilat, who was also a member of the inaugural class of Senior Fellows in Hospital Medicine (SFHM), is a professor of medicine in the department of medicine at the University of California at San Francisco (UCSF). He’s the founding director of the UCSF Palliative Care Program and serves as director of its Leadership Center, which trains hospitalists nationwide about how to establish palliative-care services. He is also a former SHM board member and the first recipient of the SHM Excellence in Teaching Award.


"I've never been a master of anything and despite my increasing age, somehow still feel too young to be a master," Dr. Pantilat adds. "Being bestowed with this highest honor in hospital medicine definitely ranks at the top."

Dr. Conway is used to being honored, but he says he still is humbled by the designation. As a former chairman of SHM's Public Policy Committee and the current chief medical officer for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and its deputy administrator for innovation and quality, Dr. Conway is well known—and lauded—for giving HM a voice in Washington, D.C. He views his MHM as the latest sign that his specialty continues to grow and spur positive change in health-care delivery.

"I think the designation demonstrates that hospital medicine is a maturing specialty with strong leaders," he wrote in an email. "In addition, when you look at the current and former masters…it is a stellar group of leaders who are not only advancing hospital medicine, but also changing the face of health care across our nation and improving our health system."

Dr. Percelay is so humbled that he brought his wife, daughter, and mother with him to celebrate the moment. He’s also particularly honored that he and Dr. Conway represent the field of pediatric HM, which he believes has grown tremendously in reputation over the course of his career.

"We've been able to build upon the successes of adult hospital medicine and nurture the inherent 'playing nice in the sandbox' attitude of pediatrics to grow the discipline and work force to the point it's at now where pediatric hospitalists are seen as the experts and innovators for high value pediatric inpatient care," he wrote in an email.

Dr. Percelay is a hospitalist in the pediatric ICU at Saint Barnabas Medical Center in Livingston, N.J., and teaches in the department of physician studies at Pace University of College of Health Professions in New York. He was the founding chairman for the American Academy of Pediatrics Section on Hospital Medicine, an SHM board member from 2005 to 2012, and an associate editor of the Journal of Hospital Medicine. He says attaining the rank of master ranks just behind “being my daughter's father" on his list of personal accomplishments.

 

 

"I've received scholarships in high school, college, and medical school, but those acknowledged at most four years of work," he writes. "This award recognizes 20-plus years of work practicing as a pediatric hospitalist in community settings, caring for children and their families, and contributing to the field as a whole."

LAS VEGAS—For three hospitalists at SHM's annual meeting at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino, today will be a masterful day. Patrick Conway, MD, MSc, FAAP, MHM, Steven Pantilat, MD, MHM, and Jack Percelay, MD, MPH, MHM, will be designated Masters in Hospital Medicine (MHM), the growing cadre of hospitalists who have attained SHM’s highest rank. Sixteen hospitalists have attained the MHM designation. The 2014 designees will be honored on stage today during ceremonies that include the announcement of all of SHM’s new fellows and SHM’s Annual Awards of Excellence.

"If you look at the previous MHM recipients, you see the pantheon of hospital medicine—an incredible group of individuals committed to improving the healthcare system and the care of patients," Dr. Pantilat wrote in an email to The Hospitalist eWire. "This designation recognizes that there are people who have made tremendous contributions to the field, and to changing the way we care for patients."


Dr. Pantilat, who was also a member of the inaugural class of Senior Fellows in Hospital Medicine (SFHM), is a professor of medicine in the department of medicine at the University of California at San Francisco (UCSF). He’s the founding director of the UCSF Palliative Care Program and serves as director of its Leadership Center, which trains hospitalists nationwide about how to establish palliative-care services. He is also a former SHM board member and the first recipient of the SHM Excellence in Teaching Award.


"I've never been a master of anything and despite my increasing age, somehow still feel too young to be a master," Dr. Pantilat adds. "Being bestowed with this highest honor in hospital medicine definitely ranks at the top."

Dr. Conway is used to being honored, but he says he still is humbled by the designation. As a former chairman of SHM's Public Policy Committee and the current chief medical officer for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and its deputy administrator for innovation and quality, Dr. Conway is well known—and lauded—for giving HM a voice in Washington, D.C. He views his MHM as the latest sign that his specialty continues to grow and spur positive change in health-care delivery.

