Acute Coronary Syndromes

There has been much hyperbole since the presentation of results from the SELECT cardiovascular outcomes trial (CVOT) at this year’s European Congress on Obesity, which led many to herald semaglutide as the “new statin.”

In the SELECT CVOT, participants with overweight or obesity (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 27), established cardiovascular disease (CVD), and no history of type 2 diabetes were administered the injectable glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist semaglutide (Wegovy) at a 2.4-mg dose weekly. Treatment resulted in a significant 20% relative risk reduction in major adverse CV events (a composite endpoint comprising CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke). Importantly, SELECT was a trial on secondary prevention of CVD. 

The CV benefits of semaglutide were notably independent of baseline weight or amount of weight lost. This suggests that the underlying driver of improved CV outcomes with semaglutide extends beyond simple reduction in obesity and perhaps indicates a direct effect on vasculature and reduction in atherosclerosis, although this remains unproven.
 

Not All Risk Reduction Is Equal 

Much of the sensationalist coverage in the lay press focused on the 20% relative risk reduction figure. This endpoint is often more impressive and headline-grabbing than the absolute risk reduction, which provides a clearer view of a treatment’s real-world impact.

In SELECT, the absolute risk reduction was 1.5 percentage points, which translated into a number needed to treat (NNT) of 67 over 34 months to prevent one primary outcome of a major adverse CV event.

Lower NNTs suggest more effective treatments because fewer people need to be treated to prevent one clinical event, such as the major adverse CV events used in SELECT.
 

Semaglutide vs Statins

How does the clinical effectiveness observed in the SELECT trial compare with that observed in statin trials when it comes to the secondary prevention of CVD?

The seminal 4S study published in 1994 explored the impact of simvastatin on all-cause mortality among people with previous myocardial infarction or angina and hyperlipidemia (mean baseline BMI, 26). After 5.4 years of follow-up, the trial was stopped early owing to a 3.3-percentage point absolute risk reduction in all-cause mortality (NNT, 30; relative risk reduction, 28%). The NNT to prevent one death from CV causes was 31, and the NNT to prevent one major coronary event was lower, at 15.

Other statin secondary prevention trials, such as the LIPID and MIRACL studies, demonstrated similarly low NNTs.

So, you can see that the NNTs for statins in secondary prevention are much lower than with semaglutide in SELECT. Furthermore, the benefits of semaglutide in preventing CVD in people living with overweight/obesity have yet to be elucidated. 

In contrast, we already have published evidence showing the benefits of statins in the primary prevention of CVD, albeit with higher and more variable NNTs than in the statin secondary prevention studies. 

The benefits of statins are also postulated to extend beyond their impact on lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Statins have been suggested to have anti-inflammatory and plaque-stabilizing effects, among other pleiotropic benefits.

We also currently lack evidence for the cost-effectiveness of semaglutide for CV risk reduction. Assessing economic viability and use in health care systems, such as the UK’s National Health Service, involves comparing the cost of semaglutide against the health care savings from prevented CV events. Health economic studies are vital to determine whether the benefits justify the expense. In contrast, the cost-effectiveness of statins is well established, particularly for high-risk individuals.
 

Advantages of GLP-1s Should Not Be Overlooked

Of course, statins don’t provide the significant weight loss benefits of semaglutide. 

Additional data from SELECT presented at the 2024 European Congress on Obesity demonstrated that participants lost a mean of 10.2% body weight and 7.7 cm from their waist circumference after 4 years. Moreover, after 2 years, 12% of individuals randomized to semaglutide had returned to a normal BMI, and nearly half were no longer living with obesity.

Although the CV benefits of semaglutide were independent of weight reduction, this level of weight loss is clinically meaningful and will reduce the risk of many other cardiometabolic conditions including type 2 diabetes, metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease, and obstructive sleep apnea/hypopnea syndrome, as well as improve low mood, depression, and overall quality of life. Additionally, obesity is now a risk factor for 13 different types of cancer, including bowel, breast, and pancreatic cancer, so facilitating a return to a healthier body weight will also mitigate future risk for cancer.
 

Sticking With Our Cornerstone Therapy, For Now

In conclusion, I do not believe that semaglutide is the “new statin.” Statins are the cornerstone of primary and secondary prevention of CVD in a wide range of comorbidities, as evidenced in multiple large and high-quality trials dating back over 30 years.

However, there is no doubt that the GLP-1 receptor agonist class is the most significant therapeutic advance for the management of obesity and comorbidities to date. 

The SELECT CVOT data uniquely position semaglutide as a secondary CVD prevention agent on top of guideline-driven management for people living with overweight/obesity and established CVD. Additionally, the clinically meaningful weight loss achieved with semaglutide will impact the risk of developing many other cardiometabolic conditions, as well as improve mental health and overall quality of life.

Dr. Fernando, GP Partner, North Berwick Health Centre, North Berwick, Scotland, creates concise clinical aide-mémoire for primary and secondary care to make life easier for health care professionals and ultimately to improve the lives of patients. He is very active on social media (X handle @drkevinfernando), where he posts hot topics in type 2 diabetes and CVRM. He recently has forayed into YouTube (@DrKevinFernando) and TikTok (@drkevinfernando) with patient-facing video content. Dr. Fernando has been elected to Fellowship of the Royal College of General Practitioners, the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, and the Academy of Medical Educators for his work in diabetes and medical education. He has disclosed the following relevant financial relationships: Serve(d) as a speaker or a member of a speakers bureau for AstraZeneca; Boehringer Ingelheim; Lilly; Menarini; Bayer; Dexcom; Novartis; Novo Nordisk; Amgen; and Daiichi Sankyo; received income in an amount equal to or greater than $250 from AstraZeneca; Boehringer Ingelheim; Lilly; Menarini; Bayer; Dexcom; Novartis; Novo Nordisk; Amgen; and Daiichi Sankyo.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

There has been much hyperbole since the presentation of results from the SELECT cardiovascular outcomes trial (CVOT) at this year’s European Congress on Obesity, which led many to herald semaglutide as the “new statin.”

In the SELECT CVOT, participants with overweight or obesity (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 27), established cardiovascular disease (CVD), and no history of type 2 diabetes were administered the injectable glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist semaglutide (Wegovy) at a 2.4-mg dose weekly. Treatment resulted in a significant 20% relative risk reduction in major adverse CV events (a composite endpoint comprising CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke). Importantly, SELECT was a trial on secondary prevention of CVD. 

The CV benefits of semaglutide were notably independent of baseline weight or amount of weight lost. This suggests that the underlying driver of improved CV outcomes with semaglutide extends beyond simple reduction in obesity and perhaps indicates a direct effect on vasculature and reduction in atherosclerosis, although this remains unproven.
 

Not All Risk Reduction Is Equal 

Much of the sensationalist coverage in the lay press focused on the 20% relative risk reduction figure. This endpoint is often more impressive and headline-grabbing than the absolute risk reduction, which provides a clearer view of a treatment’s real-world impact.

In SELECT, the absolute risk reduction was 1.5 percentage points, which translated into a number needed to treat (NNT) of 67 over 34 months to prevent one primary outcome of a major adverse CV event.

Lower NNTs suggest more effective treatments because fewer people need to be treated to prevent one clinical event, such as the major adverse CV events used in SELECT.
 

Semaglutide vs Statins

How does the clinical effectiveness observed in the SELECT trial compare with that observed in statin trials when it comes to the secondary prevention of CVD?

The seminal 4S study published in 1994 explored the impact of simvastatin on all-cause mortality among people with previous myocardial infarction or angina and hyperlipidemia (mean baseline BMI, 26). After 5.4 years of follow-up, the trial was stopped early owing to a 3.3-percentage point absolute risk reduction in all-cause mortality (NNT, 30; relative risk reduction, 28%). The NNT to prevent one death from CV causes was 31, and the NNT to prevent one major coronary event was lower, at 15.

Other statin secondary prevention trials, such as the LIPID and MIRACL studies, demonstrated similarly low NNTs.

So, you can see that the NNTs for statins in secondary prevention are much lower than with semaglutide in SELECT. Furthermore, the benefits of semaglutide in preventing CVD in people living with overweight/obesity have yet to be elucidated. 

In contrast, we already have published evidence showing the benefits of statins in the primary prevention of CVD, albeit with higher and more variable NNTs than in the statin secondary prevention studies. 

The benefits of statins are also postulated to extend beyond their impact on lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Statins have been suggested to have anti-inflammatory and plaque-stabilizing effects, among other pleiotropic benefits.

We also currently lack evidence for the cost-effectiveness of semaglutide for CV risk reduction. Assessing economic viability and use in health care systems, such as the UK’s National Health Service, involves comparing the cost of semaglutide against the health care savings from prevented CV events. Health economic studies are vital to determine whether the benefits justify the expense. In contrast, the cost-effectiveness of statins is well established, particularly for high-risk individuals.
 

Advantages of GLP-1s Should Not Be Overlooked

Of course, statins don’t provide the significant weight loss benefits of semaglutide. 

Additional data from SELECT presented at the 2024 European Congress on Obesity demonstrated that participants lost a mean of 10.2% body weight and 7.7 cm from their waist circumference after 4 years. Moreover, after 2 years, 12% of individuals randomized to semaglutide had returned to a normal BMI, and nearly half were no longer living with obesity.

Although the CV benefits of semaglutide were independent of weight reduction, this level of weight loss is clinically meaningful and will reduce the risk of many other cardiometabolic conditions including type 2 diabetes, metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease, and obstructive sleep apnea/hypopnea syndrome, as well as improve low mood, depression, and overall quality of life. Additionally, obesity is now a risk factor for 13 different types of cancer, including bowel, breast, and pancreatic cancer, so facilitating a return to a healthier body weight will also mitigate future risk for cancer.
 

Sticking With Our Cornerstone Therapy, For Now

In conclusion, I do not believe that semaglutide is the “new statin.” Statins are the cornerstone of primary and secondary prevention of CVD in a wide range of comorbidities, as evidenced in multiple large and high-quality trials dating back over 30 years.

However, there is no doubt that the GLP-1 receptor agonist class is the most significant therapeutic advance for the management of obesity and comorbidities to date. 

The SELECT CVOT data uniquely position semaglutide as a secondary CVD prevention agent on top of guideline-driven management for people living with overweight/obesity and established CVD. Additionally, the clinically meaningful weight loss achieved with semaglutide will impact the risk of developing many other cardiometabolic conditions, as well as improve mental health and overall quality of life.

Dr. Fernando, GP Partner, North Berwick Health Centre, North Berwick, Scotland, creates concise clinical aide-mémoire for primary and secondary care to make life easier for health care professionals and ultimately to improve the lives of patients. He is very active on social media (X handle @drkevinfernando), where he posts hot topics in type 2 diabetes and CVRM. He recently has forayed into YouTube (@DrKevinFernando) and TikTok (@drkevinfernando) with patient-facing video content. Dr. Fernando has been elected to Fellowship of the Royal College of General Practitioners, the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, and the Academy of Medical Educators for his work in diabetes and medical education. He has disclosed the following relevant financial relationships: Serve(d) as a speaker or a member of a speakers bureau for AstraZeneca; Boehringer Ingelheim; Lilly; Menarini; Bayer; Dexcom; Novartis; Novo Nordisk; Amgen; and Daiichi Sankyo; received income in an amount equal to or greater than $250 from AstraZeneca; Boehringer Ingelheim; Lilly; Menarini; Bayer; Dexcom; Novartis; Novo Nordisk; Amgen; and Daiichi Sankyo.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

There has been much hyperbole since the presentation of results from the SELECT cardiovascular outcomes trial (CVOT) at this year’s European Congress on Obesity, which led many to herald semaglutide as the “new statin.”

In the SELECT CVOT, participants with overweight or obesity (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 27), established cardiovascular disease (CVD), and no history of type 2 diabetes were administered the injectable glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist semaglutide (Wegovy) at a 2.4-mg dose weekly. Treatment resulted in a significant 20% relative risk reduction in major adverse CV events (a composite endpoint comprising CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke). Importantly, SELECT was a trial on secondary prevention of CVD. 

The CV benefits of semaglutide were notably independent of baseline weight or amount of weight lost. This suggests that the underlying driver of improved CV outcomes with semaglutide extends beyond simple reduction in obesity and perhaps indicates a direct effect on vasculature and reduction in atherosclerosis, although this remains unproven.
 

Not All Risk Reduction Is Equal 

Much of the sensationalist coverage in the lay press focused on the 20% relative risk reduction figure. This endpoint is often more impressive and headline-grabbing than the absolute risk reduction, which provides a clearer view of a treatment’s real-world impact.

In SELECT, the absolute risk reduction was 1.5 percentage points, which translated into a number needed to treat (NNT) of 67 over 34 months to prevent one primary outcome of a major adverse CV event.

Lower NNTs suggest more effective treatments because fewer people need to be treated to prevent one clinical event, such as the major adverse CV events used in SELECT.
 

Semaglutide vs Statins

How does the clinical effectiveness observed in the SELECT trial compare with that observed in statin trials when it comes to the secondary prevention of CVD?

The seminal 4S study published in 1994 explored the impact of simvastatin on all-cause mortality among people with previous myocardial infarction or angina and hyperlipidemia (mean baseline BMI, 26). After 5.4 years of follow-up, the trial was stopped early owing to a 3.3-percentage point absolute risk reduction in all-cause mortality (NNT, 30; relative risk reduction, 28%). The NNT to prevent one death from CV causes was 31, and the NNT to prevent one major coronary event was lower, at 15.

Other statin secondary prevention trials, such as the LIPID and MIRACL studies, demonstrated similarly low NNTs.

So, you can see that the NNTs for statins in secondary prevention are much lower than with semaglutide in SELECT. Furthermore, the benefits of semaglutide in preventing CVD in people living with overweight/obesity have yet to be elucidated. 

In contrast, we already have published evidence showing the benefits of statins in the primary prevention of CVD, albeit with higher and more variable NNTs than in the statin secondary prevention studies. 

The benefits of statins are also postulated to extend beyond their impact on lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Statins have been suggested to have anti-inflammatory and plaque-stabilizing effects, among other pleiotropic benefits.

We also currently lack evidence for the cost-effectiveness of semaglutide for CV risk reduction. Assessing economic viability and use in health care systems, such as the UK’s National Health Service, involves comparing the cost of semaglutide against the health care savings from prevented CV events. Health economic studies are vital to determine whether the benefits justify the expense. In contrast, the cost-effectiveness of statins is well established, particularly for high-risk individuals.
 

Advantages of GLP-1s Should Not Be Overlooked

Of course, statins don’t provide the significant weight loss benefits of semaglutide. 

Additional data from SELECT presented at the 2024 European Congress on Obesity demonstrated that participants lost a mean of 10.2% body weight and 7.7 cm from their waist circumference after 4 years. Moreover, after 2 years, 12% of individuals randomized to semaglutide had returned to a normal BMI, and nearly half were no longer living with obesity.

Although the CV benefits of semaglutide were independent of weight reduction, this level of weight loss is clinically meaningful and will reduce the risk of many other cardiometabolic conditions including type 2 diabetes, metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease, and obstructive sleep apnea/hypopnea syndrome, as well as improve low mood, depression, and overall quality of life. Additionally, obesity is now a risk factor for 13 different types of cancer, including bowel, breast, and pancreatic cancer, so facilitating a return to a healthier body weight will also mitigate future risk for cancer.
 

Sticking With Our Cornerstone Therapy, For Now

In conclusion, I do not believe that semaglutide is the “new statin.” Statins are the cornerstone of primary and secondary prevention of CVD in a wide range of comorbidities, as evidenced in multiple large and high-quality trials dating back over 30 years.

However, there is no doubt that the GLP-1 receptor agonist class is the most significant therapeutic advance for the management of obesity and comorbidities to date. 

The SELECT CVOT data uniquely position semaglutide as a secondary CVD prevention agent on top of guideline-driven management for people living with overweight/obesity and established CVD. Additionally, the clinically meaningful weight loss achieved with semaglutide will impact the risk of developing many other cardiometabolic conditions, as well as improve mental health and overall quality of life.

Dr. Fernando, GP Partner, North Berwick Health Centre, North Berwick, Scotland, creates concise clinical aide-mémoire for primary and secondary care to make life easier for health care professionals and ultimately to improve the lives of patients. He is very active on social media (X handle @drkevinfernando), where he posts hot topics in type 2 diabetes and CVRM. He recently has forayed into YouTube (@DrKevinFernando) and TikTok (@drkevinfernando) with patient-facing video content. Dr. Fernando has been elected to Fellowship of the Royal College of General Practitioners, the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, and the Academy of Medical Educators for his work in diabetes and medical education. He has disclosed the following relevant financial relationships: Serve(d) as a speaker or a member of a speakers bureau for AstraZeneca; Boehringer Ingelheim; Lilly; Menarini; Bayer; Dexcom; Novartis; Novo Nordisk; Amgen; and Daiichi Sankyo; received income in an amount equal to or greater than $250 from AstraZeneca; Boehringer Ingelheim; Lilly; Menarini; Bayer; Dexcom; Novartis; Novo Nordisk; Amgen; and Daiichi Sankyo.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Arterial stiffness increases the risk for developing glaucoma, a new study found.

METHODOLOGY:

• To study the link between arterial stiffness and glaucoma, the researchers evaluated 4713 individuals (mean age, 66 years; 58% men) without the eye condition at baseline between April 2011 and November 2012.
• They assessed arterial stiffness by measuring aortic pulse wave velocity, estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and aortic pulse pressure.
• The primary outcome was incident glaucoma, identified from prescriptions for eye drops or hospital records.

