Cardiology

Additional analyses of a postmarketing trial that was required after the Food and Drug Administration’s approval of the Janus kinase inhibitor tofacitinib (Xeljanz, Xeljanz XR) has identified characteristics of older patients with rheumatoid arthritis with at least one cardiovascular risk factor who may be at higher risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) when taking the drug.

Results from the phase 3b/4 ORAL Surveillance trial presented at the virtual annual meeting of the American College of Rheumatology show that people taking tofacitinib for RA with at least one cardiovascular (CV) risk factor had a nonsignificant higher risk for MACE than did people taking tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), with the risk from tofacitinib more pronounced in current smokers, aspirin users, people older than 65 years, and men, compared with women.

“It is the first large, randomized safety study of active RA patients with increased CV risk comparing tofacitinib to TNF inhibition,” study author Christina Charles-Schoeman, MD, said in an interview. “These data emphasize the importance of assessing baseline CV risk when treating patients with RA.” Dr. Charles-Schoeman is chief of rheumatology at the University of California, Los Angeles.

The results shed further light on the trial’s findings, which the FDA used in September 2021 to mandate boxed warnings about the risk of MI or stroke, cancer, venous thromboembolism, and death, as well as updated indications, for tofacitinib and other JAK inhibitors baricitinib (Olumiant) and upadacitinib (Rinvoq). The FDA limited all approved uses of these three medications to patients who have not responded well to TNFi to ensure their benefits outweigh their risks.

Tofacitinib is indicated for RA, psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis, and polyarticular course juvenile idiopathic arthritis. Baricitinib and upadacitinib are approved only for RA.

While the overall results of the trial results show nonsignificant increased incidence rates for MACE in tofacitinib users versus TNFI users, Katherine Liao, MD, a rheumatologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, noted that more information is needed to determine who is at greatest risk. “Another thing to keep in mind is, while there was evidence of an elevated relative risk for MACE, compared to TNFi, the absolute risk, based on the numbers what we know so far, is small,” she said.

The trial compared two different doses of tofacitinib – 5 mg (1,455 patients) and 10 mg (n = 1,456) twice daily – and TNFi (n = 1,451) in people with moderate to severe RA over age 50. Patient characteristics were similar across all three treatment arms, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said. All patients had inadequate response to methotrexate, and about 57% in all three treatment groups were taking corticosteroids. The 10-mg tofacitinib patients switched to the 5-mg dose in February 2019 but represent the 10-mg group in the study analysis.

ORAL Surveillance demonstrated a 24% greater risk of MACE in the 5-mg tofacitinib patients and a 43% heightened risk the 10-mg group, compared with patients who received a TNFi.

The differentiating factor for MACE incidence was MI. The higher- and lower-dose tofacitinib groups had 69% and 80% greater risk for MI. While the risk for fatal MI were similar across all three treatment groups, the risk for nonfatal MI were more than doubled in the respective tofacitinib groups: hazard ratios of 2.32 and 2.08. The incidence of stroke was similar across all three arms, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said.

The study identified a number of baseline characteristics as independent overall risk factors for MACE across all treatment groups. Current smoking and aspirin use more than doubled the risk (HR, 2.18; P < .0001 and HR, 2.11; P = .004, respectively), while age greater than 65 years and male sex approached that level (HR, 1.81; P = .0011 and HR, 1.81; P = .0015) approached that level. Other factors that elevated the risk of MACE to a lesser extent were a history of diabetes, hypertension or coronary artery procedures, and a total cholesterol to HDL ratio greater than4.

Other ORAL Surveillance subanalyses and tofacitinib real-world data reported

This was one of several analyses presented at ACR 2021 that compared adverse event risks for tofacitinib versus TNFi drugs. A separate analysis of claims data from patients with RA in two U.S. insurance databases plus Medicare found a statistically nonsignificant increased risk of adverse CV outcomes (MI or stroke) with tofacitinib, compared with TNFi users, among patients who met the same inclusion and exclusion criteria of the ORAL Surveillance trial but not in a “real-world evidence” cohort of more than 102,000 patients with RA in routine care from the databases.

Two additional ORAL Surveillance analyses presented at ACR 2021 gave details about risk factors for higher rates of malignancies and venous thromboembolic events found in patients taking tofacitinib with at least one CV risk factor. As would be expected, older age (≥65 vs. 50-64 years) and current or past smoking (vs. never smoking) were independent risk factors for higher malignancy rates across all treatment arms. Pulmonary embolism events across treatment groups were independently associated with a history of venous thromboembolism, baseline use of oral contraceptives or hormone replacement therapy, baseline body mass index of at least 30 kg/m², age 65 or older, and history of hypertension.

The ORAL Surveillance findings are worth considering when determining treatments for RA patients with CV risk factors, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said. “Tofacitinib remains an effective RA treatment,” she said. “The choice of specific RA treatment for any patient remains an individual decision between the patient and physician, which is decided based on a number of different factors. This new study provides additional information regarding both tofacitinib as well as traditional CV risk factors for discussion with the patient.”

The ORAL Surveillance results may give rheumatologists reason to rethink use of tofacitinib in some patients with CV risk, said Dr. Liao of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston. “Currently, we have limited data and are still awaiting a report of the full trial results,” she said in an interview. “Based on the data available, I can think of a few patients in my clinic where I would reconsider use of these drugs, i.e., history of heart attack with stable angina, especially if there are other options.” However, she noted that many patients on tofacitinib have already failed on older treatments.