"I think the designation demonstrates that hospital medicine is a maturing specialty with strong leaders," he wrote in an email. "In addition, when you look at the current and former masters…it is a stellar group of leaders who are not only advancing hospital medicine, but also changing the face of health care across our nation and improving our health system."

Dr. Percelay is so humbled that he brought his wife, daughter, and mother with him to celebrate the moment. He’s also particularly honored that he and Dr. Conway represent the field of pediatric HM, which he believes has grown tremendously in reputation over the course of his career.

"We've been able to build upon the successes of adult hospital medicine and nurture the inherent 'playing nice in the sandbox' attitude of pediatrics to grow the discipline and work force to the point it's at now where pediatric hospitalists are seen as the experts and innovators for high value pediatric inpatient care," he wrote in an email.

Dr. Percelay is a hospitalist in the pediatric ICU at Saint Barnabas Medical Center in Livingston, N.J., and teaches in the department of physician studies at Pace University of College of Health Professions in New York. He was the founding chairman for the American Academy of Pediatrics Section on Hospital Medicine, an SHM board member from 2005 to 2012, and an associate editor of the Journal of Hospital Medicine. He says attaining the rank of master ranks just behind “being my daughter's father" on his list of personal accomplishments.

 

 

"I've received scholarships in high school, college, and medical school, but those acknowledged at most four years of work," he writes. "This award recognizes 20-plus years of work practicing as a pediatric hospitalist in community settings, caring for children and their families, and contributing to the field as a whole."

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Hospitalists Central To U.S. Health System Transformation

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LAS VEGAS—Hospitalists are poised to be industry leaders and change agents as the rigmarole of healthcare reform shakes out over the next few years, a keynote speaker told a standing-room-only crowd Tuesday at HM14.

Ian Morrison, PhD, a founding partner of Strategic Health Perspectives, a forecasting service for the health-care industry that includes joint-venture partners Harris Interactive and the Harvard School of Public Health’s department of health policy and management, says that while the Affordable Care Act struggled with the rollout of its health exchanges, the broader movement from fee-for-service payment structures to population-based has "turned the corner…and we ain’t going back."

"You, as a society, you, as a group, need to take the long view," Dr. Morrison told 3,500 hospitalists at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino. "You are going to be central to this transformation."

Morrison, a native of Scotland whose delivery is half stand-up comic, half policy wonk, says hospitalists will be on the front lines as health care shifts from local health systems to just 100 to 200 regional or super-regional systems.

And while politicians and pundits dicker over how a generational shift in policies will be implemented, hospitalists will be the ones balancing that change with patients' needs.

"This is the work of the future," Morrison says. "And it is not policy wonk work; it is clinical work. It is about the transformation of the delivery system. That is the central challenge of the future. We've got to integrate across the continuum of care, using all the innovation that both public and private sectors can deliver.

"This is not going to be determined by CMS, in my view, but by the kind of innovation that America is always good at."

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LAS VEGAS—Hospitalists are poised to be industry leaders and change agents as the rigmarole of healthcare reform shakes out over the next few years, a keynote speaker told a standing-room-only crowd Tuesday at HM14.

Ian Morrison, PhD, a founding partner of Strategic Health Perspectives, a forecasting service for the health-care industry that includes joint-venture partners Harris Interactive and the Harvard School of Public Health’s department of health policy and management, says that while the Affordable Care Act struggled with the rollout of its health exchanges, the broader movement from fee-for-service payment structures to population-based has "turned the corner…and we ain’t going back."

"You, as a society, you, as a group, need to take the long view," Dr. Morrison told 3,500 hospitalists at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino. "You are going to be central to this transformation."

Morrison, a native of Scotland whose delivery is half stand-up comic, half policy wonk, says hospitalists will be on the front lines as health care shifts from local health systems to just 100 to 200 regional or super-regional systems.

And while politicians and pundits dicker over how a generational shift in policies will be implemented, hospitalists will be the ones balancing that change with patients' needs.

"This is the work of the future," Morrison says. "And it is not policy wonk work; it is clinical work. It is about the transformation of the delivery system. That is the central challenge of the future. We've got to integrate across the continuum of care, using all the innovation that both public and private sectors can deliver.

"This is not going to be determined by CMS, in my view, but by the kind of innovation that America is always good at."