TAKEAWAY:

• Overall, 301 people in the study developed glaucoma over a mean follow-up period of 10.5 years.
• For every standard deviation increase in aortic pulse wave velocity, participants had a 32% higher risk for developing glaucoma (standardized hazard ratio [sHR], 1.32; 95% CI, 1.10-1.60), while estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity was associated with a 37% higher risk (sHR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.11-1.70).
• Incident glaucoma increased across all quartiles of arterial stiffness, with the highest risk observed in the fourth quartile for aortic pulse wave velocity (HR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.36-4.26), estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.27-4.13), and aortic pulse pressure (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.10-2.82).
• The cumulative incidence of glaucoma rose with increases in arterial stiffness. This trend was statistically significant for both aortic and estimated pulse wave velocity (P < .0001) and aortic pulse pressure (P = .02).

IN PRACTICE:

“Arterial stiffness…which can be easily and accurately measured, could be used as a tool in clinical practice [as part of routine blood pressure measurement] to help identify people at risk of glaucoma and as a therapeutic target to prevent glaucoma progression,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

This study was led by Angela L. Beros, MPH, of the School of Population Health at the University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand, and published online in the American Journal of Ophthalmology.

LIMITATIONS:

The cohort study did not clinically assess for glaucoma, potentially leading to the inclusion of individuals with the condition. Not all participants with incident glaucoma, particularly those unaware of their diagnosis, may have been identified. Intraocular pressure and central corneal thickness, which are common risk factors for glaucoma, were not included in the multivariate analysis.

DISCLOSURES:

The study did not receive any funding. The authors declared no conflicts of interest.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Arterial stiffness increases the risk for developing glaucoma, a new study found.

METHODOLOGY:

• To study the link between arterial stiffness and glaucoma, the researchers evaluated 4713 individuals (mean age, 66 years; 58% men) without the eye condition at baseline between April 2011 and November 2012.
• They assessed arterial stiffness by measuring aortic pulse wave velocity, estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and aortic pulse pressure.
• The primary outcome was incident glaucoma, identified from prescriptions for eye drops or hospital records.

TAKEAWAY:

• Overall, 301 people in the study developed glaucoma over a mean follow-up period of 10.5 years.
• For every standard deviation increase in aortic pulse wave velocity, participants had a 32% higher risk for developing glaucoma (standardized hazard ratio [sHR], 1.32; 95% CI, 1.10-1.60), while estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity was associated with a 37% higher risk (sHR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.11-1.70).
• Incident glaucoma increased across all quartiles of arterial stiffness, with the highest risk observed in the fourth quartile for aortic pulse wave velocity (HR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.36-4.26), estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.27-4.13), and aortic pulse pressure (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.10-2.82).
• The cumulative incidence of glaucoma rose with increases in arterial stiffness. This trend was statistically significant for both aortic and estimated pulse wave velocity (P < .0001) and aortic pulse pressure (P = .02).

IN PRACTICE:

“Arterial stiffness…which can be easily and accurately measured, could be used as a tool in clinical practice [as part of routine blood pressure measurement] to help identify people at risk of glaucoma and as a therapeutic target to prevent glaucoma progression,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

This study was led by Angela L. Beros, MPH, of the School of Population Health at the University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand, and published online in the American Journal of Ophthalmology.

LIMITATIONS:

The cohort study did not clinically assess for glaucoma, potentially leading to the inclusion of individuals with the condition. Not all participants with incident glaucoma, particularly those unaware of their diagnosis, may have been identified. Intraocular pressure and central corneal thickness, which are common risk factors for glaucoma, were not included in the multivariate analysis.

DISCLOSURES:

The study did not receive any funding. The authors declared no conflicts of interest.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Arterial stiffness increases the risk for developing glaucoma, a new study found.

METHODOLOGY:

• To study the link between arterial stiffness and glaucoma, the researchers evaluated 4713 individuals (mean age, 66 years; 58% men) without the eye condition at baseline between April 2011 and November 2012.
• They assessed arterial stiffness by measuring aortic pulse wave velocity, estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and aortic pulse pressure.
• The primary outcome was incident glaucoma, identified from prescriptions for eye drops or hospital records.

TAKEAWAY:

• Overall, 301 people in the study developed glaucoma over a mean follow-up period of 10.5 years.
• For every standard deviation increase in aortic pulse wave velocity, participants had a 32% higher risk for developing glaucoma (standardized hazard ratio [sHR], 1.32; 95% CI, 1.10-1.60), while estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity was associated with a 37% higher risk (sHR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.11-1.70).
• Incident glaucoma increased across all quartiles of arterial stiffness, with the highest risk observed in the fourth quartile for aortic pulse wave velocity (HR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.36-4.26), estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.27-4.13), and aortic pulse pressure (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.10-2.82).
• The cumulative incidence of glaucoma rose with increases in arterial stiffness. This trend was statistically significant for both aortic and estimated pulse wave velocity (P < .0001) and aortic pulse pressure (P = .02).

IN PRACTICE:

“Arterial stiffness…which can be easily and accurately measured, could be used as a tool in clinical practice [as part of routine blood pressure measurement] to help identify people at risk of glaucoma and as a therapeutic target to prevent glaucoma progression,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

This study was led by Angela L. Beros, MPH, of the School of Population Health at the University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand, and published online in the American Journal of Ophthalmology.

LIMITATIONS:

The cohort study did not clinically assess for glaucoma, potentially leading to the inclusion of individuals with the condition. Not all participants with incident glaucoma, particularly those unaware of their diagnosis, may have been identified. Intraocular pressure and central corneal thickness, which are common risk factors for glaucoma, were not included in the multivariate analysis.

DISCLOSURES:

The study did not receive any funding. The authors declared no conflicts of interest.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

SAN FRANCISCO — More than a quarter of pregnant or postpartum patients who screened positive for cardiovascular disease ended up with a cardiovascular disease diagnosis when providers used a risk screening tool built into the electronic medical records system for all patients, according to research presented at the annual clinical and scientific meeting of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists. “Timely diagnosis of cardiovascular disease is critical, though challenging, since pregnancy is a state of hemodynamic stress with symptoms that are like those of cardiovascular disease, and healthcare providers may not suspect cardiovascular disease in pregnant patients with symptoms of it,” Kevin Flatley, MD, a resident ob.gyn. at Montefiore Health System and the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York City, told attendees at the conference. “The cardiovascular risk assessment tool proved valuable for identifying and providing individualized care for cardio-obstetric patients.”

The study senior author, Diana S. Wolfe, MD, MPH, associate division director of Maternal Fetal Medicine at Montefiore Health System and associate professor of medicine in cardiology at Albert Einstein College of Medicine, said in an interview that cardiovascular risk in Montefiore’s urban population is significant.

“Cardiovascular disease risk screening identifies true cardiac disease in this population and can change the medical management and outcome of pregnant and postpartum patients,” Dr. Wolfe said. Screening has the potential to decrease maternal morbidity and mortality in our country, she said.

Dawnette Lewis, MD, MPH, director of the Center for Maternal Health at Northwell Health and an ob.gyn. and maternal fetal medicine specialist who was not involved in the study, was impressed with the research.

“We know that cardiovascular disease is one of the leading causes of maternal mortality,” Dr. Lewis said in an interview. “It is important to have an accurate risk assessment score, so I think what is being presented in this abstract is great.” She said she’s aware that other cardio-obstetric programs across the country are also implementing cardiovascular risk assessment tools during pregnancy.

The researchers built into their electronic health records a screening algorithm developed by the California Maternal Quality Care Initiative that had been based on a retrospective review of cardiovascular maternal deaths in California from 2002 to 2006. Their study aimed to identify the true positives — those who actually had cardiovascular disease — of those determined to be at risk by the screening toolkit.

The institution’s goal was for all patients to undergo a screening risk assessment at least once during prenatal and/or postpartum visits. Patients were considered to screen positive if they had at least one symptom, at least one vital sign abnormality, and at least one risk factor, or any combination of these that added up to 4.

Symptoms in the screening tool included shortness of breath, shortness of breath while lying flat, a rapid heart rate, asthma that was unresponsive to therapy, palpitations, fainting or other loss of consciousness, and chest pain. Abnormal vital signs included a resting heart rate of 110 bpm or greater, systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg or higher, a respiratory rate of 24 or higher, and an oxygen saturation of 96% or lower.

Risk factors included being 40 or older, being Black, having a pre-pregnancy BMI of 35 or greater, preexisting diabetes, hypertension, substance use, and a history of cancer, chemotherapy, or chest radiation. “Current practice acknowledges that the risk factor currently included in the algorithm of self-identified as Black actually represents racism, bias, and social determinants of health, known risk factors for CVD,” Wolfe said.

Patients who screened positive underwent an echocardiogram, a cardio-obstetric consultation, and an additional work-up.

During the June 2022–September 2023 study period, 148 out of 1877 screened patients (7.9%) had a positive screen. Of these, 108 were false positives and 40 (27%) were true positives. The number of true false positives is not known because many women did not come for their workups.* The true positives mostly included patients with mild valvular disease, but about a quarter had mild, moderate, or severe ventricular dilation or hypertrophy and a little less than a quarter were positive for systolic or diastolic dysfunction.

Most (72.5%) of the 40 true-positive cases needed a multidisciplinary cardio-obstetrics team plan, and 11 patients (27.5%) needed follow-up and had multiple visits with the cardio-obstetrics team. Six of the true-positive cases (15%) “were deemed to be of higher risk for decompensation during labor and required detailed plans for intrapartum and postpartum management,” the researchers reported. Nine patients (22.5%) began new cardiovascular medications.

This research is a validation study of the current algorithm, Wolfe said, and the algorithm will be revised based on the results of the completed validation study.

“The objective is universal cardiovascular risk screening for all pregnant and postpartum persons in the US,” Wolfe said. “Once the data collection from this validation study is concluded, our goal is to disseminate a revised CVD risk screening tool that can be implemented into the electronic medical records of all institutions in our country.”

*The study partially funded by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development award #5R21HD101783. All the authors and Dr. Lewis had no disclosures. Dr. Afshan B. Hameed of the University of California at Irvine was a partner in the study.

*This study was updated on May 30, 2024.

SAN FRANCISCO — More than a quarter of pregnant or postpartum patients who screened positive for cardiovascular disease ended up with a cardiovascular disease diagnosis when providers used a risk screening tool built into the electronic medical records system for all patients, according to research presented at the annual clinical and scientific meeting of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists. “Timely diagnosis of cardiovascular disease is critical, though challenging, since pregnancy is a state of hemodynamic stress with symptoms that are like those of cardiovascular disease, and healthcare providers may not suspect cardiovascular disease in pregnant patients with symptoms of it,” Kevin Flatley, MD, a resident ob.gyn. at Montefiore Health System and the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York City, told attendees at the conference. “The cardiovascular risk assessment tool proved valuable for identifying and providing individualized care for cardio-obstetric patients.”

The study senior author, Diana S. Wolfe, MD, MPH, associate division director of Maternal Fetal Medicine at Montefiore Health System and associate professor of medicine in cardiology at Albert Einstein College of Medicine, said in an interview that cardiovascular risk in Montefiore’s urban population is significant.

“Cardiovascular disease risk screening identifies true cardiac disease in this population and can change the medical management and outcome of pregnant and postpartum patients,” Dr. Wolfe said. Screening has the potential to decrease maternal morbidity and mortality in our country, she said.

Dawnette Lewis, MD, MPH, director of the Center for Maternal Health at Northwell Health and an ob.gyn. and maternal fetal medicine specialist who was not involved in the study, was impressed with the research.

“We know that cardiovascular disease is one of the leading causes of maternal mortality,” Dr. Lewis said in an interview. “It is important to have an accurate risk assessment score, so I think what is being presented in this abstract is great.” She said she’s aware that other cardio-obstetric programs across the country are also implementing cardiovascular risk assessment tools during pregnancy.

The researchers built into their electronic health records a screening algorithm developed by the California Maternal Quality Care Initiative that had been based on a retrospective review of cardiovascular maternal deaths in California from 2002 to 2006. Their study aimed to identify the true positives — those who actually had cardiovascular disease — of those determined to be at risk by the screening toolkit.

The institution’s goal was for all patients to undergo a screening risk assessment at least once during prenatal and/or postpartum visits. Patients were considered to screen positive if they had at least one symptom, at least one vital sign abnormality, and at least one risk factor, or any combination of these that added up to 4.

Symptoms in the screening tool included shortness of breath, shortness of breath while lying flat, a rapid heart rate, asthma that was unresponsive to therapy, palpitations, fainting or other loss of consciousness, and chest pain. Abnormal vital signs included a resting heart rate of 110 bpm or greater, systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg or higher, a respiratory rate of 24 or higher, and an oxygen saturation of 96% or lower.

Risk factors included being 40 or older, being Black, having a pre-pregnancy BMI of 35 or greater, preexisting diabetes, hypertension, substance use, and a history of cancer, chemotherapy, or chest radiation. “Current practice acknowledges that the risk factor currently included in the algorithm of self-identified as Black actually represents racism, bias, and social determinants of health, known risk factors for CVD,” Wolfe said.

Patients who screened positive underwent an echocardiogram, a cardio-obstetric consultation, and an additional work-up.

During the June 2022–September 2023 study period, 148 out of 1877 screened patients (7.9%) had a positive screen. Of these, 108 were false positives and 40 (27%) were true positives. The number of true false positives is not known because many women did not come for their workups.* The true positives mostly included patients with mild valvular disease, but about a quarter had mild, moderate, or severe ventricular dilation or hypertrophy and a little less than a quarter were positive for systolic or diastolic dysfunction.

Most (72.5%) of the 40 true-positive cases needed a multidisciplinary cardio-obstetrics team plan, and 11 patients (27.5%) needed follow-up and had multiple visits with the cardio-obstetrics team. Six of the true-positive cases (15%) “were deemed to be of higher risk for decompensation during labor and required detailed plans for intrapartum and postpartum management,” the researchers reported. Nine patients (22.5%) began new cardiovascular medications.

This research is a validation study of the current algorithm, Wolfe said, and the algorithm will be revised based on the results of the completed validation study.

“The objective is universal cardiovascular risk screening for all pregnant and postpartum persons in the US,” Wolfe said. “Once the data collection from this validation study is concluded, our goal is to disseminate a revised CVD risk screening tool that can be implemented into the electronic medical records of all institutions in our country.”

*The study partially funded by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development award #5R21HD101783. All the authors and Dr. Lewis had no disclosures. Dr. Afshan B. Hameed of the University of California at Irvine was a partner in the study.

*This study was updated on May 30, 2024.

SAN FRANCISCO — More than a quarter of pregnant or postpartum patients who screened positive for cardiovascular disease ended up with a cardiovascular disease diagnosis when providers used a risk screening tool built into the electronic medical records system for all patients, according to research presented at the annual clinical and scientific meeting of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists. “Timely diagnosis of cardiovascular disease is critical, though challenging, since pregnancy is a state of hemodynamic stress with symptoms that are like those of cardiovascular disease, and healthcare providers may not suspect cardiovascular disease in pregnant patients with symptoms of it,” Kevin Flatley, MD, a resident ob.gyn. at Montefiore Health System and the Albert Einstein College of Medicine in New York City, told attendees at the conference. “The cardiovascular risk assessment tool proved valuable for identifying and providing individualized care for cardio-obstetric patients.”

The study senior author, Diana S. Wolfe, MD, MPH, associate division director of Maternal Fetal Medicine at Montefiore Health System and associate professor of medicine in cardiology at Albert Einstein College of Medicine, said in an interview that cardiovascular risk in Montefiore’s urban population is significant.

“Cardiovascular disease risk screening identifies true cardiac disease in this population and can change the medical management and outcome of pregnant and postpartum patients,” Dr. Wolfe said. Screening has the potential to decrease maternal morbidity and mortality in our country, she said.

Dawnette Lewis, MD, MPH, director of the Center for Maternal Health at Northwell Health and an ob.gyn. and maternal fetal medicine specialist who was not involved in the study, was impressed with the research.

“We know that cardiovascular disease is one of the leading causes of maternal mortality,” Dr. Lewis said in an interview. “It is important to have an accurate risk assessment score, so I think what is being presented in this abstract is great.” She said she’s aware that other cardio-obstetric programs across the country are also implementing cardiovascular risk assessment tools during pregnancy.

The researchers built into their electronic health records a screening algorithm developed by the California Maternal Quality Care Initiative that had been based on a retrospective review of cardiovascular maternal deaths in California from 2002 to 2006. Their study aimed to identify the true positives — those who actually had cardiovascular disease — of those determined to be at risk by the screening toolkit.

The institution’s goal was for all patients to undergo a screening risk assessment at least once during prenatal and/or postpartum visits. Patients were considered to screen positive if they had at least one symptom, at least one vital sign abnormality, and at least one risk factor, or any combination of these that added up to 4.

Symptoms in the screening tool included shortness of breath, shortness of breath while lying flat, a rapid heart rate, asthma that was unresponsive to therapy, palpitations, fainting or other loss of consciousness, and chest pain. Abnormal vital signs included a resting heart rate of 110 bpm or greater, systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg or higher, a respiratory rate of 24 or higher, and an oxygen saturation of 96% or lower.

Risk factors included being 40 or older, being Black, having a pre-pregnancy BMI of 35 or greater, preexisting diabetes, hypertension, substance use, and a history of cancer, chemotherapy, or chest radiation. “Current practice acknowledges that the risk factor currently included in the algorithm of self-identified as Black actually represents racism, bias, and social determinants of health, known risk factors for CVD,” Wolfe said.

Patients who screened positive underwent an echocardiogram, a cardio-obstetric consultation, and an additional work-up.