These data emphasize the importance of addressing CV risk with patients, said Brittany N. Weber, MD, PhD, a cardio-rheumatologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital who works with Dr. Liao. “It is also an opportunity to discuss modification of risk factors and to discuss primary prevention therapies, such as statin therapy, where appropriate,” she added. “Based on the individual’s cardiovascular risk, there may be a role for further risk stratification to further understand an individual’s risk, which can also inform primary prevention cardiovascular therapies and help guide these discussions.” Risk stratification could include cardiac CT for calcium scoring or cardiac coronary CT angiography for determining atherosclerotic burden.

The study was sponsored by Pfizer. Dr. Charles-Schoeman disclosed relationships with AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences, Pfizer, and Regeneron-Sanofi. Dr. Liao and Dr. Weber have no relevant disclosures.

Additional analyses of a postmarketing trial that was required after the Food and Drug Administration’s approval of the Janus kinase inhibitor tofacitinib (Xeljanz, Xeljanz XR) has identified characteristics of older patients with rheumatoid arthritis with at least one cardiovascular risk factor who may be at higher risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) when taking the drug.

Results from the phase 3b/4 ORAL Surveillance trial presented at the virtual annual meeting of the American College of Rheumatology show that people taking tofacitinib for RA with at least one cardiovascular (CV) risk factor had a nonsignificant higher risk for MACE than did people taking tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), with the risk from tofacitinib more pronounced in current smokers, aspirin users, people older than 65 years, and men, compared with women.

“It is the first large, randomized safety study of active RA patients with increased CV risk comparing tofacitinib to TNF inhibition,” study author Christina Charles-Schoeman, MD, said in an interview. “These data emphasize the importance of assessing baseline CV risk when treating patients with RA.” Dr. Charles-Schoeman is chief of rheumatology at the University of California, Los Angeles.

The results shed further light on the trial’s findings, which the FDA used in September 2021 to mandate boxed warnings about the risk of MI or stroke, cancer, venous thromboembolism, and death, as well as updated indications, for tofacitinib and other JAK inhibitors baricitinib (Olumiant) and upadacitinib (Rinvoq). The FDA limited all approved uses of these three medications to patients who have not responded well to TNFi to ensure their benefits outweigh their risks.

Tofacitinib is indicated for RA, psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis, and polyarticular course juvenile idiopathic arthritis. Baricitinib and upadacitinib are approved only for RA.

While the overall results of the trial results show nonsignificant increased incidence rates for MACE in tofacitinib users versus TNFI users, Katherine Liao, MD, a rheumatologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, noted that more information is needed to determine who is at greatest risk. “Another thing to keep in mind is, while there was evidence of an elevated relative risk for MACE, compared to TNFi, the absolute risk, based on the numbers what we know so far, is small,” she said.

The trial compared two different doses of tofacitinib – 5 mg (1,455 patients) and 10 mg (n = 1,456) twice daily – and TNFi (n = 1,451) in people with moderate to severe RA over age 50. Patient characteristics were similar across all three treatment arms, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said. All patients had inadequate response to methotrexate, and about 57% in all three treatment groups were taking corticosteroids. The 10-mg tofacitinib patients switched to the 5-mg dose in February 2019 but represent the 10-mg group in the study analysis.

ORAL Surveillance demonstrated a 24% greater risk of MACE in the 5-mg tofacitinib patients and a 43% heightened risk the 10-mg group, compared with patients who received a TNFi.

The differentiating factor for MACE incidence was MI. The higher- and lower-dose tofacitinib groups had 69% and 80% greater risk for MI. While the risk for fatal MI were similar across all three treatment groups, the risk for nonfatal MI were more than doubled in the respective tofacitinib groups: hazard ratios of 2.32 and 2.08. The incidence of stroke was similar across all three arms, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said.

The study identified a number of baseline characteristics as independent overall risk factors for MACE across all treatment groups. Current smoking and aspirin use more than doubled the risk (HR, 2.18; P < .0001 and HR, 2.11; P = .004, respectively), while age greater than 65 years and male sex approached that level (HR, 1.81; P = .0011 and HR, 1.81; P = .0015) approached that level. Other factors that elevated the risk of MACE to a lesser extent were a history of diabetes, hypertension or coronary artery procedures, and a total cholesterol to HDL ratio greater than4.

Other ORAL Surveillance subanalyses and tofacitinib real-world data reported

This was one of several analyses presented at ACR 2021 that compared adverse event risks for tofacitinib versus TNFi drugs. A separate analysis of claims data from patients with RA in two U.S. insurance databases plus Medicare found a statistically nonsignificant increased risk of adverse CV outcomes (MI or stroke) with tofacitinib, compared with TNFi users, among patients who met the same inclusion and exclusion criteria of the ORAL Surveillance trial but not in a “real-world evidence” cohort of more than 102,000 patients with RA in routine care from the databases.

Two additional ORAL Surveillance analyses presented at ACR 2021 gave details about risk factors for higher rates of malignancies and venous thromboembolic events found in patients taking tofacitinib with at least one CV risk factor. As would be expected, older age (≥65 vs. 50-64 years) and current or past smoking (vs. never smoking) were independent risk factors for higher malignancy rates across all treatment arms. Pulmonary embolism events across treatment groups were independently associated with a history of venous thromboembolism, baseline use of oral contraceptives or hormone replacement therapy, baseline body mass index of at least 30 kg/m², age 65 or older, and history of hypertension.