LAS VEGAS—Hospitalists are poised to be industry leaders and change agents as the rigmarole of healthcare reform shakes out over the next few years, a keynote speaker told a standing-room-only crowd Tuesday at HM14.

Ian Morrison, PhD, a founding partner of Strategic Health Perspectives, a forecasting service for the health-care industry that includes joint-venture partners Harris Interactive and the Harvard School of Public Health’s department of health policy and management, says that while the Affordable Care Act struggled with the rollout of its health exchanges, the broader movement from fee-for-service payment structures to population-based has "turned the corner…and we ain’t going back."

"You, as a society, you, as a group, need to take the long view," Dr. Morrison told 3,500 hospitalists at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino. "You are going to be central to this transformation."

Morrison, a native of Scotland whose delivery is half stand-up comic, half policy wonk, says hospitalists will be on the front lines as health care shifts from local health systems to just 100 to 200 regional or super-regional systems.

And while politicians and pundits dicker over how a generational shift in policies will be implemented, hospitalists will be the ones balancing that change with patients' needs.

"This is the work of the future," Morrison says. "And it is not policy wonk work; it is clinical work. It is about the transformation of the delivery system. That is the central challenge of the future. We've got to integrate across the continuum of care, using all the innovation that both public and private sectors can deliver.

"This is not going to be determined by CMS, in my view, but by the kind of innovation that America is always good at."

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HM14 Special Report: When Cellulitis Isn't: Identifying Cellulitis Mimics

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HM14 Special Report: When Cellulitis Isn't: Identifying Cellulitis Mimics

Presenter: Daniela Kroshinsky, MD, MPH

Summation: Cellulitis accounts for up to 10% of infectious disease hospitalizations and for about 3 billion/year in healthcare costs for both inpatient and outpatient treatment. Dr. Kroshinsky pointed out that dependent on patient factors, inadequately treated or recurrent cellulitis can lead to significant complications with chronic stasis changes and ulcerations. The diagnosis of cellulitis is typically made on physical exam. Cellulitis may have unusual presentations and at times the diagnosis can be difficult.

Hospitalists need to be aware that cellulitis has multiple mimics, and between 28% to 33% of patients are misdiagnosed as having cellulitis.

Dr. Kroshinsky listed a number of differential diagnoses. Frequent alternative diagnoses are dermatitis due to venous stasis or caused by lymphedema. Other skin conditions that need to be considered include erysipeloid, erythema migrans, atypical zoster, tinea and other fungal infections as well as skin changes caused by underlying malignancies.

Key Takeaways

  • The diagnosis of cellulitis has a high error rate
  • It is important to treat cellulitis adequately to prevent chronic skin changes and ulcers
  • If cellulitis does not respond to appropriate antibacterial treatment, consider alternative diagnoses
  • Be aware that many skin conditions can mimic cellulitis in immunocompromised patients

Klaus Suehler is a hospitalist at Mercy Hospital at Allina Health in Coon Rapids, Minn., and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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Presenter: Daniela Kroshinsky, MD, MPH

Summation: Cellulitis accounts for up to 10% of infectious disease hospitalizations and for about 3 billion/year in healthcare costs for both inpatient and outpatient treatment. Dr. Kroshinsky pointed out that dependent on patient factors, inadequately treated or recurrent cellulitis can lead to significant complications with chronic stasis changes and ulcerations. The diagnosis of cellulitis is typically made on physical exam. Cellulitis may have unusual presentations and at times the diagnosis can be difficult.

Hospitalists need to be aware that cellulitis has multiple mimics, and between 28% to 33% of patients are misdiagnosed as having cellulitis.

Dr. Kroshinsky listed a number of differential diagnoses. Frequent alternative diagnoses are dermatitis due to venous stasis or caused by lymphedema. Other skin conditions that need to be considered include erysipeloid, erythema migrans, atypical zoster, tinea and other fungal infections as well as skin changes caused by underlying malignancies.

Key Takeaways

  • The diagnosis of cellulitis has a high error rate
  • It is important to treat cellulitis adequately to prevent chronic skin changes and ulcers
  • If cellulitis does not respond to appropriate antibacterial treatment, consider alternative diagnoses
  • Be aware that many skin conditions can mimic cellulitis in immunocompromised patients

Klaus Suehler is a hospitalist at Mercy Hospital at Allina Health in Coon Rapids, Minn., and a member of Team Hospitalist.