During the June 2022–September 2023 study period, 148 out of 1877 screened patients (7.9%) had a positive screen. Of these, 108 were false positives and 40 (27%) were true positives. The number of true false positives is not known because many women did not come for their workups.* The true positives mostly included patients with mild valvular disease, but about a quarter had mild, moderate, or severe ventricular dilation or hypertrophy and a little less than a quarter were positive for systolic or diastolic dysfunction.

Most (72.5%) of the 40 true-positive cases needed a multidisciplinary cardio-obstetrics team plan, and 11 patients (27.5%) needed follow-up and had multiple visits with the cardio-obstetrics team. Six of the true-positive cases (15%) “were deemed to be of higher risk for decompensation during labor and required detailed plans for intrapartum and postpartum management,” the researchers reported. Nine patients (22.5%) began new cardiovascular medications.

This research is a validation study of the current algorithm, Wolfe said, and the algorithm will be revised based on the results of the completed validation study.

“The objective is universal cardiovascular risk screening for all pregnant and postpartum persons in the US,” Wolfe said. “Once the data collection from this validation study is concluded, our goal is to disseminate a revised CVD risk screening tool that can be implemented into the electronic medical records of all institutions in our country.”

*The study partially funded by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development award #5R21HD101783. All the authors and Dr. Lewis had no disclosures. Dr. Afshan B. Hameed of the University of California at Irvine was a partner in the study.

*This study was updated on May 30, 2024.

According to a US cross-sectional study, every fifth hospital patient with a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection develops an acute cardiovascular event. For patients with a preexisting cardiovascular condition, an acute cardiovascular event occurs in every third patient, as shown by data published in JAMA Internal Medicine.

RSV attacks the respiratory tract, especially the mucous membranes of the upper airways and the ciliated epithelium of the trachea and bronchi. It is not the first respiratory virus with devastating consequences for the cardiovascular system.

“In the COVID-19 pandemic, we painfully learned that patients with preexisting cardiovascular conditions have significantly higher mortality rates and that cardiovascular causes are essential in COVID-19 mortality,” said Stephan Baldus, MD, director of Clinic III for Internal Medicine at the Heart Center of the University Hospital Cologne in Cologne, Germany.

“A direct link between the virus and the development of acute coronary events has also been demonstrated for influenza. Studies have shown that in the early days of an influenza infection, the rates of heart attacks and subsequent deaths increase significantly,” Dr. Baldus added. “And now, this study shows that patients with cardiovascular diseases have a critically increased risk for an acute cardiovascular event during an RSV infection.”
 

RSV Surveillance

Rebecca C. Woodruff, PhD, of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, and her colleagues analyzed data from an RSV surveillance program involving hospitals in 12 US states. The data covered hospitalized adults aged 50 years and older from five RSV seasons (from 2014/2015 to 2017/2018 and 2022/2023).

The 6248 patients were hospitalized for various reasons. They had a mean age of 73 years, and 60% of them were women. RSV infection was detected through a physician-ordered test within 14 days of admission. Slightly more than half (56.4%) of the patients had a preexisting cardiovascular condition that did not necessitate hospital treatment.

The researchers reported that more than a fifth (22.4%) of the patients with RSV had an acute cardiovascular event. Acute heart failure was most common (15.8%), but there were also acute ischemic heart disease in 7.5%, hypertensive crisis in 1.3%, ventricular tachycardia in 1.1%, and cardiogenic shock in 0.6%.
 

Acute Cardiovascular Events

Among the study population, 8.5% had no documented cardiovascular preexisting conditions. However, the risk was particularly elevated in patients with cardiovascular preexisting conditions. Overall, 33.0% of them had an acute cardiovascular event during the RSV infection.

Patients with acute cardiovascular events were almost twice as likely to have a severe course as those without acute cardiovascular events. The researchers considered treatment in the intensive care unit, the need for invasive mechanical ventilation, or the patient’s death in the hospital as severe outcomes.

Of all hospitalized patients with RSV, 18.6% required intensive care unit treatment, and 4.9% died during hospitalization. Compared with those without acute cardiovascular events, those with acute cardiovascular events had a significantly higher risk for intensive care treatment (25.8% vs 16.5%) and death in the hospital (8.1% vs 4.0%).

Although the analysis is not a prospective controlled study, according to Dr. Baldus, the results strongly suggest that RSV has cardiovascular effects. “When one in five hospitalized patients develops a cardiovascular event, that’s very suggestive,” he said.
 

More Testing Needed?

The results add to the evidence that RSV infections in older patients are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Unlike for COVID-19 and influenza, however, there is hardly any surveillance for RSV infections. RSV testing in hospitals is rare. Many doctors opt against testing for RSV because they are not aware of the importance of RSV as a pathogen in adults, but also because the diagnosis of RSV has no therapeutic consequences, wrote Dr. Woodruff and her colleagues.

Because there is no targeted therapy for an RSV infection, the detection of RSV can only be used as a marker for a risk for the development of an acute cardiovascular event, according to Dr. Baldus. Even considering the new study data, he emphasized, “Not every patient with a cardiovascular preexisting condition needs to be tested for RSV.”

The crucial factor is the clinical presentation. “If there is a clinical indication of pulmonary impairment (shortness of breath, tachypnea, subfebrile temperatures, or a diminished general condition) it would be desirable to perform an RSV test. This is especially true for patients requiring intensive care who need respiratory support,” said Dr. Baldus.
 

Benefits of Vaccination

The results highlight the basic epidemiology of potential cardiovascular complications of RSV infections, but before RSV vaccination became available, wrote Dr. Woodruff and her colleagues.

In 2023, the first RSV vaccine for adults aged 60 years and older was approved. “Here, a door to additional possibilities opens,” said Dr. Baldus. Although there are currently no official vaccination recommendations from Germany’s Standing Vaccination Commission, medical societies of oncologists and pulmonologists recommend vaccination against RSV. “Given the relevance of cardiovascular diseases for the prognosis of patients, but also for the occurrence of an acute cardiovascular event upon detection of RSV, the corresponding recommendation is expected to come,” said Dr. Baldus.

This story was translated from the Medscape German edition using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

According to a US cross-sectional study, every fifth hospital patient with a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection develops an acute cardiovascular event. For patients with a preexisting cardiovascular condition, an acute cardiovascular event occurs in every third patient, as shown by data published in JAMA Internal Medicine.

RSV attacks the respiratory tract, especially the mucous membranes of the upper airways and the ciliated epithelium of the trachea and bronchi. It is not the first respiratory virus with devastating consequences for the cardiovascular system.

“In the COVID-19 pandemic, we painfully learned that patients with preexisting cardiovascular conditions have significantly higher mortality rates and that cardiovascular causes are essential in COVID-19 mortality,” said Stephan Baldus, MD, director of Clinic III for Internal Medicine at the Heart Center of the University Hospital Cologne in Cologne, Germany.

“A direct link between the virus and the development of acute coronary events has also been demonstrated for influenza. Studies have shown that in the early days of an influenza infection, the rates of heart attacks and subsequent deaths increase significantly,” Dr. Baldus added. “And now, this study shows that patients with cardiovascular diseases have a critically increased risk for an acute cardiovascular event during an RSV infection.”
 

RSV Surveillance

Rebecca C. Woodruff, PhD, of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, and her colleagues analyzed data from an RSV surveillance program involving hospitals in 12 US states. The data covered hospitalized adults aged 50 years and older from five RSV seasons (from 2014/2015 to 2017/2018 and 2022/2023).

The 6248 patients were hospitalized for various reasons. They had a mean age of 73 years, and 60% of them were women. RSV infection was detected through a physician-ordered test within 14 days of admission. Slightly more than half (56.4%) of the patients had a preexisting cardiovascular condition that did not necessitate hospital treatment.

The researchers reported that more than a fifth (22.4%) of the patients with RSV had an acute cardiovascular event. Acute heart failure was most common (15.8%), but there were also acute ischemic heart disease in 7.5%, hypertensive crisis in 1.3%, ventricular tachycardia in 1.1%, and cardiogenic shock in 0.6%.
 

Acute Cardiovascular Events

Among the study population, 8.5% had no documented cardiovascular preexisting conditions. However, the risk was particularly elevated in patients with cardiovascular preexisting conditions. Overall, 33.0% of them had an acute cardiovascular event during the RSV infection.

Patients with acute cardiovascular events were almost twice as likely to have a severe course as those without acute cardiovascular events. The researchers considered treatment in the intensive care unit, the need for invasive mechanical ventilation, or the patient’s death in the hospital as severe outcomes.

Of all hospitalized patients with RSV, 18.6% required intensive care unit treatment, and 4.9% died during hospitalization. Compared with those without acute cardiovascular events, those with acute cardiovascular events had a significantly higher risk for intensive care treatment (25.8% vs 16.5%) and death in the hospital (8.1% vs 4.0%).

Although the analysis is not a prospective controlled study, according to Dr. Baldus, the results strongly suggest that RSV has cardiovascular effects. “When one in five hospitalized patients develops a cardiovascular event, that’s very suggestive,” he said.
 

More Testing Needed?

The results add to the evidence that RSV infections in older patients are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Unlike for COVID-19 and influenza, however, there is hardly any surveillance for RSV infections. RSV testing in hospitals is rare. Many doctors opt against testing for RSV because they are not aware of the importance of RSV as a pathogen in adults, but also because the diagnosis of RSV has no therapeutic consequences, wrote Dr. Woodruff and her colleagues.

Because there is no targeted therapy for an RSV infection, the detection of RSV can only be used as a marker for a risk for the development of an acute cardiovascular event, according to Dr. Baldus. Even considering the new study data, he emphasized, “Not every patient with a cardiovascular preexisting condition needs to be tested for RSV.”

The crucial factor is the clinical presentation. “If there is a clinical indication of pulmonary impairment (shortness of breath, tachypnea, subfebrile temperatures, or a diminished general condition) it would be desirable to perform an RSV test. This is especially true for patients requiring intensive care who need respiratory support,” said Dr. Baldus.
 

Benefits of Vaccination

The results highlight the basic epidemiology of potential cardiovascular complications of RSV infections, but before RSV vaccination became available, wrote Dr. Woodruff and her colleagues.

In 2023, the first RSV vaccine for adults aged 60 years and older was approved. “Here, a door to additional possibilities opens,” said Dr. Baldus. Although there are currently no official vaccination recommendations from Germany’s Standing Vaccination Commission, medical societies of oncologists and pulmonologists recommend vaccination against RSV. “Given the relevance of cardiovascular diseases for the prognosis of patients, but also for the occurrence of an acute cardiovascular event upon detection of RSV, the corresponding recommendation is expected to come,” said Dr. Baldus.

This story was translated from the Medscape German edition using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

According to a US cross-sectional study, every fifth hospital patient with a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection develops an acute cardiovascular event. For patients with a preexisting cardiovascular condition, an acute cardiovascular event occurs in every third patient, as shown by data published in JAMA Internal Medicine.

RSV attacks the respiratory tract, especially the mucous membranes of the upper airways and the ciliated epithelium of the trachea and bronchi. It is not the first respiratory virus with devastating consequences for the cardiovascular system.

“In the COVID-19 pandemic, we painfully learned that patients with preexisting cardiovascular conditions have significantly higher mortality rates and that cardiovascular causes are essential in COVID-19 mortality,” said Stephan Baldus, MD, director of Clinic III for Internal Medicine at the Heart Center of the University Hospital Cologne in Cologne, Germany.

“A direct link between the virus and the development of acute coronary events has also been demonstrated for influenza. Studies have shown that in the early days of an influenza infection, the rates of heart attacks and subsequent deaths increase significantly,” Dr. Baldus added. “And now, this study shows that patients with cardiovascular diseases have a critically increased risk for an acute cardiovascular event during an RSV infection.”
 

RSV Surveillance

Rebecca C. Woodruff, PhD, of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, and her colleagues analyzed data from an RSV surveillance program involving hospitals in 12 US states. The data covered hospitalized adults aged 50 years and older from five RSV seasons (from 2014/2015 to 2017/2018 and 2022/2023).

The 6248 patients were hospitalized for various reasons. They had a mean age of 73 years, and 60% of them were women. RSV infection was detected through a physician-ordered test within 14 days of admission. Slightly more than half (56.4%) of the patients had a preexisting cardiovascular condition that did not necessitate hospital treatment.

The researchers reported that more than a fifth (22.4%) of the patients with RSV had an acute cardiovascular event. Acute heart failure was most common (15.8%), but there were also acute ischemic heart disease in 7.5%, hypertensive crisis in 1.3%, ventricular tachycardia in 1.1%, and cardiogenic shock in 0.6%.
 

Acute Cardiovascular Events

Among the study population, 8.5% had no documented cardiovascular preexisting conditions. However, the risk was particularly elevated in patients with cardiovascular preexisting conditions. Overall, 33.0% of them had an acute cardiovascular event during the RSV infection.

Patients with acute cardiovascular events were almost twice as likely to have a severe course as those without acute cardiovascular events. The researchers considered treatment in the intensive care unit, the need for invasive mechanical ventilation, or the patient’s death in the hospital as severe outcomes.

Of all hospitalized patients with RSV, 18.6% required intensive care unit treatment, and 4.9% died during hospitalization. Compared with those without acute cardiovascular events, those with acute cardiovascular events had a significantly higher risk for intensive care treatment (25.8% vs 16.5%) and death in the hospital (8.1% vs 4.0%).

Although the analysis is not a prospective controlled study, according to Dr. Baldus, the results strongly suggest that RSV has cardiovascular effects. “When one in five hospitalized patients develops a cardiovascular event, that’s very suggestive,” he said.
 

More Testing Needed?

The results add to the evidence that RSV infections in older patients are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Unlike for COVID-19 and influenza, however, there is hardly any surveillance for RSV infections. RSV testing in hospitals is rare. Many doctors opt against testing for RSV because they are not aware of the importance of RSV as a pathogen in adults, but also because the diagnosis of RSV has no therapeutic consequences, wrote Dr. Woodruff and her colleagues.

Because there is no targeted therapy for an RSV infection, the detection of RSV can only be used as a marker for a risk for the development of an acute cardiovascular event, according to Dr. Baldus. Even considering the new study data, he emphasized, “Not every patient with a cardiovascular preexisting condition needs to be tested for RSV.”

The crucial factor is the clinical presentation. “If there is a clinical indication of pulmonary impairment (shortness of breath, tachypnea, subfebrile temperatures, or a diminished general condition) it would be desirable to perform an RSV test. This is especially true for patients requiring intensive care who need respiratory support,” said Dr. Baldus.
 

Benefits of Vaccination

The results highlight the basic epidemiology of potential cardiovascular complications of RSV infections, but before RSV vaccination became available, wrote Dr. Woodruff and her colleagues.

In 2023, the first RSV vaccine for adults aged 60 years and older was approved. “Here, a door to additional possibilities opens,” said Dr. Baldus. Although there are currently no official vaccination recommendations from Germany’s Standing Vaccination Commission, medical societies of oncologists and pulmonologists recommend vaccination against RSV. “Given the relevance of cardiovascular diseases for the prognosis of patients, but also for the occurrence of an acute cardiovascular event upon detection of RSV, the corresponding recommendation is expected to come,” said Dr. Baldus.

This story was translated from the Medscape German edition using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

PARIS — Intermediate valve sizes are at least as safe and effective as the standard sizes now available for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), according to an international randomized trial.

In a head-to-head comparison, the LANDMARK trial looked at valves from the new balloon-expandable Myval^® by Merril Life Sciences and compared them with the balloon-expandable Sapien^® from Edwards Lifesciences and the self-expanding Evolut^® valve from Medtronic.

The new Myval platform offers multiple valves sized at 1.5 mm intervals, while the other two have valves that are generally sized at intervals of 3.0 mm.

The platform with intermediate sizes provided a nonsignificant numerical advantage in both safety and efficacy over its rivals, Patrick W. Serruys, MD, PhD, from the Department of Cardiology at the University of Galway in Galway, Ireland, reported at the Congress of the European Association of Percutaneous Coronary Interventions 2024.

The LANDMARK Trial

The trial enrolled 768 patients at 31 sites in 16 countries. They were randomized in a 1:1 fashion to the new platform or to one of the standards to compare the concept of intermediate valves with contemporary standards.

Seven sizes of Myval valves were used in the study, ranging from 20 mm to 29 mm at 1.5 mm increments. Two more sizes, 30.5 mm and 32.0 mm, were not included in this analysis but are being following in a registry.

The study also used Sapien valves sized 20 mm, 23 mm, 26 mm, and 29 mm and Evolut valves sized 26 mm, 29 mm, and 34 mm. There is also a 23 mm Evolut valve available, but it was not selected by any of the participating investigators.

Of the 336 patients given Myval valves, 48% were an intermediate size not available on one of the other platforms.

For the primary composite efficacy and safety endpoint of all-cause mortality, fatal or nonfatal strokes, VARC 3 or 4 bleeding, acute kidney injury, major vascular injury, moderate or greater valve regurgitation, or conduction disturbances requiring a new permanent pacemaker, the difference in absolute risk was slightly lower in the Myval arm, at 24.7% vs 27.0%, but not statistically significant. With that numerical difference favoring the Myval platform, noninferiority was demonstrated at 30 days with a high level of statistical significance, Dr. Serruys reported.

When each endpoint, with the composite primary endpoint, was evaluated separately in a secondary analysis, all-cause mortality and stroke incidence were identical in the two arms. 

Major bleeding and acute kidney injury were nonsignificantly more common in the Myval group, while the incidence of moderate or greater valve regurgitation, placement of a new permanent pacemaker, and major vascular complications were nonsignificantly less common.