The ORAL Surveillance findings are worth considering when determining treatments for RA patients with CV risk factors, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said. “Tofacitinib remains an effective RA treatment,” she said. “The choice of specific RA treatment for any patient remains an individual decision between the patient and physician, which is decided based on a number of different factors. This new study provides additional information regarding both tofacitinib as well as traditional CV risk factors for discussion with the patient.”

The ORAL Surveillance results may give rheumatologists reason to rethink use of tofacitinib in some patients with CV risk, said Dr. Liao of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston. “Currently, we have limited data and are still awaiting a report of the full trial results,” she said in an interview. “Based on the data available, I can think of a few patients in my clinic where I would reconsider use of these drugs, i.e., history of heart attack with stable angina, especially if there are other options.” However, she noted that many patients on tofacitinib have already failed on older treatments.

These data emphasize the importance of addressing CV risk with patients, said Brittany N. Weber, MD, PhD, a cardio-rheumatologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital who works with Dr. Liao. “It is also an opportunity to discuss modification of risk factors and to discuss primary prevention therapies, such as statin therapy, where appropriate,” she added. “Based on the individual’s cardiovascular risk, there may be a role for further risk stratification to further understand an individual’s risk, which can also inform primary prevention cardiovascular therapies and help guide these discussions.” Risk stratification could include cardiac CT for calcium scoring or cardiac coronary CT angiography for determining atherosclerotic burden.

The study was sponsored by Pfizer. Dr. Charles-Schoeman disclosed relationships with AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences, Pfizer, and Regeneron-Sanofi. Dr. Liao and Dr. Weber have no relevant disclosures.

Additional analyses of a postmarketing trial that was required after the Food and Drug Administration’s approval of the Janus kinase inhibitor tofacitinib (Xeljanz, Xeljanz XR) has identified characteristics of older patients with rheumatoid arthritis with at least one cardiovascular risk factor who may be at higher risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) when taking the drug.

Results from the phase 3b/4 ORAL Surveillance trial presented at the virtual annual meeting of the American College of Rheumatology show that people taking tofacitinib for RA with at least one cardiovascular (CV) risk factor had a nonsignificant higher risk for MACE than did people taking tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), with the risk from tofacitinib more pronounced in current smokers, aspirin users, people older than 65 years, and men, compared with women.

“It is the first large, randomized safety study of active RA patients with increased CV risk comparing tofacitinib to TNF inhibition,” study author Christina Charles-Schoeman, MD, said in an interview. “These data emphasize the importance of assessing baseline CV risk when treating patients with RA.” Dr. Charles-Schoeman is chief of rheumatology at the University of California, Los Angeles.

The results shed further light on the trial’s findings, which the FDA used in September 2021 to mandate boxed warnings about the risk of MI or stroke, cancer, venous thromboembolism, and death, as well as updated indications, for tofacitinib and other JAK inhibitors baricitinib (Olumiant) and upadacitinib (Rinvoq). The FDA limited all approved uses of these three medications to patients who have not responded well to TNFi to ensure their benefits outweigh their risks.

Tofacitinib is indicated for RA, psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis, and polyarticular course juvenile idiopathic arthritis. Baricitinib and upadacitinib are approved only for RA.

While the overall results of the trial results show nonsignificant increased incidence rates for MACE in tofacitinib users versus TNFI users, Katherine Liao, MD, a rheumatologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, noted that more information is needed to determine who is at greatest risk. “Another thing to keep in mind is, while there was evidence of an elevated relative risk for MACE, compared to TNFi, the absolute risk, based on the numbers what we know so far, is small,” she said.

The trial compared two different doses of tofacitinib – 5 mg (1,455 patients) and 10 mg (n = 1,456) twice daily – and TNFi (n = 1,451) in people with moderate to severe RA over age 50. Patient characteristics were similar across all three treatment arms, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said. All patients had inadequate response to methotrexate, and about 57% in all three treatment groups were taking corticosteroids. The 10-mg tofacitinib patients switched to the 5-mg dose in February 2019 but represent the 10-mg group in the study analysis.

ORAL Surveillance demonstrated a 24% greater risk of MACE in the 5-mg tofacitinib patients and a 43% heightened risk the 10-mg group, compared with patients who received a TNFi.

The differentiating factor for MACE incidence was MI. The higher- and lower-dose tofacitinib groups had 69% and 80% greater risk for MI. While the risk for fatal MI were similar across all three treatment groups, the risk for nonfatal MI were more than doubled in the respective tofacitinib groups: hazard ratios of 2.32 and 2.08. The incidence of stroke was similar across all three arms, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said.

The study identified a number of baseline characteristics as independent overall risk factors for MACE across all treatment groups. Current smoking and aspirin use more than doubled the risk (HR, 2.18; P < .0001 and HR, 2.11; P = .004, respectively), while age greater than 65 years and male sex approached that level (HR, 1.81; P = .0011 and HR, 1.81; P = .0015) approached that level. Other factors that elevated the risk of MACE to a lesser extent were a history of diabetes, hypertension or coronary artery procedures, and a total cholesterol to HDL ratio greater than4.

Other ORAL Surveillance subanalyses and tofacitinib real-world data reported

This was one of several analyses presented at ACR 2021 that compared adverse event risks for tofacitinib versus TNFi drugs. A separate analysis of claims data from patients with RA in two U.S. insurance databases plus Medicare found a statistically nonsignificant increased risk of adverse CV outcomes (MI or stroke) with tofacitinib, compared with TNFi users, among patients who met the same inclusion and exclusion criteria of the ORAL Surveillance trial but not in a “real-world evidence” cohort of more than 102,000 patients with RA in routine care from the databases.