Presenter: Daniela Kroshinsky, MD, MPH

Summation: Cellulitis accounts for up to 10% of infectious disease hospitalizations and for about 3 billion/year in healthcare costs for both inpatient and outpatient treatment. Dr. Kroshinsky pointed out that dependent on patient factors, inadequately treated or recurrent cellulitis can lead to significant complications with chronic stasis changes and ulcerations. The diagnosis of cellulitis is typically made on physical exam. Cellulitis may have unusual presentations and at times the diagnosis can be difficult.

Hospitalists need to be aware that cellulitis has multiple mimics, and between 28% to 33% of patients are misdiagnosed as having cellulitis.

Dr. Kroshinsky listed a number of differential diagnoses. Frequent alternative diagnoses are dermatitis due to venous stasis or caused by lymphedema. Other skin conditions that need to be considered include erysipeloid, erythema migrans, atypical zoster, tinea and other fungal infections as well as skin changes caused by underlying malignancies.

Key Takeaways

  • The diagnosis of cellulitis has a high error rate
  • It is important to treat cellulitis adequately to prevent chronic skin changes and ulcers
  • If cellulitis does not respond to appropriate antibacterial treatment, consider alternative diagnoses
  • Be aware that many skin conditions can mimic cellulitis in immunocompromised patients

Klaus Suehler is a hospitalist at Mercy Hospital at Allina Health in Coon Rapids, Minn., and a member of Team Hospitalist.

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HM14 Special Report: The Future of the Healthcare Marketplace

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HM14 Special Report: The Future of the Healthcare Marketplace

A Scot who describes himself as a “professional futurist,” Ian Morrison, MD, helped HM14 get off to a start with laughter. Describing the background of the changes leading to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Dr. Morrison repeated his key point several times: “We’ve got to change the delivery system.”

This overview is very timely as the deadline for enrollment to comply with the Affordable Care Act is March 31, 2014. Dr. Morrison cited that as of March 11, more than five million Americans have enrolled in exchanges and over 80% of them have paid premiums. Up to 14 million Americans are eligible for Medicaid expansion programs. It is unknown how many of these people were previously uninsured.

Dr. Morrison described several key current issues, including:

1. There are “two Americas”—those states expanding Medicaid and those states declining any expansion;

2. The ACA is the “the Law of the Land.” The difficult task is now implementing this large change in the industry;

3. Accountable Care is a megatrend, but accountable care organizations may not continue in the form they are now;

4. Pressure on costs and delivering value is intensifying;

5. Medicare is still a major part of the healthcare system. “Learning to live in Medicare” means taking out 10% to 20% of costs; and

6. There is a renewed focus on primary care.

Dr. Morrison shared a vision of the future as these trends continue. There will continue to be “massive consolidation” in which there may be only 100-200 large regional healthcare systems in the U.S. Related to this linked care, clinical protocols will be more widely used. Care coordination of transitions will be at a premium. The transition of moving away from hospital admissions to more home care will be economically and culturally challenging.

As a transition to the future of healthcare, Dr. Morrison reviewed the concept of “the second curve” in business. Most hospitals have mastered the first curve of volume-based care, which is daily business and operations. The second curve, which is more value-based care, is a new way of doing business. Individual hospitals and healthcare systems must plan for, and succeed with, the second curve to survive. Dr. Morrison said this pressure on the healthcare system and the second curve is real, stating, “We turned the corner and we ain’t going back.”

Public purchasers will continue to play a growing role in the future. Dr. Morrison explained why Medicare Advantage is so resilient. Public employers have huge retiree health benefit problems. Dr. Morrison predicts that public payers will be more dominant by 2020 and public exchanges will grow after a rocky start.

Even with a disruptive start to the healthcare exchanges, Dr. Morrison encouraged the audience to think of the long-term benefits of the healthcare system changes.

He envisions four scenarios for the exchanges:

1. Managed competition nirvana. In this system, both public and private exchanges can grow;

2. Minor miracle. This is where the system is now at the start of exchanges;

3. Single-payer system. This would enable public exchanges to continue to grow and succeed; and

4. Meltdown, caused by patient- and system-risk or politics.

The work of the future is the transformation of the delivery system. This difficult work includes the centrality of clinical integration, information technology, “learning to live on Medicare”, managing a business model migration (from curve 1 to 2), and finally, building a culture of quality and accountability.