Precise Matching

The effective orifice area was consistently higher in the group receiving an intermediate valve relative to a Sapien valve. This was not significant for the 20 mm valve size, but it did reach statistical significance for the rest of the sizes. In contrast, there was no significant difference with the Evolut series.

The data suggest that intermediate sizes “enable precise and appropriate matching of devices to an individual anatomy,” at least relative to Sapien, said Dr. Serruys.

Martin Leon, MD, of Columbia University in New York, called LANDMARK an important step for considering how comparative trials should be conducted in the future.

However, he challenged the idea that this study compared devices for both safety and efficacy. Despite the evidence it provides on device and procedural safety over the short-term, he said few conclusions can be drawn about comparative efficacy after just 30 days. Rather, the true comparative value of the trial will be derived from “rigorous late follow-up,” he said.

Longer Follow-Up to Come

Dr. Serruys acknowledged that the differences seen after 30 days have uncertain relevance to longer-term outcomes. He is planning to conduct a 10-year follow-up that “will unravel whether the documented effective orifice area of the Myval platform will have a beneficial impact on long-term patient prognosis and valve durability,” he said.

Leon agreed that, so far, these data do suggest superior hemodynamic performance with the intermediate sizing relative to valves in the Sapien platform, but the same cannot be said for the Evolut platform, and he pointed out that pooling data from the two platforms for the primary endpoint “makes comparisons difficult.”

And with about half of patients still fitted with the sizes already available, he said a deeper understanding was needed of how “adjustment strategies,” such as oversizing, affect long-term outcomes relative to platforms, such as Myval, with more valve sizes.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

PARIS — Intermediate valve sizes are at least as safe and effective as the standard sizes now available for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), according to an international randomized trial.

In a head-to-head comparison, the LANDMARK trial looked at valves from the new balloon-expandable Myval^® by Merril Life Sciences and compared them with the balloon-expandable Sapien^® from Edwards Lifesciences and the self-expanding Evolut^® valve from Medtronic.

The new Myval platform offers multiple valves sized at 1.5 mm intervals, while the other two have valves that are generally sized at intervals of 3.0 mm.

The platform with intermediate sizes provided a nonsignificant numerical advantage in both safety and efficacy over its rivals, Patrick W. Serruys, MD, PhD, from the Department of Cardiology at the University of Galway in Galway, Ireland, reported at the Congress of the European Association of Percutaneous Coronary Interventions 2024.

The LANDMARK Trial

The trial enrolled 768 patients at 31 sites in 16 countries. They were randomized in a 1:1 fashion to the new platform or to one of the standards to compare the concept of intermediate valves with contemporary standards.

Seven sizes of Myval valves were used in the study, ranging from 20 mm to 29 mm at 1.5 mm increments. Two more sizes, 30.5 mm and 32.0 mm, were not included in this analysis but are being following in a registry.

The study also used Sapien valves sized 20 mm, 23 mm, 26 mm, and 29 mm and Evolut valves sized 26 mm, 29 mm, and 34 mm. There is also a 23 mm Evolut valve available, but it was not selected by any of the participating investigators.

Of the 336 patients given Myval valves, 48% were an intermediate size not available on one of the other platforms.

For the primary composite efficacy and safety endpoint of all-cause mortality, fatal or nonfatal strokes, VARC 3 or 4 bleeding, acute kidney injury, major vascular injury, moderate or greater valve regurgitation, or conduction disturbances requiring a new permanent pacemaker, the difference in absolute risk was slightly lower in the Myval arm, at 24.7% vs 27.0%, but not statistically significant. With that numerical difference favoring the Myval platform, noninferiority was demonstrated at 30 days with a high level of statistical significance, Dr. Serruys reported.

When each endpoint, with the composite primary endpoint, was evaluated separately in a secondary analysis, all-cause mortality and stroke incidence were identical in the two arms. 

Major bleeding and acute kidney injury were nonsignificantly more common in the Myval group, while the incidence of moderate or greater valve regurgitation, placement of a new permanent pacemaker, and major vascular complications were nonsignificantly less common.

Precise Matching

The effective orifice area was consistently higher in the group receiving an intermediate valve relative to a Sapien valve. This was not significant for the 20 mm valve size, but it did reach statistical significance for the rest of the sizes. In contrast, there was no significant difference with the Evolut series.

The data suggest that intermediate sizes “enable precise and appropriate matching of devices to an individual anatomy,” at least relative to Sapien, said Dr. Serruys.

Martin Leon, MD, of Columbia University in New York, called LANDMARK an important step for considering how comparative trials should be conducted in the future.

However, he challenged the idea that this study compared devices for both safety and efficacy. Despite the evidence it provides on device and procedural safety over the short-term, he said few conclusions can be drawn about comparative efficacy after just 30 days. Rather, the true comparative value of the trial will be derived from “rigorous late follow-up,” he said.

Longer Follow-Up to Come

Dr. Serruys acknowledged that the differences seen after 30 days have uncertain relevance to longer-term outcomes. He is planning to conduct a 10-year follow-up that “will unravel whether the documented effective orifice area of the Myval platform will have a beneficial impact on long-term patient prognosis and valve durability,” he said.

Leon agreed that, so far, these data do suggest superior hemodynamic performance with the intermediate sizing relative to valves in the Sapien platform, but the same cannot be said for the Evolut platform, and he pointed out that pooling data from the two platforms for the primary endpoint “makes comparisons difficult.”

And with about half of patients still fitted with the sizes already available, he said a deeper understanding was needed of how “adjustment strategies,” such as oversizing, affect long-term outcomes relative to platforms, such as Myval, with more valve sizes.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

PARIS — Intermediate valve sizes are at least as safe and effective as the standard sizes now available for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), according to an international randomized trial.

In a head-to-head comparison, the LANDMARK trial looked at valves from the new balloon-expandable Myval^® by Merril Life Sciences and compared them with the balloon-expandable Sapien^® from Edwards Lifesciences and the self-expanding Evolut^® valve from Medtronic.

The new Myval platform offers multiple valves sized at 1.5 mm intervals, while the other two have valves that are generally sized at intervals of 3.0 mm.

The platform with intermediate sizes provided a nonsignificant numerical advantage in both safety and efficacy over its rivals, Patrick W. Serruys, MD, PhD, from the Department of Cardiology at the University of Galway in Galway, Ireland, reported at the Congress of the European Association of Percutaneous Coronary Interventions 2024.

The LANDMARK Trial

The trial enrolled 768 patients at 31 sites in 16 countries. They were randomized in a 1:1 fashion to the new platform or to one of the standards to compare the concept of intermediate valves with contemporary standards.

Seven sizes of Myval valves were used in the study, ranging from 20 mm to 29 mm at 1.5 mm increments. Two more sizes, 30.5 mm and 32.0 mm, were not included in this analysis but are being following in a registry.

The study also used Sapien valves sized 20 mm, 23 mm, 26 mm, and 29 mm and Evolut valves sized 26 mm, 29 mm, and 34 mm. There is also a 23 mm Evolut valve available, but it was not selected by any of the participating investigators.

Of the 336 patients given Myval valves, 48% were an intermediate size not available on one of the other platforms.

For the primary composite efficacy and safety endpoint of all-cause mortality, fatal or nonfatal strokes, VARC 3 or 4 bleeding, acute kidney injury, major vascular injury, moderate or greater valve regurgitation, or conduction disturbances requiring a new permanent pacemaker, the difference in absolute risk was slightly lower in the Myval arm, at 24.7% vs 27.0%, but not statistically significant. With that numerical difference favoring the Myval platform, noninferiority was demonstrated at 30 days with a high level of statistical significance, Dr. Serruys reported.

When each endpoint, with the composite primary endpoint, was evaluated separately in a secondary analysis, all-cause mortality and stroke incidence were identical in the two arms. 

Major bleeding and acute kidney injury were nonsignificantly more common in the Myval group, while the incidence of moderate or greater valve regurgitation, placement of a new permanent pacemaker, and major vascular complications were nonsignificantly less common.

Precise Matching

The effective orifice area was consistently higher in the group receiving an intermediate valve relative to a Sapien valve. This was not significant for the 20 mm valve size, but it did reach statistical significance for the rest of the sizes. In contrast, there was no significant difference with the Evolut series.

The data suggest that intermediate sizes “enable precise and appropriate matching of devices to an individual anatomy,” at least relative to Sapien, said Dr. Serruys.

Martin Leon, MD, of Columbia University in New York, called LANDMARK an important step for considering how comparative trials should be conducted in the future.

However, he challenged the idea that this study compared devices for both safety and efficacy. Despite the evidence it provides on device and procedural safety over the short-term, he said few conclusions can be drawn about comparative efficacy after just 30 days. Rather, the true comparative value of the trial will be derived from “rigorous late follow-up,” he said.

Longer Follow-Up to Come

Dr. Serruys acknowledged that the differences seen after 30 days have uncertain relevance to longer-term outcomes. He is planning to conduct a 10-year follow-up that “will unravel whether the documented effective orifice area of the Myval platform will have a beneficial impact on long-term patient prognosis and valve durability,” he said.

Leon agreed that, so far, these data do suggest superior hemodynamic performance with the intermediate sizing relative to valves in the Sapien platform, but the same cannot be said for the Evolut platform, and he pointed out that pooling data from the two platforms for the primary endpoint “makes comparisons difficult.”

And with about half of patients still fitted with the sizes already available, he said a deeper understanding was needed of how “adjustment strategies,” such as oversizing, affect long-term outcomes relative to platforms, such as Myval, with more valve sizes.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Observational studies on red meat consumption and lifespan are prime examples of attempts to find signal in a sea of noise. 

Randomized controlled trials are the best way to sort cause from mere correlation. But these are not possible in most matters of food consumption. So, we look back and observe groups with different exposures.

My most frequent complaint about these nonrandom comparison studies has been the chance that the two groups differ in important ways, and it’s these differences — not the food in question — that account for the disparate outcomes.

But selection biases are only one issue. There is also the matter of analytic flexibility. Observational studies are born from large databases. Researchers have many choices in how to analyze all these data.

A few years ago, Brian Nosek, PhD, and colleagues elegantly showed that analytic choices can affect results. His Many Analysts, One Data Set study had little uptake in the medical community, perhaps because he studied a social science question.
 

Multiple Ways to Slice the Data

Recently, a group from McMaster University, led by Dena Zeraatkar, PhD, has confirmed the analytic choices problem, using the question of red meat consumption and mortality. 

Their idea was simple: Because there are many plausible and defensible ways to analyze a dataset, we should not choose one method; rather, we should choose thousands, combine the results, and see where the truth lies. 

You might wonder how there could be thousands of ways to analyze a dataset. I surely did. 

The answer stems from the choices that researchers face. For instance, there is the selection of eligible participants, the choice of analytic model (logistic, Poisson, etc.), and covariates for which to adjust. Think exponents when combining possible choices.

Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues are research methodologists, so, sadly, they are comfortable with the clunky name of this approach: specification curve analysis. Don’t be deterred. It means that they analyze the data in thousands of ways using computers. Each way is a specification. In the end, the specifications give rise to a curve of hazard ratios for red meat and mortality. Another name for this approach is multiverse analysis.

For their paper in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, aptly named “Grilling the Data,” they didn’t just conjure up the many analytic ways to study the red meat–mortality question. Instead, they used a published systematic review of 15 studies on unprocessed red meat and early mortality. The studies included in this review reported 70 unique ways to analyze the association. 
 

Is Red Meat Good or Bad?

Their first finding was that this analysis yielded widely disparate effect estimates, from 0.63 (reduced risk for early death) to 2.31 (a higher risk). The median hazard ratio was 1.14 with an interquartile range (IQR) of 1.02-1.23. One might conclude from this that eating red meat is associated with a slightly higher risk for early mortality. 

Their second step was to calculate how many ways (specifications) there were to analyze the data by totaling all possible combinations of choices in the 70 ways found in the systematic review. 

They calculated a total of 10 quadrillion possible unique analyses. A quadrillion is 1 with 15 zeros. Computing power cannot handle that amount of analyses yet. So, they generated 20 random unique combinations of covariates, which narrowed the number of analyses to about 1400. About 200 of these were excluded due to implausibly wide confidence intervals. 

Voilà. They now had about 1200 different ways to analyze a dataset; they chose an NHANES longitudinal cohort study from 2007-2014. They deemed each of the more than 1200 approaches plausible because they were derived from peer-reviewed papers written by experts in epidemiology. 
 

Specification Curve Analyses Results 

Each analysis (or specification) yielded a hazard ratio for red meat exposure and death.

• The median HR was 0.94 (IQR, 0.83-1.05) for the effect of red meat on all-cause mortality — ie, not significant.
• The range of hazard ratios was large. They went from 0.51 — a 49% reduced risk for early mortality — to 1.75: a 75% increase in early mortality.
• Among all analyses, 36% yielded hazard ratios above 1.0 and 64% less than 1.0.
• As for statistical significance, defined as P ≤.05, only 4% (or 48 specifications) met this threshold. Zeraatkar reminded me that this is what you’d expect if unprocessed red meat has no effect on longevity.
• Of the 48 analyses deemed statistically significant, 40 indicated that red meat consumption reduced early death and eight indicated that eating red meat led to higher mortality.
• Nearly half the analyses yielded unexciting point estimates, with hazard ratios between 0.90 and 1.10.

Paradigm Changing 

As a user of evidence, I find this a potentially paradigm-changing study. Observational studies far outnumber randomized trials. For many medical questions, observational data are all we have. 

Now think about every observational study published. The authors tell you — post hoc — which method they used to analyze the data. The key point is that it is one method. 

Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues have shown that there are thousands of plausible ways to analyze the data, and this can lead to very different findings. In the specific question of red meat and mortality, their many analyses yielded a null result. 

Now imagine other cases where the researchers did many analyses of a dataset and chose to publish only the significant ones. Observational studies are rarely preregistered, so a reader cannot know how a result would vary depending on analytic choices. A specification curve analysis of a dataset provides a much broader picture. In the case of red meat, you see some significant results, but the vast majority hover around null. 

What about the difficulty in analyzing a dataset 1000 different ways? Dr. Zeraatkar told me that it is harder than just choosing one method, but it’s not impossible. 

The main barrier to adopting this multiverse approach to data, she noted, was not the extra work but the entrenched belief among researchers that there is a best way to analyze data. 

I hope you read this paper and think about it every time you read an observational study that finds a positive or negative association between two things. Ask: What if the researchers were as careful as Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues and did multiple different analyses? Would the finding hold up to a series of plausible analytic choices? 

Nutritional epidemiology would benefit greatly from this approach. But so would any observational study of an exposure and outcome. I suspect that the number of “positive” associations would diminish. And that would not be a bad thing.

 

Dr. Mandrola, a clinical electrophysiologist at Baptist Medical Associates, Louisville, Kentucky, disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Observational studies on red meat consumption and lifespan are prime examples of attempts to find signal in a sea of noise. 

Randomized controlled trials are the best way to sort cause from mere correlation. But these are not possible in most matters of food consumption. So, we look back and observe groups with different exposures.

My most frequent complaint about these nonrandom comparison studies has been the chance that the two groups differ in important ways, and it’s these differences — not the food in question — that account for the disparate outcomes.

But selection biases are only one issue. There is also the matter of analytic flexibility. Observational studies are born from large databases. Researchers have many choices in how to analyze all these data.

A few years ago, Brian Nosek, PhD, and colleagues elegantly showed that analytic choices can affect results. His Many Analysts, One Data Set study had little uptake in the medical community, perhaps because he studied a social science question.
 

Multiple Ways to Slice the Data

Recently, a group from McMaster University, led by Dena Zeraatkar, PhD, has confirmed the analytic choices problem, using the question of red meat consumption and mortality. 

Their idea was simple: Because there are many plausible and defensible ways to analyze a dataset, we should not choose one method; rather, we should choose thousands, combine the results, and see where the truth lies. 

You might wonder how there could be thousands of ways to analyze a dataset. I surely did. 

The answer stems from the choices that researchers face. For instance, there is the selection of eligible participants, the choice of analytic model (logistic, Poisson, etc.), and covariates for which to adjust. Think exponents when combining possible choices.

Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues are research methodologists, so, sadly, they are comfortable with the clunky name of this approach: specification curve analysis. Don’t be deterred. It means that they analyze the data in thousands of ways using computers. Each way is a specification. In the end, the specifications give rise to a curve of hazard ratios for red meat and mortality. Another name for this approach is multiverse analysis.

For their paper in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, aptly named “Grilling the Data,” they didn’t just conjure up the many analytic ways to study the red meat–mortality question. Instead, they used a published systematic review of 15 studies on unprocessed red meat and early mortality. The studies included in this review reported 70 unique ways to analyze the association. 
 

Is Red Meat Good or Bad?

Their first finding was that this analysis yielded widely disparate effect estimates, from 0.63 (reduced risk for early death) to 2.31 (a higher risk). The median hazard ratio was 1.14 with an interquartile range (IQR) of 1.02-1.23. One might conclude from this that eating red meat is associated with a slightly higher risk for early mortality. 

Their second step was to calculate how many ways (specifications) there were to analyze the data by totaling all possible combinations of choices in the 70 ways found in the systematic review. 

They calculated a total of 10 quadrillion possible unique analyses. A quadrillion is 1 with 15 zeros. Computing power cannot handle that amount of analyses yet. So, they generated 20 random unique combinations of covariates, which narrowed the number of analyses to about 1400. About 200 of these were excluded due to implausibly wide confidence intervals. 

Voilà. They now had about 1200 different ways to analyze a dataset; they chose an NHANES longitudinal cohort study from 2007-2014. They deemed each of the more than 1200 approaches plausible because they were derived from peer-reviewed papers written by experts in epidemiology. 
 