Two additional ORAL Surveillance analyses presented at ACR 2021 gave details about risk factors for higher rates of malignancies and venous thromboembolic events found in patients taking tofacitinib with at least one CV risk factor. As would be expected, older age (≥65 vs. 50-64 years) and current or past smoking (vs. never smoking) were independent risk factors for higher malignancy rates across all treatment arms. Pulmonary embolism events across treatment groups were independently associated with a history of venous thromboembolism, baseline use of oral contraceptives or hormone replacement therapy, baseline body mass index of at least 30 kg/m², age 65 or older, and history of hypertension.

The ORAL Surveillance findings are worth considering when determining treatments for RA patients with CV risk factors, Dr. Charles-Schoeman said. “Tofacitinib remains an effective RA treatment,” she said. “The choice of specific RA treatment for any patient remains an individual decision between the patient and physician, which is decided based on a number of different factors. This new study provides additional information regarding both tofacitinib as well as traditional CV risk factors for discussion with the patient.”

The ORAL Surveillance results may give rheumatologists reason to rethink use of tofacitinib in some patients with CV risk, said Dr. Liao of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston. “Currently, we have limited data and are still awaiting a report of the full trial results,” she said in an interview. “Based on the data available, I can think of a few patients in my clinic where I would reconsider use of these drugs, i.e., history of heart attack with stable angina, especially if there are other options.” However, she noted that many patients on tofacitinib have already failed on older treatments.

These data emphasize the importance of addressing CV risk with patients, said Brittany N. Weber, MD, PhD, a cardio-rheumatologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital who works with Dr. Liao. “It is also an opportunity to discuss modification of risk factors and to discuss primary prevention therapies, such as statin therapy, where appropriate,” she added. “Based on the individual’s cardiovascular risk, there may be a role for further risk stratification to further understand an individual’s risk, which can also inform primary prevention cardiovascular therapies and help guide these discussions.” Risk stratification could include cardiac CT for calcium scoring or cardiac coronary CT angiography for determining atherosclerotic burden.

The study was sponsored by Pfizer. Dr. Charles-Schoeman disclosed relationships with AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences, Pfizer, and Regeneron-Sanofi. Dr. Liao and Dr. Weber have no relevant disclosures.

A regimen of daily, low-dose aspirin failed to produce a significant reduction in the incidence of dementia or cognitive impairment in ASCEND, a randomized, multicenter trial with more than 15,000 people with diabetes followed for an average of more than 9 years, but the results hinted at enough of a benefit to warrant further study, some experts said.

jimdeli/Fotolia

A second metric used a broader outcome definition that tracked EHR entries for not only dementia but also diagnoses of cognitive impairment, delirium, confusion, prescription of dementia medications, and referral to a memory clinic or geriatric psychiatry. The third assessment was a cognitive-function test given to participants at the end of follow-up, but only 58% of enrolled participants completed this part of the study, and it’s also possible that some subjects missed this assessment because of dementia onset. These limitations hamper clear interpretation of this third metric, Dr. Armitage said.

The main findings for the other two, more reliable measures of incident dementia or cognitive deterioration showed a nonsignificant 9% relative risk reduction linked with aspirin use compared with placebo for the more inclusive endpoint, and a nonsignificant 11% relative risk reduction with aspirin using the narrow definition for dementia only, she reported. The third method, a directly administered assessment of dementia and cognition, also showed a small, nonsignificant effect from daily aspirin use relative to placebo.

Results can’t rule out modest aspirin effect

Dr. Armitage highlighted that the two more reliable measures both appeared to rule out risk for neurologic harm from aspirin because the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval for relative effect reached only 1.02 using the broad outcomes, and 1.06 for the narrower endpoint of dementia only. On the other hand, focus on the low end of the 95% confidence interval suggested potentially meaningful benefits, with a possible reduction by aspirin in events relative to placebo of as much as 19% by the broad outcome definition and by 25% with the narrow definition.

“Even if it was only a 15% relative risk reduction, that would be important,” given the high dementia incidence worldwide, Dr. Armitage said during a press briefing. “It’s entirely possible, with our results, that a modest benefit exists.”

This take on the findings won some support. Further studies with more people, longer follow-up, and perhaps enrolling a more selected, higher risk cohort may better address potential neurologic benefit from aspirin, suggested Amytis Towfighi, MD, a stroke neurologist and professor of neurology at the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, and a designated discussant for the report.

The result “was rather encouraging. I was a little surprised” by the findings, commented Chrystie M. Ballantyne, MD, professor and director of the Center for Cardiometabolic Disease Prevention at Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, also a discussant.

The results “don’t mean that no one benefits from aspirin. Perhaps certain people at risk would benefit from dementia protection. It’s an open question,” commented Erin D. Michos, MD, director of Women’s Cardiovascular Health at Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore.

Evidence against routine, widespread primary prevention with aspirin

ASCEND had the primary goal of assessing a daily, 100-mg aspirin dose for its safety and efficacy for preventing vascular events such as MIs and ischemic strokes in 15,480 people with diabetes who were at least 40 years old at enrollment and had no history of cardiovascular disease. The main results came out in 2018 and showed that while aspirin produced a significant benefit by reducing thrombotic events, it also resulted in significantly more major bleeding events compared with placebo, and overall the magnitude of benefit roughly matched magnitude of risk.