Dr. Morrison ended this enlightening session with several ACA implications and roles for hospitalists:

1. Take the long view. This is an area where hospitalists can continue to be leaders;

 

 

2. Redesign acute care, with hospitalists taking the lead;

3. Reach out beyond the walls. It will be very important for hospitalists to work even more closely with primary care providers;

4. Bring your clinical colleagues along to pursue the “triple aim” (better health, better healthcare, and lower per capita costs); and

5. Benefit patients, payers and providers through these changes.

Key points:

• “We’ve got to change the delivery system;”

• The changes in the healthcare system are areas in which hospitalists can continue to be leaders;

• ACA changes can be better for the patient, payer and provider; and

• HM14 is off to a strong start with a clear, overarching goal of hospitalists leading the changing world of medicine.

Dr. Hale is a pediatric hospitalist at the Floating Hospital for Children at Tufts Medical Center in Boston.

Issue
The Hospitalist - 2014(03)
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A Scot who describes himself as a “professional futurist,” Ian Morrison, MD, helped HM14 get off to a start with laughter. Describing the background of the changes leading to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Dr. Morrison repeated his key point several times: “We’ve got to change the delivery system.”

This overview is very timely as the deadline for enrollment to comply with the Affordable Care Act is March 31, 2014. Dr. Morrison cited that as of March 11, more than five million Americans have enrolled in exchanges and over 80% of them have paid premiums. Up to 14 million Americans are eligible for Medicaid expansion programs. It is unknown how many of these people were previously uninsured.

Dr. Morrison described several key current issues, including:

1. There are “two Americas”—those states expanding Medicaid and those states declining any expansion;

2. The ACA is the “the Law of the Land.” The difficult task is now implementing this large change in the industry;

3. Accountable Care is a megatrend, but accountable care organizations may not continue in the form they are now;

4. Pressure on costs and delivering value is intensifying;

5. Medicare is still a major part of the healthcare system. “Learning to live in Medicare” means taking out 10% to 20% of costs; and

6. There is a renewed focus on primary care.

Dr. Morrison shared a vision of the future as these trends continue. There will continue to be “massive consolidation” in which there may be only 100-200 large regional healthcare systems in the U.S. Related to this linked care, clinical protocols will be more widely used. Care coordination of transitions will be at a premium. The transition of moving away from hospital admissions to more home care will be economically and culturally challenging.

As a transition to the future of healthcare, Dr. Morrison reviewed the concept of “the second curve” in business. Most hospitals have mastered the first curve of volume-based care, which is daily business and operations. The second curve, which is more value-based care, is a new way of doing business. Individual hospitals and healthcare systems must plan for, and succeed with, the second curve to survive. Dr. Morrison said this pressure on the healthcare system and the second curve is real, stating, “We turned the corner and we ain’t going back.”

Public purchasers will continue to play a growing role in the future. Dr. Morrison explained why Medicare Advantage is so resilient. Public employers have huge retiree health benefit problems. Dr. Morrison predicts that public payers will be more dominant by 2020 and public exchanges will grow after a rocky start.

Even with a disruptive start to the healthcare exchanges, Dr. Morrison encouraged the audience to think of the long-term benefits of the healthcare system changes.

He envisions four scenarios for the exchanges:

1. Managed competition nirvana. In this system, both public and private exchanges can grow;

2. Minor miracle. This is where the system is now at the start of exchanges;

3. Single-payer system. This would enable public exchanges to continue to grow and succeed; and

4. Meltdown, caused by patient- and system-risk or politics.

The work of the future is the transformation of the delivery system. This difficult work includes the centrality of clinical integration, information technology, “learning to live on Medicare”, managing a business model migration (from curve 1 to 2), and finally, building a culture of quality and accountability.