Specification Curve Analyses Results 

Each analysis (or specification) yielded a hazard ratio for red meat exposure and death.

• The median HR was 0.94 (IQR, 0.83-1.05) for the effect of red meat on all-cause mortality — ie, not significant.
• The range of hazard ratios was large. They went from 0.51 — a 49% reduced risk for early mortality — to 1.75: a 75% increase in early mortality.
• Among all analyses, 36% yielded hazard ratios above 1.0 and 64% less than 1.0.
• As for statistical significance, defined as P ≤.05, only 4% (or 48 specifications) met this threshold. Zeraatkar reminded me that this is what you’d expect if unprocessed red meat has no effect on longevity.
• Of the 48 analyses deemed statistically significant, 40 indicated that red meat consumption reduced early death and eight indicated that eating red meat led to higher mortality.
• Nearly half the analyses yielded unexciting point estimates, with hazard ratios between 0.90 and 1.10.

Paradigm Changing 

As a user of evidence, I find this a potentially paradigm-changing study. Observational studies far outnumber randomized trials. For many medical questions, observational data are all we have. 

Now think about every observational study published. The authors tell you — post hoc — which method they used to analyze the data. The key point is that it is one method. 

Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues have shown that there are thousands of plausible ways to analyze the data, and this can lead to very different findings. In the specific question of red meat and mortality, their many analyses yielded a null result. 

Now imagine other cases where the researchers did many analyses of a dataset and chose to publish only the significant ones. Observational studies are rarely preregistered, so a reader cannot know how a result would vary depending on analytic choices. A specification curve analysis of a dataset provides a much broader picture. In the case of red meat, you see some significant results, but the vast majority hover around null. 

What about the difficulty in analyzing a dataset 1000 different ways? Dr. Zeraatkar told me that it is harder than just choosing one method, but it’s not impossible. 

The main barrier to adopting this multiverse approach to data, she noted, was not the extra work but the entrenched belief among researchers that there is a best way to analyze data. 

I hope you read this paper and think about it every time you read an observational study that finds a positive or negative association between two things. Ask: What if the researchers were as careful as Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues and did multiple different analyses? Would the finding hold up to a series of plausible analytic choices? 

Nutritional epidemiology would benefit greatly from this approach. But so would any observational study of an exposure and outcome. I suspect that the number of “positive” associations would diminish. And that would not be a bad thing.

 

Dr. Mandrola, a clinical electrophysiologist at Baptist Medical Associates, Louisville, Kentucky, disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Observational studies on red meat consumption and lifespan are prime examples of attempts to find signal in a sea of noise. 

Randomized controlled trials are the best way to sort cause from mere correlation. But these are not possible in most matters of food consumption. So, we look back and observe groups with different exposures.

My most frequent complaint about these nonrandom comparison studies has been the chance that the two groups differ in important ways, and it’s these differences — not the food in question — that account for the disparate outcomes.

But selection biases are only one issue. There is also the matter of analytic flexibility. Observational studies are born from large databases. Researchers have many choices in how to analyze all these data.

A few years ago, Brian Nosek, PhD, and colleagues elegantly showed that analytic choices can affect results. His Many Analysts, One Data Set study had little uptake in the medical community, perhaps because he studied a social science question.
 

Multiple Ways to Slice the Data

Recently, a group from McMaster University, led by Dena Zeraatkar, PhD, has confirmed the analytic choices problem, using the question of red meat consumption and mortality. 

Their idea was simple: Because there are many plausible and defensible ways to analyze a dataset, we should not choose one method; rather, we should choose thousands, combine the results, and see where the truth lies. 

You might wonder how there could be thousands of ways to analyze a dataset. I surely did. 

The answer stems from the choices that researchers face. For instance, there is the selection of eligible participants, the choice of analytic model (logistic, Poisson, etc.), and covariates for which to adjust. Think exponents when combining possible choices.

Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues are research methodologists, so, sadly, they are comfortable with the clunky name of this approach: specification curve analysis. Don’t be deterred. It means that they analyze the data in thousands of ways using computers. Each way is a specification. In the end, the specifications give rise to a curve of hazard ratios for red meat and mortality. Another name for this approach is multiverse analysis.

For their paper in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, aptly named “Grilling the Data,” they didn’t just conjure up the many analytic ways to study the red meat–mortality question. Instead, they used a published systematic review of 15 studies on unprocessed red meat and early mortality. The studies included in this review reported 70 unique ways to analyze the association. 
 

Is Red Meat Good or Bad?

Their first finding was that this analysis yielded widely disparate effect estimates, from 0.63 (reduced risk for early death) to 2.31 (a higher risk). The median hazard ratio was 1.14 with an interquartile range (IQR) of 1.02-1.23. One might conclude from this that eating red meat is associated with a slightly higher risk for early mortality. 

Their second step was to calculate how many ways (specifications) there were to analyze the data by totaling all possible combinations of choices in the 70 ways found in the systematic review. 

They calculated a total of 10 quadrillion possible unique analyses. A quadrillion is 1 with 15 zeros. Computing power cannot handle that amount of analyses yet. So, they generated 20 random unique combinations of covariates, which narrowed the number of analyses to about 1400. About 200 of these were excluded due to implausibly wide confidence intervals. 

Voilà. They now had about 1200 different ways to analyze a dataset; they chose an NHANES longitudinal cohort study from 2007-2014. They deemed each of the more than 1200 approaches plausible because they were derived from peer-reviewed papers written by experts in epidemiology. 
 

Specification Curve Analyses Results 

Each analysis (or specification) yielded a hazard ratio for red meat exposure and death.

• The median HR was 0.94 (IQR, 0.83-1.05) for the effect of red meat on all-cause mortality — ie, not significant.
• The range of hazard ratios was large. They went from 0.51 — a 49% reduced risk for early mortality — to 1.75: a 75% increase in early mortality.
• Among all analyses, 36% yielded hazard ratios above 1.0 and 64% less than 1.0.
• As for statistical significance, defined as P ≤.05, only 4% (or 48 specifications) met this threshold. Zeraatkar reminded me that this is what you’d expect if unprocessed red meat has no effect on longevity.
• Of the 48 analyses deemed statistically significant, 40 indicated that red meat consumption reduced early death and eight indicated that eating red meat led to higher mortality.
• Nearly half the analyses yielded unexciting point estimates, with hazard ratios between 0.90 and 1.10.

Paradigm Changing 

As a user of evidence, I find this a potentially paradigm-changing study. Observational studies far outnumber randomized trials. For many medical questions, observational data are all we have. 

Now think about every observational study published. The authors tell you — post hoc — which method they used to analyze the data. The key point is that it is one method. 

Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues have shown that there are thousands of plausible ways to analyze the data, and this can lead to very different findings. In the specific question of red meat and mortality, their many analyses yielded a null result. 

Now imagine other cases where the researchers did many analyses of a dataset and chose to publish only the significant ones. Observational studies are rarely preregistered, so a reader cannot know how a result would vary depending on analytic choices. A specification curve analysis of a dataset provides a much broader picture. In the case of red meat, you see some significant results, but the vast majority hover around null. 

What about the difficulty in analyzing a dataset 1000 different ways? Dr. Zeraatkar told me that it is harder than just choosing one method, but it’s not impossible. 

The main barrier to adopting this multiverse approach to data, she noted, was not the extra work but the entrenched belief among researchers that there is a best way to analyze data. 

I hope you read this paper and think about it every time you read an observational study that finds a positive or negative association between two things. Ask: What if the researchers were as careful as Dr. Zeraatkar and colleagues and did multiple different analyses? Would the finding hold up to a series of plausible analytic choices? 

Nutritional epidemiology would benefit greatly from this approach. But so would any observational study of an exposure and outcome. I suspect that the number of “positive” associations would diminish. And that would not be a bad thing.

 

Dr. Mandrola, a clinical electrophysiologist at Baptist Medical Associates, Louisville, Kentucky, disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

NEW YORK — New insights into colchicine’s disruption of the pathway that contributes to arterial inflammation and new clinical studies of the drug could pave the way toward greater use of the anti-inflammatory drug in patients with or at risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), researchers said at the 4th Annual Cardiometabolic Risk in Inflammatory Conditions conference.

Colchicine was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in June 2023 in a once-daily 0.5-mg formulation under the brand name Lodoco to reduce the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with established atherosclerotic disease or with multiple risk factors for CVD. The Lodoco formulation is slightly smaller than the 0.6-mg formulation that’s taken twice daily for the prophylaxis and treatment of acute gout flares.

In a presentation at the conference, Binita Shah, MD, one of the principal investigators in trials of Lodoco, explained how the inflammatory pathway contributes to atherosclerosis and provided an update on how colchicine disrupts the pathway. Dr. Shah is an associate professor of medicine at New York University in New York City and director of research at NYU Langone Health Interventional Cardiology.

“Colchicine dampens inflammatory markers on neutrophils so that they are less likely to be attracted to inflamed or injured endothelium, which would be the site of where plaque is building up or where the plaque has ruptured in the setting of a heart attack,” Shah told this news organization after her presentation.

The Inflammatory Pathway

Dr. Shah explained that normal coronary endothelium resists adhesion by circulating leukocytes, but inflamed or injured coronary endothelium attracts those neutrophils via two types of selectins: L-selectins on neutrophils and E-selectins on endothelial cells. Those neutrophils then release inflammatory cytokines including interleukin-1 beta (IL-1ß), which then triggers production of IL-6 and, subsequently, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), which contributes to plaque formation, she said.

“Colchicine affects these pathways with a balance for safety and effect on clinical outcomes, particularly to reduce recurrent myocardial infarction [MI],” Dr. Shah said during her presentation. 

Results from the CIRT trial demonstrated that methotrexate is ineffective in blocking the adenosine-mediated anti-inflammatory pathway, Dr. Shah said, so focusing on the IL-1ß–IL-6–hsCRP pathway, which is known to work based on the results of the CANTOS trial, could pay dividends.

“This is where colchicine can potentially play a role,” she said. 

Dr. Shah cited a secondary analysis of the CANTOS trial in which the magnitude of hsCRP reduction correlated with a reduction in MI, stroke, or cardiovascular death. The secondary analysis showed that patients who received canakinumab and achieved hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L had a nonsignificant 5% lower risk and those who reached < 2 mg/L had a statistically significant 25% lower risk than those who received placebo.

The COPE-PCI Pilot trial demonstrated the benefit of targeting the interleukin pathways, she noted. 

Further clarification of the role of colchicine in managing patients with acute coronary syndrome may come from two other randomized trials now underway, Dr. Shah said: POPCORN is evaluating colchicine to reduce MACE after noncardiac surgery, and CLEAR SYNERGY is evaluating the best timing for colchicine therapy after an acute MI.

Dr. Shah presented preliminary data from her group from a neutrophil biomarker substudy of CLEAR SYNERGY that isolated neutrophils from patients who had an acute MI. “We treated them with various doses of colchicine and showed that the interaction between those treated neutrophils [and] the endothelial cells were a lot lower; they were less sticky to endothelial cells as colchicine was administered,” she said in her presentation. She added that colchicine also reduced neutrophil chemotaxis and neutrophil activation and potentially inhibited inflammasomes, decreasing IL-1ß production.

What’s more, colchicine has been shown to not affect platelets alone but rather platelets at the site of inflammation or plaque rupture, Dr. Shah added. “At currently used doses, colchicine does not inhibit platelet activity [by] itself, so we’ve never seen increased bleeding events, but it will dampen neutrophils’ ability to latch onto a platelet that could contribute to a clot,” she later told this news organization.

“There are multiple studies, both retrospective studies in gout cohorts as well as prospective studies in the cardiovascular cohort, that all show consistently one thing, which is that colchicine continues to reduce the risk of having a recurrent MI in patients who either have cardiovascular disease or are at high risk of having cardiovascular disease,” she said.

“I think that’s very helpful to know that it’s not just one study — it’s not just a fluke, potentially a play of chance — but multiple studies consistently showing the same thing: That there’s a reduced risk of acute MI.”
 

Slow to Embrace Colchicine

Despite this evidence, cardiologists and rheumatologists have been slow to embrace colchicine for patients at risk for cardiovascular events, said Michael S. Garshick, MD, who attended the conference and is head of the Cardio-Rheumatology Program at NYU Langone. “What [Shah] really highlighted was that for a number of years now, we’ve had several clinical trials showing the benefit of low-dose colchicine to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular events, and yet despite these and that there’s now an indication to use low-dose colchicine to reduce cardiovascular disease, we’re still struggling for this medication to be taken up by the general cardiology community to treat high-risk patients.

NYU Langone

“There’s still some work to do to prove that we need to break those barriers,” Dr. Garshick added. Some of the confusion surrounding the use of colchicine for ASCVD may be attributed to the 0.5-mg dose approved for CVD as opposed to the long-approved 0.6-mg dose for gout, he said. “People are generally confused: Is it OK to use the 0.6-mg dose?” Dr. Garshick said.

Potential gastrointestinal side effects may be another concerning factor, although, he added, “we didn’t see any major complications.” Another issue could be polypharmacy in many of these patients, he said.

Dr. Garshick concurred with Shah that the existing evidence supporting the use of colchicine to reduce risk for cardiovascular events is strong, but more will come out. “I think there’s going to be evolving data supporting it,” he said.

Dr. Shah disclosed financial relationships with Philips Volcano and Novo Nordisk. She is a principal investigator of the CLEAR SYNERGY biomarker substudy and the POPCORN trial. Dr. Garshick disclosed relationships with Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Agepha Pharma, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Horizon Therapeutics.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com .

NEW YORK — New insights into colchicine’s disruption of the pathway that contributes to arterial inflammation and new clinical studies of the drug could pave the way toward greater use of the anti-inflammatory drug in patients with or at risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), researchers said at the 4th Annual Cardiometabolic Risk in Inflammatory Conditions conference.

Colchicine was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in June 2023 in a once-daily 0.5-mg formulation under the brand name Lodoco to reduce the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with established atherosclerotic disease or with multiple risk factors for CVD. The Lodoco formulation is slightly smaller than the 0.6-mg formulation that’s taken twice daily for the prophylaxis and treatment of acute gout flares.

In a presentation at the conference, Binita Shah, MD, one of the principal investigators in trials of Lodoco, explained how the inflammatory pathway contributes to atherosclerosis and provided an update on how colchicine disrupts the pathway. Dr. Shah is an associate professor of medicine at New York University in New York City and director of research at NYU Langone Health Interventional Cardiology.

“Colchicine dampens inflammatory markers on neutrophils so that they are less likely to be attracted to inflamed or injured endothelium, which would be the site of where plaque is building up or where the plaque has ruptured in the setting of a heart attack,” Shah told this news organization after her presentation.

The Inflammatory Pathway

Dr. Shah explained that normal coronary endothelium resists adhesion by circulating leukocytes, but inflamed or injured coronary endothelium attracts those neutrophils via two types of selectins: L-selectins on neutrophils and E-selectins on endothelial cells. Those neutrophils then release inflammatory cytokines including interleukin-1 beta (IL-1ß), which then triggers production of IL-6 and, subsequently, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), which contributes to plaque formation, she said.

“Colchicine affects these pathways with a balance for safety and effect on clinical outcomes, particularly to reduce recurrent myocardial infarction [MI],” Dr. Shah said during her presentation. 

Results from the CIRT trial demonstrated that methotrexate is ineffective in blocking the adenosine-mediated anti-inflammatory pathway, Dr. Shah said, so focusing on the IL-1ß–IL-6–hsCRP pathway, which is known to work based on the results of the CANTOS trial, could pay dividends.

“This is where colchicine can potentially play a role,” she said. 

Dr. Shah cited a secondary analysis of the CANTOS trial in which the magnitude of hsCRP reduction correlated with a reduction in MI, stroke, or cardiovascular death. The secondary analysis showed that patients who received canakinumab and achieved hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L had a nonsignificant 5% lower risk and those who reached < 2 mg/L had a statistically significant 25% lower risk than those who received placebo.

The COPE-PCI Pilot trial demonstrated the benefit of targeting the interleukin pathways, she noted. 

Further clarification of the role of colchicine in managing patients with acute coronary syndrome may come from two other randomized trials now underway, Dr. Shah said: POPCORN is evaluating colchicine to reduce MACE after noncardiac surgery, and CLEAR SYNERGY is evaluating the best timing for colchicine therapy after an acute MI.

Dr. Shah presented preliminary data from her group from a neutrophil biomarker substudy of CLEAR SYNERGY that isolated neutrophils from patients who had an acute MI. “We treated them with various doses of colchicine and showed that the interaction between those treated neutrophils [and] the endothelial cells were a lot lower; they were less sticky to endothelial cells as colchicine was administered,” she said in her presentation. She added that colchicine also reduced neutrophil chemotaxis and neutrophil activation and potentially inhibited inflammasomes, decreasing IL-1ß production.

What’s more, colchicine has been shown to not affect platelets alone but rather platelets at the site of inflammation or plaque rupture, Dr. Shah added. “At currently used doses, colchicine does not inhibit platelet activity [by] itself, so we’ve never seen increased bleeding events, but it will dampen neutrophils’ ability to latch onto a platelet that could contribute to a clot,” she later told this news organization.

“There are multiple studies, both retrospective studies in gout cohorts as well as prospective studies in the cardiovascular cohort, that all show consistently one thing, which is that colchicine continues to reduce the risk of having a recurrent MI in patients who either have cardiovascular disease or are at high risk of having cardiovascular disease,” she said.

“I think that’s very helpful to know that it’s not just one study — it’s not just a fluke, potentially a play of chance — but multiple studies consistently showing the same thing: That there’s a reduced risk of acute MI.”
 