These findings, along with similar results from two other high-profile aspirin studies reported at about the same time (ASPREE, and ARRIVE), led to recommendations from groups like the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force and from the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association that caution against widespread, routine aspirin use for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in most adults.

The groups instead endorsed a tailored strategy of targeting aspirin to people with a higher than average risk for ischemic thrombotic events and a lower than average bleeding risk. (The most recent aspirin recommendations from the USPSTF, currently in draft form, substantially curtail aspirin’s appropriate use, eliminating it in those over age 60 years.)

However, experts and prevailing practice recommendations continue to endorse routine aspirin use for secondary prevention in patients with an established history of cardiovascular disease.

The new findings reported by Dr. Armitage came from additional analyses of dementia and cognitive impairment overlaid on the main ASCEND outcome analyses. ASCEND actively treated and followed study participants for an average of 7.4 years, then researchers tracked further dementia outcomes based on medical-record entries for an average of another 1.8 years.

ASCEND received partial funding or support from Abbott, Bayer, Mylan, and Solvay. Dr. Armitage had no disclosures. Dr. Towfighi, Dr. Khera, and Dr. Michos had no disclosures. Dr. Ballantyne has had financial relationships with numerous companies.

mzoler@mdedge.com

A regimen of daily, low-dose aspirin failed to produce a significant reduction in the incidence of dementia or cognitive impairment in ASCEND, a randomized, multicenter trial with more than 15,000 people with diabetes followed for an average of more than 9 years, but the results hinted at enough of a benefit to warrant further study, some experts said.

jimdeli/Fotolia

A second metric used a broader outcome definition that tracked EHR entries for not only dementia but also diagnoses of cognitive impairment, delirium, confusion, prescription of dementia medications, and referral to a memory clinic or geriatric psychiatry. The third assessment was a cognitive-function test given to participants at the end of follow-up, but only 58% of enrolled participants completed this part of the study, and it’s also possible that some subjects missed this assessment because of dementia onset. These limitations hamper clear interpretation of this third metric, Dr. Armitage said.

The main findings for the other two, more reliable measures of incident dementia or cognitive deterioration showed a nonsignificant 9% relative risk reduction linked with aspirin use compared with placebo for the more inclusive endpoint, and a nonsignificant 11% relative risk reduction with aspirin using the narrow definition for dementia only, she reported. The third method, a directly administered assessment of dementia and cognition, also showed a small, nonsignificant effect from daily aspirin use relative to placebo.

Results can’t rule out modest aspirin effect

Dr. Armitage highlighted that the two more reliable measures both appeared to rule out risk for neurologic harm from aspirin because the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval for relative effect reached only 1.02 using the broad outcomes, and 1.06 for the narrower endpoint of dementia only. On the other hand, focus on the low end of the 95% confidence interval suggested potentially meaningful benefits, with a possible reduction by aspirin in events relative to placebo of as much as 19% by the broad outcome definition and by 25% with the narrow definition.

“Even if it was only a 15% relative risk reduction, that would be important,” given the high dementia incidence worldwide, Dr. Armitage said during a press briefing. “It’s entirely possible, with our results, that a modest benefit exists.”

This take on the findings won some support. Further studies with more people, longer follow-up, and perhaps enrolling a more selected, higher risk cohort may better address potential neurologic benefit from aspirin, suggested Amytis Towfighi, MD, a stroke neurologist and professor of neurology at the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, and a designated discussant for the report.

The result “was rather encouraging. I was a little surprised” by the findings, commented Chrystie M. Ballantyne, MD, professor and director of the Center for Cardiometabolic Disease Prevention at Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, also a discussant.

The results “don’t mean that no one benefits from aspirin. Perhaps certain people at risk would benefit from dementia protection. It’s an open question,” commented Erin D. Michos, MD, director of Women’s Cardiovascular Health at Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore.

Evidence against routine, widespread primary prevention with aspirin

ASCEND had the primary goal of assessing a daily, 100-mg aspirin dose for its safety and efficacy for preventing vascular events such as MIs and ischemic strokes in 15,480 people with diabetes who were at least 40 years old at enrollment and had no history of cardiovascular disease. The main results came out in 2018 and showed that while aspirin produced a significant benefit by reducing thrombotic events, it also resulted in significantly more major bleeding events compared with placebo, and overall the magnitude of benefit roughly matched magnitude of risk.

These findings, along with similar results from two other high-profile aspirin studies reported at about the same time (ASPREE, and ARRIVE), led to recommendations from groups like the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force and from the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association that caution against widespread, routine aspirin use for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in most adults.

The groups instead endorsed a tailored strategy of targeting aspirin to people with a higher than average risk for ischemic thrombotic events and a lower than average bleeding risk. (The most recent aspirin recommendations from the USPSTF, currently in draft form, substantially curtail aspirin’s appropriate use, eliminating it in those over age 60 years.)

However, experts and prevailing practice recommendations continue to endorse routine aspirin use for secondary prevention in patients with an established history of cardiovascular disease.

The new findings reported by Dr. Armitage came from additional analyses of dementia and cognitive impairment overlaid on the main ASCEND outcome analyses. ASCEND actively treated and followed study participants for an average of 7.4 years, then researchers tracked further dementia outcomes based on medical-record entries for an average of another 1.8 years.