Dr. Morrison ended this enlightening session with several ACA implications and roles for hospitalists:

1. Take the long view. This is an area where hospitalists can continue to be leaders;

 

 

2. Redesign acute care, with hospitalists taking the lead;

3. Reach out beyond the walls. It will be very important for hospitalists to work even more closely with primary care providers;

4. Bring your clinical colleagues along to pursue the “triple aim” (better health, better healthcare, and lower per capita costs); and

5. Benefit patients, payers and providers through these changes.

Key points:

• “We’ve got to change the delivery system;”

• The changes in the healthcare system are areas in which hospitalists can continue to be leaders;

• ACA changes can be better for the patient, payer and provider; and

• HM14 is off to a strong start with a clear, overarching goal of hospitalists leading the changing world of medicine.

Dr. Hale is a pediatric hospitalist at the Floating Hospital for Children at Tufts Medical Center in Boston.

A Scot who describes himself as a “professional futurist,” Ian Morrison, MD, helped HM14 get off to a start with laughter. Describing the background of the changes leading to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Dr. Morrison repeated his key point several times: “We’ve got to change the delivery system.”

This overview is very timely as the deadline for enrollment to comply with the Affordable Care Act is March 31, 2014. Dr. Morrison cited that as of March 11, more than five million Americans have enrolled in exchanges and over 80% of them have paid premiums. Up to 14 million Americans are eligible for Medicaid expansion programs. It is unknown how many of these people were previously uninsured.

Dr. Morrison described several key current issues, including:

1. There are “two Americas”—those states expanding Medicaid and those states declining any expansion;

2. The ACA is the “the Law of the Land.” The difficult task is now implementing this large change in the industry;

3. Accountable Care is a megatrend, but accountable care organizations may not continue in the form they are now;

4. Pressure on costs and delivering value is intensifying;

5. Medicare is still a major part of the healthcare system. “Learning to live in Medicare” means taking out 10% to 20% of costs; and

6. There is a renewed focus on primary care.

Dr. Morrison shared a vision of the future as these trends continue. There will continue to be “massive consolidation” in which there may be only 100-200 large regional healthcare systems in the U.S. Related to this linked care, clinical protocols will be more widely used. Care coordination of transitions will be at a premium. The transition of moving away from hospital admissions to more home care will be economically and culturally challenging.

As a transition to the future of healthcare, Dr. Morrison reviewed the concept of “the second curve” in business. Most hospitals have mastered the first curve of volume-based care, which is daily business and operations. The second curve, which is more value-based care, is a new way of doing business. Individual hospitals and healthcare systems must plan for, and succeed with, the second curve to survive. Dr. Morrison said this pressure on the healthcare system and the second curve is real, stating, “We turned the corner and we ain’t going back.”

Public purchasers will continue to play a growing role in the future. Dr. Morrison explained why Medicare Advantage is so resilient. Public employers have huge retiree health benefit problems. Dr. Morrison predicts that public payers will be more dominant by 2020 and public exchanges will grow after a rocky start.

Even with a disruptive start to the healthcare exchanges, Dr. Morrison encouraged the audience to think of the long-term benefits of the healthcare system changes.

He envisions four scenarios for the exchanges:

1. Managed competition nirvana. In this system, both public and private exchanges can grow;

2. Minor miracle. This is where the system is now at the start of exchanges;

3. Single-payer system. This would enable public exchanges to continue to grow and succeed; and

4. Meltdown, caused by patient- and system-risk or politics.

The work of the future is the transformation of the delivery system. This difficult work includes the centrality of clinical integration, information technology, “learning to live on Medicare”, managing a business model migration (from curve 1 to 2), and finally, building a culture of quality and accountability.

Dr. Morrison ended this enlightening session with several ACA implications and roles for hospitalists:

1. Take the long view. This is an area where hospitalists can continue to be leaders;

 

 

2. Redesign acute care, with hospitalists taking the lead;

3. Reach out beyond the walls. It will be very important for hospitalists to work even more closely with primary care providers;

4. Bring your clinical colleagues along to pursue the “triple aim” (better health, better healthcare, and lower per capita costs); and

5. Benefit patients, payers and providers through these changes.

Key points:

• “We’ve got to change the delivery system;”

• The changes in the healthcare system are areas in which hospitalists can continue to be leaders;

• ACA changes can be better for the patient, payer and provider; and

• HM14 is off to a strong start with a clear, overarching goal of hospitalists leading the changing world of medicine.

Dr. Hale is a pediatric hospitalist at the Floating Hospital for Children at Tufts Medical Center in Boston.

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