Slow to Embrace Colchicine

Despite this evidence, cardiologists and rheumatologists have been slow to embrace colchicine for patients at risk for cardiovascular events, said Michael S. Garshick, MD, who attended the conference and is head of the Cardio-Rheumatology Program at NYU Langone. “What [Shah] really highlighted was that for a number of years now, we’ve had several clinical trials showing the benefit of low-dose colchicine to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular events, and yet despite these and that there’s now an indication to use low-dose colchicine to reduce cardiovascular disease, we’re still struggling for this medication to be taken up by the general cardiology community to treat high-risk patients.

NYU Langone

“There’s still some work to do to prove that we need to break those barriers,” Dr. Garshick added. Some of the confusion surrounding the use of colchicine for ASCVD may be attributed to the 0.5-mg dose approved for CVD as opposed to the long-approved 0.6-mg dose for gout, he said. “People are generally confused: Is it OK to use the 0.6-mg dose?” Dr. Garshick said.

Potential gastrointestinal side effects may be another concerning factor, although, he added, “we didn’t see any major complications.” Another issue could be polypharmacy in many of these patients, he said.

Dr. Garshick concurred with Shah that the existing evidence supporting the use of colchicine to reduce risk for cardiovascular events is strong, but more will come out. “I think there’s going to be evolving data supporting it,” he said.

Dr. Shah disclosed financial relationships with Philips Volcano and Novo Nordisk. She is a principal investigator of the CLEAR SYNERGY biomarker substudy and the POPCORN trial. Dr. Garshick disclosed relationships with Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Agepha Pharma, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Horizon Therapeutics.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com .

NEW YORK — New insights into colchicine’s disruption of the pathway that contributes to arterial inflammation and new clinical studies of the drug could pave the way toward greater use of the anti-inflammatory drug in patients with or at risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), researchers said at the 4th Annual Cardiometabolic Risk in Inflammatory Conditions conference.

Colchicine was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in June 2023 in a once-daily 0.5-mg formulation under the brand name Lodoco to reduce the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with established atherosclerotic disease or with multiple risk factors for CVD. The Lodoco formulation is slightly smaller than the 0.6-mg formulation that’s taken twice daily for the prophylaxis and treatment of acute gout flares.

In a presentation at the conference, Binita Shah, MD, one of the principal investigators in trials of Lodoco, explained how the inflammatory pathway contributes to atherosclerosis and provided an update on how colchicine disrupts the pathway. Dr. Shah is an associate professor of medicine at New York University in New York City and director of research at NYU Langone Health Interventional Cardiology.

“Colchicine dampens inflammatory markers on neutrophils so that they are less likely to be attracted to inflamed or injured endothelium, which would be the site of where plaque is building up or where the plaque has ruptured in the setting of a heart attack,” Shah told this news organization after her presentation.

The Inflammatory Pathway

Dr. Shah explained that normal coronary endothelium resists adhesion by circulating leukocytes, but inflamed or injured coronary endothelium attracts those neutrophils via two types of selectins: L-selectins on neutrophils and E-selectins on endothelial cells. Those neutrophils then release inflammatory cytokines including interleukin-1 beta (IL-1ß), which then triggers production of IL-6 and, subsequently, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), which contributes to plaque formation, she said.

“Colchicine affects these pathways with a balance for safety and effect on clinical outcomes, particularly to reduce recurrent myocardial infarction [MI],” Dr. Shah said during her presentation. 

Results from the CIRT trial demonstrated that methotrexate is ineffective in blocking the adenosine-mediated anti-inflammatory pathway, Dr. Shah said, so focusing on the IL-1ß–IL-6–hsCRP pathway, which is known to work based on the results of the CANTOS trial, could pay dividends.

“This is where colchicine can potentially play a role,” she said. 

Dr. Shah cited a secondary analysis of the CANTOS trial in which the magnitude of hsCRP reduction correlated with a reduction in MI, stroke, or cardiovascular death. The secondary analysis showed that patients who received canakinumab and achieved hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L had a nonsignificant 5% lower risk and those who reached < 2 mg/L had a statistically significant 25% lower risk than those who received placebo.

The COPE-PCI Pilot trial demonstrated the benefit of targeting the interleukin pathways, she noted. 

Further clarification of the role of colchicine in managing patients with acute coronary syndrome may come from two other randomized trials now underway, Dr. Shah said: POPCORN is evaluating colchicine to reduce MACE after noncardiac surgery, and CLEAR SYNERGY is evaluating the best timing for colchicine therapy after an acute MI.

Dr. Shah presented preliminary data from her group from a neutrophil biomarker substudy of CLEAR SYNERGY that isolated neutrophils from patients who had an acute MI. “We treated them with various doses of colchicine and showed that the interaction between those treated neutrophils [and] the endothelial cells were a lot lower; they were less sticky to endothelial cells as colchicine was administered,” she said in her presentation. She added that colchicine also reduced neutrophil chemotaxis and neutrophil activation and potentially inhibited inflammasomes, decreasing IL-1ß production.

What’s more, colchicine has been shown to not affect platelets alone but rather platelets at the site of inflammation or plaque rupture, Dr. Shah added. “At currently used doses, colchicine does not inhibit platelet activity [by] itself, so we’ve never seen increased bleeding events, but it will dampen neutrophils’ ability to latch onto a platelet that could contribute to a clot,” she later told this news organization.

“There are multiple studies, both retrospective studies in gout cohorts as well as prospective studies in the cardiovascular cohort, that all show consistently one thing, which is that colchicine continues to reduce the risk of having a recurrent MI in patients who either have cardiovascular disease or are at high risk of having cardiovascular disease,” she said.

“I think that’s very helpful to know that it’s not just one study — it’s not just a fluke, potentially a play of chance — but multiple studies consistently showing the same thing: That there’s a reduced risk of acute MI.”
 

Slow to Embrace Colchicine

Despite this evidence, cardiologists and rheumatologists have been slow to embrace colchicine for patients at risk for cardiovascular events, said Michael S. Garshick, MD, who attended the conference and is head of the Cardio-Rheumatology Program at NYU Langone. “What [Shah] really highlighted was that for a number of years now, we’ve had several clinical trials showing the benefit of low-dose colchicine to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular events, and yet despite these and that there’s now an indication to use low-dose colchicine to reduce cardiovascular disease, we’re still struggling for this medication to be taken up by the general cardiology community to treat high-risk patients.

NYU Langone

“There’s still some work to do to prove that we need to break those barriers,” Dr. Garshick added. Some of the confusion surrounding the use of colchicine for ASCVD may be attributed to the 0.5-mg dose approved for CVD as opposed to the long-approved 0.6-mg dose for gout, he said. “People are generally confused: Is it OK to use the 0.6-mg dose?” Dr. Garshick said.

Potential gastrointestinal side effects may be another concerning factor, although, he added, “we didn’t see any major complications.” Another issue could be polypharmacy in many of these patients, he said.

Dr. Garshick concurred with Shah that the existing evidence supporting the use of colchicine to reduce risk for cardiovascular events is strong, but more will come out. “I think there’s going to be evolving data supporting it,” he said.

Dr. Shah disclosed financial relationships with Philips Volcano and Novo Nordisk. She is a principal investigator of the CLEAR SYNERGY biomarker substudy and the POPCORN trial. Dr. Garshick disclosed relationships with Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Agepha Pharma, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Horizon Therapeutics.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com .

As the pendulum has swung against recommending aspirin for the primary prevention of heart attacks and strokes, clinicians should focus on other ways to help patients avoid cardiovascular events.

A landmark study published in 1988 in The New England Journal of Medicine reported an astonishing 44% drop in the number of heart attacks among US male physicians aged 40-84 years who took aspirin.

Aspirin subsequently became a daily habit for millions of Americans. In 2017, nearly a quarter of Americans over age 40 who did not have cardiovascular disease (CVD) took the drug, and over 20% of those were doing so without a physician’s recommendation.

But in 2018, three studies (ASCEND, ARRIVE, and ASPREE) showed a stunning reversal in the purported benefit, according to John Wong, MD, vice-chair of the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF).

The calculus for taking aspirin appeared to have changed dramatically: The drug decreased the risk for myocardial infarction by only 11% among study subjects, while its potential harms were much more pronounced.

According to Dr. Wong, who is also a professor of medicine and a primary care physician at Tufts University School of Medicine in Boston, Massachusetts, patients taking low-dose aspirin had a 58% increase in their risk for gastrointestinal bleeding compared with those not on aspirin, as well as a 31% increased risk for intracranial bleeding.

Did aspirin suddenly lose its magic powers in preventing heart attacks? Dr. Wong attributed the decline in effectiveness of aspirin in preventing heart attacks to other “primary care interventions that help reduce the cardiovascular disease risk in patients who haven’t had a heart attack or stroke.”

Fewer Americans smoke cigarettes, more realize the benefits of a healthy diet and physical activity, and the medical community better recognizes and treats hypertension. New classes of medications such as statins for high cholesterol are also moving the needle.

But a newer class of drugs may provide a safer replacement for aspirin, according to Muhammad Maqsood, MD, a cardiology fellow at DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center at Methodist Hospital in Houston, Texas. P2Y purinoceptor 12 (P2Y12) inhibitors are effective in lowering the risk for heart attack and stroke in patients with acute coronary syndrome or those undergoing elective percutaneous coronary interventions.

“They have shown a better bleeding profile, especially clopidogrel compared to aspirin,” Dr. Maqsood said.

However, the findings come from trials of patients who already had CVD, so results cannot yet be extrapolated to primary prevention. Dr. Maqsood said the gap highlights the need for clinical trials that evaluate P2Y12 inhibitors for primary prevention, but no such study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov.
 

Benefits Persist for Some Patients

The new evidence led the USPSTF to publish new guidelines in 2022, downgrading the recommendation for low-dose aspirin use for primary prevention. Previously, the organization stated that clinicians “should” initiate daily low-dose aspirin in adults aged 50-59 years and “consider” its use in adults aged 60-69 years whose 10-year risk for CVD was higher than 10%.

The updated guidelines stated that the decision to initiate low-dose aspirin in adults aged 40-59 years with a greater than 10% risk for CVD “should be an individual one,” based on professional judgment and individual patient preferences. The USPSTF also recommended against the use of aspirin in anyone over the age of 60.

Meanwhile, the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association also dialed down previously strong recommendations on low-dose aspirin to a more nuanced recommendation stating, “low-dose aspirin might be considered for primary prevention of ASCVD among select adults 40-70 years of age.”

With a varying age limit for recommending aspirin, clinicians may take into consideration several variables.

“Is there a magic age? I don’t think there is,” said Douglas Lloyd-Jones, the former president of the American Heart Association and current chair of the Department of Preventive Medicine and a practicing cardiologist at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine in Chicago, Illinois.

For a patient over age 60 who is at a high risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes, is unable to quit smoking, and is not likely to experience problematic bleeding, a clinician might recommend aspirin, Dr. Lloyd-Jones said. He said he sometimes also assesses coronary artery calcium to guide his clinical decisions: If elevated (an Agatston score above 100), he might recommend low-dose aspirin.

Dr. Lloyd-Jones also reiterated that patients should continue taking low-dose aspirin if they have already experienced a heart attack, stroke, episode of atrial fibrillation, or required a vascular stent.

Unless a patient with established CVD has intractable bleeding, “the aspirin is really for life,” Dr. Lloyd-Jones said. Patients who have a stent or who are at high risk for recurrence of stroke are more likely to experience thrombosis, and aspirin can decrease the risk.

“In our cardiology community, we don’t just strictly use the age of 70; the decision is always individualized,” Dr. Maqsood said.

Dr. Wong said primary care providers should focus on the USPSTF’s other recommendations that address CVD (Table), such as smoking cessation and screening for hypertension.

“I think our challenge is that we have so many of those A and B recommendations,” Dr. Wong said. “And I think part of the challenge for us is working with the patient to find out what’s most important to them.”

Discussing heart attacks and strokes often will strike a chord with patients because someone they know has been affected.

Dr. Maqsood emphasized the importance of behavioral interventions, such as helping patients decrease their body mass index and control their hyperlipidemia.

“The behavioral interventions are those which are the most cost-effective without any side effects,” he said.

His other piece of advice is to inquire with younger patients about a family history of heart attacks. Familial hypercholesteremia is unlikely to be controlled by diet and exercise and will need medical therapy.

Dr. Lloyd-Jones described the discussions he has with patients about preventing heart attacks as “the most important conversations we can have: Remember that cardiovascular disease is still the leading cause of death and disability in the world and in the United States.”

Dr. Wong, Dr. Lloyd-Jones, and Dr. Maqsood reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

As the pendulum has swung against recommending aspirin for the primary prevention of heart attacks and strokes, clinicians should focus on other ways to help patients avoid cardiovascular events.

A landmark study published in 1988 in The New England Journal of Medicine reported an astonishing 44% drop in the number of heart attacks among US male physicians aged 40-84 years who took aspirin.

Aspirin subsequently became a daily habit for millions of Americans. In 2017, nearly a quarter of Americans over age 40 who did not have cardiovascular disease (CVD) took the drug, and over 20% of those were doing so without a physician’s recommendation.

But in 2018, three studies (ASCEND, ARRIVE, and ASPREE) showed a stunning reversal in the purported benefit, according to John Wong, MD, vice-chair of the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF).

The calculus for taking aspirin appeared to have changed dramatically: The drug decreased the risk for myocardial infarction by only 11% among study subjects, while its potential harms were much more pronounced.

According to Dr. Wong, who is also a professor of medicine and a primary care physician at Tufts University School of Medicine in Boston, Massachusetts, patients taking low-dose aspirin had a 58% increase in their risk for gastrointestinal bleeding compared with those not on aspirin, as well as a 31% increased risk for intracranial bleeding.

Did aspirin suddenly lose its magic powers in preventing heart attacks? Dr. Wong attributed the decline in effectiveness of aspirin in preventing heart attacks to other “primary care interventions that help reduce the cardiovascular disease risk in patients who haven’t had a heart attack or stroke.”

Fewer Americans smoke cigarettes, more realize the benefits of a healthy diet and physical activity, and the medical community better recognizes and treats hypertension. New classes of medications such as statins for high cholesterol are also moving the needle.

But a newer class of drugs may provide a safer replacement for aspirin, according to Muhammad Maqsood, MD, a cardiology fellow at DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center at Methodist Hospital in Houston, Texas. P2Y purinoceptor 12 (P2Y12) inhibitors are effective in lowering the risk for heart attack and stroke in patients with acute coronary syndrome or those undergoing elective percutaneous coronary interventions.

“They have shown a better bleeding profile, especially clopidogrel compared to aspirin,” Dr. Maqsood said.

However, the findings come from trials of patients who already had CVD, so results cannot yet be extrapolated to primary prevention. Dr. Maqsood said the gap highlights the need for clinical trials that evaluate P2Y12 inhibitors for primary prevention, but no such study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov.
 

Benefits Persist for Some Patients

The new evidence led the USPSTF to publish new guidelines in 2022, downgrading the recommendation for low-dose aspirin use for primary prevention. Previously, the organization stated that clinicians “should” initiate daily low-dose aspirin in adults aged 50-59 years and “consider” its use in adults aged 60-69 years whose 10-year risk for CVD was higher than 10%.

The updated guidelines stated that the decision to initiate low-dose aspirin in adults aged 40-59 years with a greater than 10% risk for CVD “should be an individual one,” based on professional judgment and individual patient preferences. The USPSTF also recommended against the use of aspirin in anyone over the age of 60.

Meanwhile, the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association also dialed down previously strong recommendations on low-dose aspirin to a more nuanced recommendation stating, “low-dose aspirin might be considered for primary prevention of ASCVD among select adults 40-70 years of age.”

With a varying age limit for recommending aspirin, clinicians may take into consideration several variables.

“Is there a magic age? I don’t think there is,” said Douglas Lloyd-Jones, the former president of the American Heart Association and current chair of the Department of Preventive Medicine and a practicing cardiologist at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine in Chicago, Illinois.

For a patient over age 60 who is at a high risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes, is unable to quit smoking, and is not likely to experience problematic bleeding, a clinician might recommend aspirin, Dr. Lloyd-Jones said. He said he sometimes also assesses coronary artery calcium to guide his clinical decisions: If elevated (an Agatston score above 100), he might recommend low-dose aspirin.

Dr. Lloyd-Jones also reiterated that patients should continue taking low-dose aspirin if they have already experienced a heart attack, stroke, episode of atrial fibrillation, or required a vascular stent.

Unless a patient with established CVD has intractable bleeding, “the aspirin is really for life,” Dr. Lloyd-Jones said. Patients who have a stent or who are at high risk for recurrence of stroke are more likely to experience thrombosis, and aspirin can decrease the risk.

“In our cardiology community, we don’t just strictly use the age of 70; the decision is always individualized,” Dr. Maqsood said.

Dr. Wong said primary care providers should focus on the USPSTF’s other recommendations that address CVD (Table), such as smoking cessation and screening for hypertension.

“I think our challenge is that we have so many of those A and B recommendations,” Dr. Wong said. “And I think part of the challenge for us is working with the patient to find out what’s most important to them.”

Discussing heart attacks and strokes often will strike a chord with patients because someone they know has been affected.

Dr. Maqsood emphasized the importance of behavioral interventions, such as helping patients decrease their body mass index and control their hyperlipidemia.

“The behavioral interventions are those which are the most cost-effective without any side effects,” he said.

His other piece of advice is to inquire with younger patients about a family history of heart attacks. Familial hypercholesteremia is unlikely to be controlled by diet and exercise and will need medical therapy.