ASCEND received partial funding or support from Abbott, Bayer, Mylan, and Solvay. Dr. Armitage had no disclosures. Dr. Towfighi, Dr. Khera, and Dr. Michos had no disclosures. Dr. Ballantyne has had financial relationships with numerous companies.

mzoler@mdedge.com

A regimen of daily, low-dose aspirin failed to produce a significant reduction in the incidence of dementia or cognitive impairment in ASCEND, a randomized, multicenter trial with more than 15,000 people with diabetes followed for an average of more than 9 years, but the results hinted at enough of a benefit to warrant further study, some experts said.

jimdeli/Fotolia

A second metric used a broader outcome definition that tracked EHR entries for not only dementia but also diagnoses of cognitive impairment, delirium, confusion, prescription of dementia medications, and referral to a memory clinic or geriatric psychiatry. The third assessment was a cognitive-function test given to participants at the end of follow-up, but only 58% of enrolled participants completed this part of the study, and it’s also possible that some subjects missed this assessment because of dementia onset. These limitations hamper clear interpretation of this third metric, Dr. Armitage said.

The main findings for the other two, more reliable measures of incident dementia or cognitive deterioration showed a nonsignificant 9% relative risk reduction linked with aspirin use compared with placebo for the more inclusive endpoint, and a nonsignificant 11% relative risk reduction with aspirin using the narrow definition for dementia only, she reported. The third method, a directly administered assessment of dementia and cognition, also showed a small, nonsignificant effect from daily aspirin use relative to placebo.

Results can’t rule out modest aspirin effect

Dr. Armitage highlighted that the two more reliable measures both appeared to rule out risk for neurologic harm from aspirin because the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval for relative effect reached only 1.02 using the broad outcomes, and 1.06 for the narrower endpoint of dementia only. On the other hand, focus on the low end of the 95% confidence interval suggested potentially meaningful benefits, with a possible reduction by aspirin in events relative to placebo of as much as 19% by the broad outcome definition and by 25% with the narrow definition.

“Even if it was only a 15% relative risk reduction, that would be important,” given the high dementia incidence worldwide, Dr. Armitage said during a press briefing. “It’s entirely possible, with our results, that a modest benefit exists.”

This take on the findings won some support. Further studies with more people, longer follow-up, and perhaps enrolling a more selected, higher risk cohort may better address potential neurologic benefit from aspirin, suggested Amytis Towfighi, MD, a stroke neurologist and professor of neurology at the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, and a designated discussant for the report.

The result “was rather encouraging. I was a little surprised” by the findings, commented Chrystie M. Ballantyne, MD, professor and director of the Center for Cardiometabolic Disease Prevention at Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, also a discussant.

The results “don’t mean that no one benefits from aspirin. Perhaps certain people at risk would benefit from dementia protection. It’s an open question,” commented Erin D. Michos, MD, director of Women’s Cardiovascular Health at Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore.

Evidence against routine, widespread primary prevention with aspirin

ASCEND had the primary goal of assessing a daily, 100-mg aspirin dose for its safety and efficacy for preventing vascular events such as MIs and ischemic strokes in 15,480 people with diabetes who were at least 40 years old at enrollment and had no history of cardiovascular disease. The main results came out in 2018 and showed that while aspirin produced a significant benefit by reducing thrombotic events, it also resulted in significantly more major bleeding events compared with placebo, and overall the magnitude of benefit roughly matched magnitude of risk.

These findings, along with similar results from two other high-profile aspirin studies reported at about the same time (ASPREE, and ARRIVE), led to recommendations from groups like the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force and from the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association that caution against widespread, routine aspirin use for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in most adults.

The groups instead endorsed a tailored strategy of targeting aspirin to people with a higher than average risk for ischemic thrombotic events and a lower than average bleeding risk. (The most recent aspirin recommendations from the USPSTF, currently in draft form, substantially curtail aspirin’s appropriate use, eliminating it in those over age 60 years.)

However, experts and prevailing practice recommendations continue to endorse routine aspirin use for secondary prevention in patients with an established history of cardiovascular disease.

The new findings reported by Dr. Armitage came from additional analyses of dementia and cognitive impairment overlaid on the main ASCEND outcome analyses. ASCEND actively treated and followed study participants for an average of 7.4 years, then researchers tracked further dementia outcomes based on medical-record entries for an average of another 1.8 years.

ASCEND received partial funding or support from Abbott, Bayer, Mylan, and Solvay. Dr. Armitage had no disclosures. Dr. Towfighi, Dr. Khera, and Dr. Michos had no disclosures. Dr. Ballantyne has had financial relationships with numerous companies.

mzoler@mdedge.com

A large, multicenter, sham-controlled trial in heart failure showed no benefit at all from stem cell delivery on the primary outcome of recurrent nonfatal decompensated HF events, but the results were still promising, according to the DREAM-HF study’s principal investigator.

When added to guideline-directed medical therapy in patients with HF, a single dose of mesenchymal progenitor cells (MPC) significantly reduced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) – a composite of cardiac death, nonfatal MI, and nonfatal stroke – and all-cause death in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class II (but not class III patients), reported Emerson C. Perin, MD, PhD, at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

The problem is that none of these outcomes were included in the primary endpoint, which was recurrent events because of nonfatal decompensated heart failure. On this endpoint, the hazard ratio for events by the end of follow-up was nonsignificantly but slightly increased among those randomized to MPCs rather than sham control (HR, 1.2; P = .406).

“We learned a lot in this trial,” said Dr. Perin, who is medical director of the Texas Heart Institute in Houston, acknowledging that the expectation of benefit on the primary endpoint now appears to have been misplaced, but the positive result on other outcomes opens a new research direction.