Dr. Lloyd-Jones described the discussions he has with patients about preventing heart attacks as “the most important conversations we can have: Remember that cardiovascular disease is still the leading cause of death and disability in the world and in the United States.”

Dr. Wong, Dr. Lloyd-Jones, and Dr. Maqsood reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

As the pendulum has swung against recommending aspirin for the primary prevention of heart attacks and strokes, clinicians should focus on other ways to help patients avoid cardiovascular events.

A landmark study published in 1988 in The New England Journal of Medicine reported an astonishing 44% drop in the number of heart attacks among US male physicians aged 40-84 years who took aspirin.

Aspirin subsequently became a daily habit for millions of Americans. In 2017, nearly a quarter of Americans over age 40 who did not have cardiovascular disease (CVD) took the drug, and over 20% of those were doing so without a physician’s recommendation.

But in 2018, three studies (ASCEND, ARRIVE, and ASPREE) showed a stunning reversal in the purported benefit, according to John Wong, MD, vice-chair of the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF).

The calculus for taking aspirin appeared to have changed dramatically: The drug decreased the risk for myocardial infarction by only 11% among study subjects, while its potential harms were much more pronounced.

According to Dr. Wong, who is also a professor of medicine and a primary care physician at Tufts University School of Medicine in Boston, Massachusetts, patients taking low-dose aspirin had a 58% increase in their risk for gastrointestinal bleeding compared with those not on aspirin, as well as a 31% increased risk for intracranial bleeding.

Did aspirin suddenly lose its magic powers in preventing heart attacks? Dr. Wong attributed the decline in effectiveness of aspirin in preventing heart attacks to other “primary care interventions that help reduce the cardiovascular disease risk in patients who haven’t had a heart attack or stroke.”

Fewer Americans smoke cigarettes, more realize the benefits of a healthy diet and physical activity, and the medical community better recognizes and treats hypertension. New classes of medications such as statins for high cholesterol are also moving the needle.

But a newer class of drugs may provide a safer replacement for aspirin, according to Muhammad Maqsood, MD, a cardiology fellow at DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center at Methodist Hospital in Houston, Texas. P2Y purinoceptor 12 (P2Y12) inhibitors are effective in lowering the risk for heart attack and stroke in patients with acute coronary syndrome or those undergoing elective percutaneous coronary interventions.

“They have shown a better bleeding profile, especially clopidogrel compared to aspirin,” Dr. Maqsood said.

However, the findings come from trials of patients who already had CVD, so results cannot yet be extrapolated to primary prevention. Dr. Maqsood said the gap highlights the need for clinical trials that evaluate P2Y12 inhibitors for primary prevention, but no such study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov.
 

Benefits Persist for Some Patients

The new evidence led the USPSTF to publish new guidelines in 2022, downgrading the recommendation for low-dose aspirin use for primary prevention. Previously, the organization stated that clinicians “should” initiate daily low-dose aspirin in adults aged 50-59 years and “consider” its use in adults aged 60-69 years whose 10-year risk for CVD was higher than 10%.

The updated guidelines stated that the decision to initiate low-dose aspirin in adults aged 40-59 years with a greater than 10% risk for CVD “should be an individual one,” based on professional judgment and individual patient preferences. The USPSTF also recommended against the use of aspirin in anyone over the age of 60.

Meanwhile, the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association also dialed down previously strong recommendations on low-dose aspirin to a more nuanced recommendation stating, “low-dose aspirin might be considered for primary prevention of ASCVD among select adults 40-70 years of age.”

With a varying age limit for recommending aspirin, clinicians may take into consideration several variables.

“Is there a magic age? I don’t think there is,” said Douglas Lloyd-Jones, the former president of the American Heart Association and current chair of the Department of Preventive Medicine and a practicing cardiologist at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine in Chicago, Illinois.

For a patient over age 60 who is at a high risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes, is unable to quit smoking, and is not likely to experience problematic bleeding, a clinician might recommend aspirin, Dr. Lloyd-Jones said. He said he sometimes also assesses coronary artery calcium to guide his clinical decisions: If elevated (an Agatston score above 100), he might recommend low-dose aspirin.

Dr. Lloyd-Jones also reiterated that patients should continue taking low-dose aspirin if they have already experienced a heart attack, stroke, episode of atrial fibrillation, or required a vascular stent.

Unless a patient with established CVD has intractable bleeding, “the aspirin is really for life,” Dr. Lloyd-Jones said. Patients who have a stent or who are at high risk for recurrence of stroke are more likely to experience thrombosis, and aspirin can decrease the risk.

“In our cardiology community, we don’t just strictly use the age of 70; the decision is always individualized,” Dr. Maqsood said.

Dr. Wong said primary care providers should focus on the USPSTF’s other recommendations that address CVD (Table), such as smoking cessation and screening for hypertension.

“I think our challenge is that we have so many of those A and B recommendations,” Dr. Wong said. “And I think part of the challenge for us is working with the patient to find out what’s most important to them.”

Discussing heart attacks and strokes often will strike a chord with patients because someone they know has been affected.

Dr. Maqsood emphasized the importance of behavioral interventions, such as helping patients decrease their body mass index and control their hyperlipidemia.

“The behavioral interventions are those which are the most cost-effective without any side effects,” he said.

His other piece of advice is to inquire with younger patients about a family history of heart attacks. Familial hypercholesteremia is unlikely to be controlled by diet and exercise and will need medical therapy.

Dr. Lloyd-Jones described the discussions he has with patients about preventing heart attacks as “the most important conversations we can have: Remember that cardiovascular disease is still the leading cause of death and disability in the world and in the United States.”

Dr. Wong, Dr. Lloyd-Jones, and Dr. Maqsood reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Moderate to vigorous aerobic physical activity performed in the evening is associated with the lowest risk for mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and microvascular disease (MVD) in adults with obesity, including those with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODOLOGY:

• Bouts of moderate to vigorous aerobic physical activity are widely recognized to improve cardiometabolic risk factors, but whether morning, afternoon, or evening timing may lead to greater improvements is unclear.
• Researchers analyzed UK Biobank data of 29,836 participants with obesity (body mass index, › 30; mean age, 62.2 years; 53.2% women), including 2995 also diagnosed with T2D, all enrolled in 2006-2010.
• Aerobic activity was defined as bouts lasting ≥ 3 minutes, and the intensity of activity was classified as light, moderate, or vigorous using accelerometer data collected from participants.
• Participants were stratified into the morning (6 a.m. to < 12 p.m.), afternoon (12 p.m. to < 6 p.m.), and evening (6 p.m. to < 12 a.m.) groups based on when > 50% of their total moderate to vigorous activity occurred, and those with no aerobic bouts were considered the reference group.
• The association between the timing of aerobic physical activity and risk for all-cause mortality, CVD (defined as circulatory, such as hypertension), and MVD (neuropathy, nephropathy, or retinopathy) was evaluated over a median follow-up of 7.9 years.

TAKEAWAY:

• Mortality risk was lowest in the evening moderate to vigorous physical activity group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.39; 95% CI, 0.27-0.55) and even lower in the T2D subgroup (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.08-0.76) than in the reference group.
• Mortality risk was lower in the afternoon (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.51-0.71) and morning (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.56-0.79) activity groups than in the reference group, but this association was weaker than that observed in the evening activity group.
• The evening moderate to vigorous activity group had a lower risk for CVD (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.54-0.75) and MVD (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.92) than the reference group.
• Among participants with obesity and T2D, moderate to vigorous physical activity in the evening was associated with a lower risk for mortality, CVD, and MVD.

IN PRACTICE:

The authors wrote, “The results of this study emphasize that beyond the total volume of MVPA [moderate to vigorous physical activity], its timing, particularly in the evening, was consistently associated with the lowest risk of mortality relative to other timing windows.”

SOURCE:

The study, led by Angelo Sabag, PhD, Charles Perkins Centre, University of Sydney, Australia, was published online in Diabetes Care.

LIMITATIONS:

Because this was an observational study, the possibility of reverse causation from prodromal disease and unaccounted confounding factors could not have been ruled out. There was a lag of a median of 5.5 years between the UK Biobank baseline, when covariate measurements were taken, and the accelerometry study. Moreover, the response rate of the UK Biobank was low.

DISCLOSURES:

The study was funded by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant and the National Heart Foundation of Australia Postdoctoral Fellowship. The authors reported no conflicts of interest.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Moderate to vigorous aerobic physical activity performed in the evening is associated with the lowest risk for mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and microvascular disease (MVD) in adults with obesity, including those with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODOLOGY:

• Bouts of moderate to vigorous aerobic physical activity are widely recognized to improve cardiometabolic risk factors, but whether morning, afternoon, or evening timing may lead to greater improvements is unclear.
• Researchers analyzed UK Biobank data of 29,836 participants with obesity (body mass index, › 30; mean age, 62.2 years; 53.2% women), including 2995 also diagnosed with T2D, all enrolled in 2006-2010.
• Aerobic activity was defined as bouts lasting ≥ 3 minutes, and the intensity of activity was classified as light, moderate, or vigorous using accelerometer data collected from participants.
• Participants were stratified into the morning (6 a.m. to < 12 p.m.), afternoon (12 p.m. to < 6 p.m.), and evening (6 p.m. to < 12 a.m.) groups based on when > 50% of their total moderate to vigorous activity occurred, and those with no aerobic bouts were considered the reference group.
• The association between the timing of aerobic physical activity and risk for all-cause mortality, CVD (defined as circulatory, such as hypertension), and MVD (neuropathy, nephropathy, or retinopathy) was evaluated over a median follow-up of 7.9 years.

TAKEAWAY:

• Mortality risk was lowest in the evening moderate to vigorous physical activity group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.39; 95% CI, 0.27-0.55) and even lower in the T2D subgroup (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.08-0.76) than in the reference group.
• Mortality risk was lower in the afternoon (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.51-0.71) and morning (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.56-0.79) activity groups than in the reference group, but this association was weaker than that observed in the evening activity group.
• The evening moderate to vigorous activity group had a lower risk for CVD (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.54-0.75) and MVD (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.92) than the reference group.
• Among participants with obesity and T2D, moderate to vigorous physical activity in the evening was associated with a lower risk for mortality, CVD, and MVD.

IN PRACTICE:

The authors wrote, “The results of this study emphasize that beyond the total volume of MVPA [moderate to vigorous physical activity], its timing, particularly in the evening, was consistently associated with the lowest risk of mortality relative to other timing windows.”

SOURCE:

The study, led by Angelo Sabag, PhD, Charles Perkins Centre, University of Sydney, Australia, was published online in Diabetes Care.

LIMITATIONS:

Because this was an observational study, the possibility of reverse causation from prodromal disease and unaccounted confounding factors could not have been ruled out. There was a lag of a median of 5.5 years between the UK Biobank baseline, when covariate measurements were taken, and the accelerometry study. Moreover, the response rate of the UK Biobank was low.

DISCLOSURES:

The study was funded by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant and the National Heart Foundation of Australia Postdoctoral Fellowship. The authors reported no conflicts of interest.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Moderate to vigorous aerobic physical activity performed in the evening is associated with the lowest risk for mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and microvascular disease (MVD) in adults with obesity, including those with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODOLOGY:

• Bouts of moderate to vigorous aerobic physical activity are widely recognized to improve cardiometabolic risk factors, but whether morning, afternoon, or evening timing may lead to greater improvements is unclear.
• Researchers analyzed UK Biobank data of 29,836 participants with obesity (body mass index, › 30; mean age, 62.2 years; 53.2% women), including 2995 also diagnosed with T2D, all enrolled in 2006-2010.
• Aerobic activity was defined as bouts lasting ≥ 3 minutes, and the intensity of activity was classified as light, moderate, or vigorous using accelerometer data collected from participants.
• Participants were stratified into the morning (6 a.m. to < 12 p.m.), afternoon (12 p.m. to < 6 p.m.), and evening (6 p.m. to < 12 a.m.) groups based on when > 50% of their total moderate to vigorous activity occurred, and those with no aerobic bouts were considered the reference group.
• The association between the timing of aerobic physical activity and risk for all-cause mortality, CVD (defined as circulatory, such as hypertension), and MVD (neuropathy, nephropathy, or retinopathy) was evaluated over a median follow-up of 7.9 years.

TAKEAWAY:

• Mortality risk was lowest in the evening moderate to vigorous physical activity group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.39; 95% CI, 0.27-0.55) and even lower in the T2D subgroup (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.08-0.76) than in the reference group.
• Mortality risk was lower in the afternoon (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.51-0.71) and morning (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.56-0.79) activity groups than in the reference group, but this association was weaker than that observed in the evening activity group.
• The evening moderate to vigorous activity group had a lower risk for CVD (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.54-0.75) and MVD (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.92) than the reference group.
• Among participants with obesity and T2D, moderate to vigorous physical activity in the evening was associated with a lower risk for mortality, CVD, and MVD.

IN PRACTICE:

The authors wrote, “The results of this study emphasize that beyond the total volume of MVPA [moderate to vigorous physical activity], its timing, particularly in the evening, was consistently associated with the lowest risk of mortality relative to other timing windows.”

SOURCE:

The study, led by Angelo Sabag, PhD, Charles Perkins Centre, University of Sydney, Australia, was published online in Diabetes Care.

LIMITATIONS:

Because this was an observational study, the possibility of reverse causation from prodromal disease and unaccounted confounding factors could not have been ruled out. There was a lag of a median of 5.5 years between the UK Biobank baseline, when covariate measurements were taken, and the accelerometry study. Moreover, the response rate of the UK Biobank was low.

DISCLOSURES:

The study was funded by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant and the National Heart Foundation of Australia Postdoctoral Fellowship. The authors reported no conflicts of interest.

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

E-cigarettes entered the market as consumer products without comprehensive toxicological testing,based on the assessment that they were 95% less harmful than traditional cigarettes. Further, consumer dvertising suggests that e-cigarettes are a good alternative to conventional combustible cigarettes and can serve as a gateway to quitting smoking.

However, hen considering damage to the endothelium and toxicity, e-cigarettes have a negative impact like that of conventional cigarettes. Moreover, switching to e-cigarettes often leads to dual use, said Stefan Andreas, MD, director of the Lungenfachklinik in Immenhausen, Germany, at the Congress of the German Respiratory Society and Intensive Care Medicine. 
 

Subclinical Atherosclerosis

Because e-cigarettes have emerged relatively recently, long-term studies on their cardiac consequences are not yet available. Dr. Andreas explained that the impact on endothelial function is relevant for risk assessment. Endothelial function is a biomarker for early, subclinical atherosclerosis. “If endothelial function is impaired, the risk for heart attack and stroke is significantly increased 5-10 years later,” said Dr. Andreas.

The results of a crossover study showed reduced vascular elasticity after consuming both tobacco cigarettes and e-cigarettes. The study included 20 smokers, and endothelial function was measured using flow-mediated vasodilation.

Significant effects on the vessels were also found in a study of 31 participants who had never smoked. The study participants inhaled a nicotine-free aerosol from e-cigarettes. Before and after, parameters of endothelial function were examined using a 3.0-T MRI. After aerosol inhalation, the resistance index was 2.3% higher (P < .05), and flow-mediated vascular dilation was reduced by 34% (P < .001).

A recent review involving 372 participants from China showed that e-cigarettes lead to an increase in pulse wave velocity, with a difference of 3.08 (P < .001). “Pulse wave velocity is also a marker of endothelial function: The stiffer the vessels, the higher the pulse wave velocity,” said Dr. Andreas. The authors of the review concluded that “e-cigarettes should not be promoted as a healthier alternative to tobacco smoking.”
 

No Harmless Alternative

A recent review compared the effects of tobacco smoking and e-cigarettes. The results showed that vaping e-cigarettes causes oxidative stress, inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and related cardiovascular consequences. The authors attributed the findings to overlapping toxic compounds in vapor and tobacco smoke and similar pathomechanical features of vaping and smoking. Although the toxic mixture in smoke is more complex, both e-cigarettes and tobacco cigarettes “impaired endothelial function to a similar extent,” they wrote. The authors attributed this finding to oxidative stress as the central mechanism.

“There is increasing evidence that e-cigarettes are not a harmless alternative to tobacco cigarettes,” wrote Thomas Münzel, MD, professor of cardiology at the University of Mainz and his team in their 2020 review, which examined studies in humans and animals. They provided an overview of the effects of tobacco/hookah smoking and e-cigarette vaping on endothelial function. They also pointed to emerging adverse effects on the proteome, transcriptome, epigenome, microbiome, and circadian clock.

Finally, a toxicological review of e-cigarettes also found alarmingly high levels of carcinogens and toxins that could have long-term effects on other organs, including the development of neurological symptoms, lung cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and cavities.

Dr. Andreas observed that even small amounts, such as those obtained through secondhand smoking, can be harmful. In 2007, Dr. Andreas and his colleagues showed that even low exposure to tobacco smoke can lead to a significant increase in cardiovascular events.
 

Conflicts of Interest 

Dr. Andreas recommended closely examining the studies that suggest that e-cigarettes are less risky. “It is noticeable that there is a significant difference depending on whether publications were supported by the tobacco industry or not,” he emphasized.

Danish scientists found that a conflict of interest (COI) has a strong influence on study results. “In studies without a COI, e-cigarettes are found to cause damage 95% of the time. In contrast, when there is a strong conflict of interest, the result is often ‘no harm,’” said Dr. Andreas.

This effect is quite relevant for the discussion of e-cigarettes. “If scientists make a critical statement in a position paper, there will always be someone who says, ‘No, it’s different, there are these and those publications.’ The true nature of interest-driven publications on e-cigarettes is not always easy to discern,” said Dr. Andreas.
 