With a negative result on the primary endpoint, a benefit on secondary endpoints is considered hypothesis generating. But Dr. Perin defended his sense of overall optimism about the results, because all of the endpoints on which benefit was demonstrated were prespecified. The positive findings “are not from a post hoc analyses,” he emphasized.
 

DREAM-HF

In the trial, 537 patients with chronic ischemic or nonischemic heart failure with NYHA class II or III symptoms and a left ventricular ejection fraction of 40% or lower were randomized at 51 sites in the United States and Canada. Patients were required to have elevated N-terminal of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide levels, at least one prior hospitalization for heart failure, and have been on positive inotropic therapy for more than 1 month (but less than 9 months).

The intracardiac administration of MPCs, which are derived from adult human bone marrow, were delivered by injection guided with the NOGA left ventricular electromechanical mapping system. Multiple transendocardial injections were delivered, all in a single session.

There were no differences in baseline characteristics between those receiving MPCs and those who underwent a sham procedure. In both groups, more than half of patients had a previous MI and a coronary revascularization. Nearly 85% had an implanted defibrillator. Roughly two-thirds were in NYHA class III HF and the remaining were in class II.

Over the follow-up, the lines on a graph documenting nonfatal decompensated heart failure events were largely superimposed for the MPC-treated and sham-treated patients, with no significant differences seen over time.

However, the differences on the secondary events were sizable. For the composite outcome of nonfatal MI and nonfatal stroke over a mean follow-up of about 30 months, the rate of events was less than half as great in those randomized to MPCs (4.6% vs. 13.0%). This translated into about 65% reduction in risk (HR, 0.346; P = .001) overall, and the reduction was about the same in class II or III patients.

For a composite endpoint of MACE, events in the group treated with MPCs were about one-third lower than in the sham procedure group (20.3% vs. 30.1%), a difference that also reached significance (HR, 0.667; P = .021).

For this MACE endpoint, response was evaluated by systemic inflammation. For those with a high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level of less than 2 mg/L, the risk reduction was small and not significant (HR, 0.843; P = .519). Conversely, there was a large risk reduction in those with hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L that did reach statistical significance (HR, 0.551; P = .012).

Inflammation was also found to be a discriminator for time to cardiac death among the patients with NYHA class II HF. Again, there was no benefit among those with hsCRP below 2 mg/L (HR, 1.355; P = .672), but an 80% risk reduction for those with hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L (HR, 0.204; P = .005).

In class II patients with hsCRP at least 2 mg/L, there was also a 60% reduction in all-cause death (HR, 0.401; P = .027). Neither the reduction in cardiac death nor all-cause death was observed in class III HF patients whether or not they had elevated hsCRP.

These signals of benefit provide a direction for a new set of studies, but Dr. Perin said that safety analyses from the DREAM-HF trial are reassuring for further clinical development.

In addition to the fact that “treatment-emergent adverse events and serious adverse events were similar in the MPC-treated and control patients,” Dr. Perin said that MPC administration was not associated with any clinically meaningful immune responses.

MPCs were first injected into a human 15 years ago, according to Dr. Perin. While a phase 2 trial published several years ago did show an association of MPC administration with a reduction in HF-associated events as well as a reduction in adverse ventricular remodeling, the ischemic benefits observed in this trial, particularly in those with elevated hsCRP, provide a new direction for future trials.

“This turns the page in heart failure research. We now have a new mechanism to consider,” Dr. Perin said.
 

Not so fast, expert says

This might be a reasonable conclusion, but the AHA-invited discussant, Larry Allen, MD, believes there is essentially no clinical message from this trial. He reiterated multiple times that this trial was neutral with no trend for benefit on the primary outcome.

“There was benefit on the secondary outcomes of nonfatal MI or stroke, but these are not the outcomes we follow in heart failure patients,” he said, noting that benefit from regenerative therapy on ischemic events has not been a major focus of the trials that preceded DREAM-HF.

Despite these intriguing results, “patients should understand that stem cells remain experimental,” he said. For the patient, it is “more important to double down on the importance of guideline directed medical therapy,” which is still being administered at levels that are suboptimal, according to Dr. Allen, medical director of advanced heart failure at the University of Colorado at Denver, Aurora.

“Keep up the investment” in the promise of stem cell therapy, he said, but he cautioned that some of the secondary benefits observed in DREAM-HF, such as the greater response in patients with elevated hsCRP, appear to be new observations that will require a great deal more study to validate.

Dr. Perin has a financial relationship with Mesoblast, which provided funding for the DREAM-HF trial. Dr. Allen reported no relevant conflicts of interest.

A large, multicenter, sham-controlled trial in heart failure showed no benefit at all from stem cell delivery on the primary outcome of recurrent nonfatal decompensated HF events, but the results were still promising, according to the DREAM-HF study’s principal investigator.

When added to guideline-directed medical therapy in patients with HF, a single dose of mesenchymal progenitor cells (MPC) significantly reduced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) – a composite of cardiac death, nonfatal MI, and nonfatal stroke – and all-cause death in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class II (but not class III patients), reported Emerson C. Perin, MD, PhD, at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

The problem is that none of these outcomes were included in the primary endpoint, which was recurrent events because of nonfatal decompensated heart failure. On this endpoint, the hazard ratio for events by the end of follow-up was nonsignificantly but slightly increased among those randomized to MPCs rather than sham control (HR, 1.2; P = .406).