No Gateway to Quitting 

E-cigarettes are used in clinical studies for tobacco cessation. The results of a randomized study showed that significantly more smokers who were switched to e-cigarettes quit smoking, compared with controls. But there was no significant difference in complete smoking cessation between groups. Moreover, 45% of smokers who switched to e-cigarettes became dual users, compared with 11% of controls.

“Translating these results means that for one person who quits smoking by using e-cigarettes, they gain five people who use both traditional cigarettes and e-cigarettes,” explained Dr. Andreas.

In their recent review, Münzel and colleagues pointed out that the assessment that e-cigarettes could help with quitting might be wrong. Rather, it seems that “e-cigarettes have the opposite effect.” They also note that the age of initiation for e-cigarettes is generally lower than for tobacco cigarettes: Consumption often starts at age 13 or 14 years. And the consumption of e-cigarettes among children and adolescents increased by 7% from 2016 to 2023.

A meta-analysis published at the end of February also shows that e-cigarettes are about as dangerous as tobacco cigarettes. They are more dangerous than not smoking, and dual use is more dangerous than tobacco cigarettes alone. “There is a need to reassess the assumption that e-cigarette use provides substantial harm reduction across all cigarette-caused diseases, particularly accounting for dual use,” wrote the authors.

“One must always consider that e-cigarettes have only been available for a relatively short time. We can only see the cumulative toxicity in 10, 20 years when we have patients who have smoked e-cigarettes only for 20 years,” said Dr. Andreas. Ultimately, however, e-cigarettes promote dual use and, consequently, additive toxicity.
 

Nicotine Replacement Therapies 

Quitting smoking reduces the risk of cardiovascular events and premature death by 40%, even among patients with cardiovascular disease, according to a Cochrane meta-analysis. Smoking cessation reduces the risk for cardiovascular death by 39%, the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events by 43%, the risk for heart attack by 36%, the risk for stroke by 30%, and overall mortality by 40%.

Quitting smoking is the most effective measure for risk reduction, as a meta-analysis of 20 studies in patients with coronary heart disease found. Smoking cessation was associated with a 36% risk reduction compared with 29% risk reduction for statin therapy, 23% risk reduction with beta-blockers and ACE inhibitors and 15% risk reduction with aspirin.

Dr. Andreas emphasized that nicotine replacement therapies are well-researched and safe even in cardiovascular disease, as shown by a US study that included patients who had sustained a heart attack. A group of the participants was treated with nicotine patches for 10 weeks, while the other group received a placebo. After 14 weeks, 21% of the nicotine patch group achieved abstinence vs 9% of the placebo group (P = .001). Transdermal nicotine application does not lead to a significant increase in cardiovascular events in high-risk patients.

The German “Nonsmoker Heroes” app has proven to be an effective means of behavioral therapeutic coaching. A recent study of it included 17 study centers with 661 participants. About 21% of the subjects had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 19% had asthma. Smoking onset occurred at age 16 years. The subjects were highly dependent: > 72% had at least moderate dependence, > 58% had high to very high dependence, and the population had an average of 3.6 quit attempts. The odds ratio for self-reported abstinence was 2.2 after 6 months. “The app is not only effective, but also can be prescribed on an extrabudgetary basis,” said Dr. Andreas.

This story was translated from the Medscape German edition using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

E-cigarettes entered the market as consumer products without comprehensive toxicological testing,based on the assessment that they were 95% less harmful than traditional cigarettes. Further, consumer dvertising suggests that e-cigarettes are a good alternative to conventional combustible cigarettes and can serve as a gateway to quitting smoking.

However, hen considering damage to the endothelium and toxicity, e-cigarettes have a negative impact like that of conventional cigarettes. Moreover, switching to e-cigarettes often leads to dual use, said Stefan Andreas, MD, director of the Lungenfachklinik in Immenhausen, Germany, at the Congress of the German Respiratory Society and Intensive Care Medicine. 
 

Subclinical Atherosclerosis

Because e-cigarettes have emerged relatively recently, long-term studies on their cardiac consequences are not yet available. Dr. Andreas explained that the impact on endothelial function is relevant for risk assessment. Endothelial function is a biomarker for early, subclinical atherosclerosis. “If endothelial function is impaired, the risk for heart attack and stroke is significantly increased 5-10 years later,” said Dr. Andreas.

The results of a crossover study showed reduced vascular elasticity after consuming both tobacco cigarettes and e-cigarettes. The study included 20 smokers, and endothelial function was measured using flow-mediated vasodilation.

Significant effects on the vessels were also found in a study of 31 participants who had never smoked. The study participants inhaled a nicotine-free aerosol from e-cigarettes. Before and after, parameters of endothelial function were examined using a 3.0-T MRI. After aerosol inhalation, the resistance index was 2.3% higher (P < .05), and flow-mediated vascular dilation was reduced by 34% (P < .001).

A recent review involving 372 participants from China showed that e-cigarettes lead to an increase in pulse wave velocity, with a difference of 3.08 (P < .001). “Pulse wave velocity is also a marker of endothelial function: The stiffer the vessels, the higher the pulse wave velocity,” said Dr. Andreas. The authors of the review concluded that “e-cigarettes should not be promoted as a healthier alternative to tobacco smoking.”
 

No Harmless Alternative

A recent review compared the effects of tobacco smoking and e-cigarettes. The results showed that vaping e-cigarettes causes oxidative stress, inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and related cardiovascular consequences. The authors attributed the findings to overlapping toxic compounds in vapor and tobacco smoke and similar pathomechanical features of vaping and smoking. Although the toxic mixture in smoke is more complex, both e-cigarettes and tobacco cigarettes “impaired endothelial function to a similar extent,” they wrote. The authors attributed this finding to oxidative stress as the central mechanism.

“There is increasing evidence that e-cigarettes are not a harmless alternative to tobacco cigarettes,” wrote Thomas Münzel, MD, professor of cardiology at the University of Mainz and his team in their 2020 review, which examined studies in humans and animals. They provided an overview of the effects of tobacco/hookah smoking and e-cigarette vaping on endothelial function. They also pointed to emerging adverse effects on the proteome, transcriptome, epigenome, microbiome, and circadian clock.

Finally, a toxicological review of e-cigarettes also found alarmingly high levels of carcinogens and toxins that could have long-term effects on other organs, including the development of neurological symptoms, lung cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and cavities.

Dr. Andreas observed that even small amounts, such as those obtained through secondhand smoking, can be harmful. In 2007, Dr. Andreas and his colleagues showed that even low exposure to tobacco smoke can lead to a significant increase in cardiovascular events.
 

Conflicts of Interest 

Dr. Andreas recommended closely examining the studies that suggest that e-cigarettes are less risky. “It is noticeable that there is a significant difference depending on whether publications were supported by the tobacco industry or not,” he emphasized.

Danish scientists found that a conflict of interest (COI) has a strong influence on study results. “In studies without a COI, e-cigarettes are found to cause damage 95% of the time. In contrast, when there is a strong conflict of interest, the result is often ‘no harm,’” said Dr. Andreas.

This effect is quite relevant for the discussion of e-cigarettes. “If scientists make a critical statement in a position paper, there will always be someone who says, ‘No, it’s different, there are these and those publications.’ The true nature of interest-driven publications on e-cigarettes is not always easy to discern,” said Dr. Andreas.
 

No Gateway to Quitting 

E-cigarettes are used in clinical studies for tobacco cessation. The results of a randomized study showed that significantly more smokers who were switched to e-cigarettes quit smoking, compared with controls. But there was no significant difference in complete smoking cessation between groups. Moreover, 45% of smokers who switched to e-cigarettes became dual users, compared with 11% of controls.

“Translating these results means that for one person who quits smoking by using e-cigarettes, they gain five people who use both traditional cigarettes and e-cigarettes,” explained Dr. Andreas.

In their recent review, Münzel and colleagues pointed out that the assessment that e-cigarettes could help with quitting might be wrong. Rather, it seems that “e-cigarettes have the opposite effect.” They also note that the age of initiation for e-cigarettes is generally lower than for tobacco cigarettes: Consumption often starts at age 13 or 14 years. And the consumption of e-cigarettes among children and adolescents increased by 7% from 2016 to 2023.

A meta-analysis published at the end of February also shows that e-cigarettes are about as dangerous as tobacco cigarettes. They are more dangerous than not smoking, and dual use is more dangerous than tobacco cigarettes alone. “There is a need to reassess the assumption that e-cigarette use provides substantial harm reduction across all cigarette-caused diseases, particularly accounting for dual use,” wrote the authors.

“One must always consider that e-cigarettes have only been available for a relatively short time. We can only see the cumulative toxicity in 10, 20 years when we have patients who have smoked e-cigarettes only for 20 years,” said Dr. Andreas. Ultimately, however, e-cigarettes promote dual use and, consequently, additive toxicity.
 

Nicotine Replacement Therapies 

Quitting smoking reduces the risk of cardiovascular events and premature death by 40%, even among patients with cardiovascular disease, according to a Cochrane meta-analysis. Smoking cessation reduces the risk for cardiovascular death by 39%, the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events by 43%, the risk for heart attack by 36%, the risk for stroke by 30%, and overall mortality by 40%.

Quitting smoking is the most effective measure for risk reduction, as a meta-analysis of 20 studies in patients with coronary heart disease found. Smoking cessation was associated with a 36% risk reduction compared with 29% risk reduction for statin therapy, 23% risk reduction with beta-blockers and ACE inhibitors and 15% risk reduction with aspirin.

Dr. Andreas emphasized that nicotine replacement therapies are well-researched and safe even in cardiovascular disease, as shown by a US study that included patients who had sustained a heart attack. A group of the participants was treated with nicotine patches for 10 weeks, while the other group received a placebo. After 14 weeks, 21% of the nicotine patch group achieved abstinence vs 9% of the placebo group (P = .001). Transdermal nicotine application does not lead to a significant increase in cardiovascular events in high-risk patients.

The German “Nonsmoker Heroes” app has proven to be an effective means of behavioral therapeutic coaching. A recent study of it included 17 study centers with 661 participants. About 21% of the subjects had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 19% had asthma. Smoking onset occurred at age 16 years. The subjects were highly dependent: > 72% had at least moderate dependence, > 58% had high to very high dependence, and the population had an average of 3.6 quit attempts. The odds ratio for self-reported abstinence was 2.2 after 6 months. “The app is not only effective, but also can be prescribed on an extrabudgetary basis,” said Dr. Andreas.

This story was translated from the Medscape German edition using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

E-cigarettes entered the market as consumer products without comprehensive toxicological testing,based on the assessment that they were 95% less harmful than traditional cigarettes. Further, consumer dvertising suggests that e-cigarettes are a good alternative to conventional combustible cigarettes and can serve as a gateway to quitting smoking.

However, hen considering damage to the endothelium and toxicity, e-cigarettes have a negative impact like that of conventional cigarettes. Moreover, switching to e-cigarettes often leads to dual use, said Stefan Andreas, MD, director of the Lungenfachklinik in Immenhausen, Germany, at the Congress of the German Respiratory Society and Intensive Care Medicine. 
 

Subclinical Atherosclerosis

Because e-cigarettes have emerged relatively recently, long-term studies on their cardiac consequences are not yet available. Dr. Andreas explained that the impact on endothelial function is relevant for risk assessment. Endothelial function is a biomarker for early, subclinical atherosclerosis. “If endothelial function is impaired, the risk for heart attack and stroke is significantly increased 5-10 years later,” said Dr. Andreas.

The results of a crossover study showed reduced vascular elasticity after consuming both tobacco cigarettes and e-cigarettes. The study included 20 smokers, and endothelial function was measured using flow-mediated vasodilation.

Significant effects on the vessels were also found in a study of 31 participants who had never smoked. The study participants inhaled a nicotine-free aerosol from e-cigarettes. Before and after, parameters of endothelial function were examined using a 3.0-T MRI. After aerosol inhalation, the resistance index was 2.3% higher (P < .05), and flow-mediated vascular dilation was reduced by 34% (P < .001).

A recent review involving 372 participants from China showed that e-cigarettes lead to an increase in pulse wave velocity, with a difference of 3.08 (P < .001). “Pulse wave velocity is also a marker of endothelial function: The stiffer the vessels, the higher the pulse wave velocity,” said Dr. Andreas. The authors of the review concluded that “e-cigarettes should not be promoted as a healthier alternative to tobacco smoking.”
 

No Harmless Alternative

A recent review compared the effects of tobacco smoking and e-cigarettes. The results showed that vaping e-cigarettes causes oxidative stress, inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and related cardiovascular consequences. The authors attributed the findings to overlapping toxic compounds in vapor and tobacco smoke and similar pathomechanical features of vaping and smoking. Although the toxic mixture in smoke is more complex, both e-cigarettes and tobacco cigarettes “impaired endothelial function to a similar extent,” they wrote. The authors attributed this finding to oxidative stress as the central mechanism.

“There is increasing evidence that e-cigarettes are not a harmless alternative to tobacco cigarettes,” wrote Thomas Münzel, MD, professor of cardiology at the University of Mainz and his team in their 2020 review, which examined studies in humans and animals. They provided an overview of the effects of tobacco/hookah smoking and e-cigarette vaping on endothelial function. They also pointed to emerging adverse effects on the proteome, transcriptome, epigenome, microbiome, and circadian clock.

Finally, a toxicological review of e-cigarettes also found alarmingly high levels of carcinogens and toxins that could have long-term effects on other organs, including the development of neurological symptoms, lung cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and cavities.

Dr. Andreas observed that even small amounts, such as those obtained through secondhand smoking, can be harmful. In 2007, Dr. Andreas and his colleagues showed that even low exposure to tobacco smoke can lead to a significant increase in cardiovascular events.
 

Conflicts of Interest 

Dr. Andreas recommended closely examining the studies that suggest that e-cigarettes are less risky. “It is noticeable that there is a significant difference depending on whether publications were supported by the tobacco industry or not,” he emphasized.

Danish scientists found that a conflict of interest (COI) has a strong influence on study results. “In studies without a COI, e-cigarettes are found to cause damage 95% of the time. In contrast, when there is a strong conflict of interest, the result is often ‘no harm,’” said Dr. Andreas.

This effect is quite relevant for the discussion of e-cigarettes. “If scientists make a critical statement in a position paper, there will always be someone who says, ‘No, it’s different, there are these and those publications.’ The true nature of interest-driven publications on e-cigarettes is not always easy to discern,” said Dr. Andreas.
 

No Gateway to Quitting 

E-cigarettes are used in clinical studies for tobacco cessation. The results of a randomized study showed that significantly more smokers who were switched to e-cigarettes quit smoking, compared with controls. But there was no significant difference in complete smoking cessation between groups. Moreover, 45% of smokers who switched to e-cigarettes became dual users, compared with 11% of controls.

“Translating these results means that for one person who quits smoking by using e-cigarettes, they gain five people who use both traditional cigarettes and e-cigarettes,” explained Dr. Andreas.

In their recent review, Münzel and colleagues pointed out that the assessment that e-cigarettes could help with quitting might be wrong. Rather, it seems that “e-cigarettes have the opposite effect.” They also note that the age of initiation for e-cigarettes is generally lower than for tobacco cigarettes: Consumption often starts at age 13 or 14 years. And the consumption of e-cigarettes among children and adolescents increased by 7% from 2016 to 2023.

A meta-analysis published at the end of February also shows that e-cigarettes are about as dangerous as tobacco cigarettes. They are more dangerous than not smoking, and dual use is more dangerous than tobacco cigarettes alone. “There is a need to reassess the assumption that e-cigarette use provides substantial harm reduction across all cigarette-caused diseases, particularly accounting for dual use,” wrote the authors.

“One must always consider that e-cigarettes have only been available for a relatively short time. We can only see the cumulative toxicity in 10, 20 years when we have patients who have smoked e-cigarettes only for 20 years,” said Dr. Andreas. Ultimately, however, e-cigarettes promote dual use and, consequently, additive toxicity.
 

Nicotine Replacement Therapies 

Quitting smoking reduces the risk of cardiovascular events and premature death by 40%, even among patients with cardiovascular disease, according to a Cochrane meta-analysis. Smoking cessation reduces the risk for cardiovascular death by 39%, the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events by 43%, the risk for heart attack by 36%, the risk for stroke by 30%, and overall mortality by 40%.

Quitting smoking is the most effective measure for risk reduction, as a meta-analysis of 20 studies in patients with coronary heart disease found. Smoking cessation was associated with a 36% risk reduction compared with 29% risk reduction for statin therapy, 23% risk reduction with beta-blockers and ACE inhibitors and 15% risk reduction with aspirin.

Dr. Andreas emphasized that nicotine replacement therapies are well-researched and safe even in cardiovascular disease, as shown by a US study that included patients who had sustained a heart attack. A group of the participants was treated with nicotine patches for 10 weeks, while the other group received a placebo. After 14 weeks, 21% of the nicotine patch group achieved abstinence vs 9% of the placebo group (P = .001). Transdermal nicotine application does not lead to a significant increase in cardiovascular events in high-risk patients.

The German “Nonsmoker Heroes” app has proven to be an effective means of behavioral therapeutic coaching. A recent study of it included 17 study centers with 661 participants. About 21% of the subjects had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 19% had asthma. Smoking onset occurred at age 16 years. The subjects were highly dependent: > 72% had at least moderate dependence, > 58% had high to very high dependence, and the population had an average of 3.6 quit attempts. The odds ratio for self-reported abstinence was 2.2 after 6 months. “The app is not only effective, but also can be prescribed on an extrabudgetary basis,” said Dr. Andreas.

This story was translated from the Medscape German edition using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.