“We learned a lot in this trial,” said Dr. Perin, who is medical director of the Texas Heart Institute in Houston, acknowledging that the expectation of benefit on the primary endpoint now appears to have been misplaced, but the positive result on other outcomes opens a new research direction.

With a negative result on the primary endpoint, a benefit on secondary endpoints is considered hypothesis generating. But Dr. Perin defended his sense of overall optimism about the results, because all of the endpoints on which benefit was demonstrated were prespecified. The positive findings “are not from a post hoc analyses,” he emphasized.
 

DREAM-HF

In the trial, 537 patients with chronic ischemic or nonischemic heart failure with NYHA class II or III symptoms and a left ventricular ejection fraction of 40% or lower were randomized at 51 sites in the United States and Canada. Patients were required to have elevated N-terminal of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide levels, at least one prior hospitalization for heart failure, and have been on positive inotropic therapy for more than 1 month (but less than 9 months).

The intracardiac administration of MPCs, which are derived from adult human bone marrow, were delivered by injection guided with the NOGA left ventricular electromechanical mapping system. Multiple transendocardial injections were delivered, all in a single session.

There were no differences in baseline characteristics between those receiving MPCs and those who underwent a sham procedure. In both groups, more than half of patients had a previous MI and a coronary revascularization. Nearly 85% had an implanted defibrillator. Roughly two-thirds were in NYHA class III HF and the remaining were in class II.

Over the follow-up, the lines on a graph documenting nonfatal decompensated heart failure events were largely superimposed for the MPC-treated and sham-treated patients, with no significant differences seen over time.

However, the differences on the secondary events were sizable. For the composite outcome of nonfatal MI and nonfatal stroke over a mean follow-up of about 30 months, the rate of events was less than half as great in those randomized to MPCs (4.6% vs. 13.0%). This translated into about 65% reduction in risk (HR, 0.346; P = .001) overall, and the reduction was about the same in class II or III patients.

For a composite endpoint of MACE, events in the group treated with MPCs were about one-third lower than in the sham procedure group (20.3% vs. 30.1%), a difference that also reached significance (HR, 0.667; P = .021).

For this MACE endpoint, response was evaluated by systemic inflammation. For those with a high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level of less than 2 mg/L, the risk reduction was small and not significant (HR, 0.843; P = .519). Conversely, there was a large risk reduction in those with hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L that did reach statistical significance (HR, 0.551; P = .012).

Inflammation was also found to be a discriminator for time to cardiac death among the patients with NYHA class II HF. Again, there was no benefit among those with hsCRP below 2 mg/L (HR, 1.355; P = .672), but an 80% risk reduction for those with hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L (HR, 0.204; P = .005).

In class II patients with hsCRP at least 2 mg/L, there was also a 60% reduction in all-cause death (HR, 0.401; P = .027). Neither the reduction in cardiac death nor all-cause death was observed in class III HF patients whether or not they had elevated hsCRP.

These signals of benefit provide a direction for a new set of studies, but Dr. Perin said that safety analyses from the DREAM-HF trial are reassuring for further clinical development.

In addition to the fact that “treatment-emergent adverse events and serious adverse events were similar in the MPC-treated and control patients,” Dr. Perin said that MPC administration was not associated with any clinically meaningful immune responses.

MPCs were first injected into a human 15 years ago, according to Dr. Perin. While a phase 2 trial published several years ago did show an association of MPC administration with a reduction in HF-associated events as well as a reduction in adverse ventricular remodeling, the ischemic benefits observed in this trial, particularly in those with elevated hsCRP, provide a new direction for future trials.

“This turns the page in heart failure research. We now have a new mechanism to consider,” Dr. Perin said.
 

Not so fast, expert says

This might be a reasonable conclusion, but the AHA-invited discussant, Larry Allen, MD, believes there is essentially no clinical message from this trial. He reiterated multiple times that this trial was neutral with no trend for benefit on the primary outcome.

“There was benefit on the secondary outcomes of nonfatal MI or stroke, but these are not the outcomes we follow in heart failure patients,” he said, noting that benefit from regenerative therapy on ischemic events has not been a major focus of the trials that preceded DREAM-HF.

Despite these intriguing results, “patients should understand that stem cells remain experimental,” he said. For the patient, it is “more important to double down on the importance of guideline directed medical therapy,” which is still being administered at levels that are suboptimal, according to Dr. Allen, medical director of advanced heart failure at the University of Colorado at Denver, Aurora.

“Keep up the investment” in the promise of stem cell therapy, he said, but he cautioned that some of the secondary benefits observed in DREAM-HF, such as the greater response in patients with elevated hsCRP, appear to be new observations that will require a great deal more study to validate.

Dr. Perin has a financial relationship with Mesoblast, which provided funding for the DREAM-HF trial. Dr. Allen reported no relevant conflicts of interest.

A large, multicenter, sham-controlled trial in heart failure showed no benefit at all from stem cell delivery on the primary outcome of recurrent nonfatal decompensated HF events, but the results were still promising, according to the DREAM-HF study’s principal investigator.

When added to guideline-directed medical therapy in patients with HF, a single dose of mesenchymal progenitor cells (MPC) significantly reduced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) – a composite of cardiac death, nonfatal MI, and nonfatal stroke – and all-cause death in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class II (but not class III patients), reported Emerson C. Perin, MD, PhD, at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

The problem is that none of these outcomes were included in the primary endpoint, which was recurrent events because of nonfatal decompensated heart failure. On this endpoint, the hazard ratio for events by the end of follow-up was nonsignificantly but slightly increased among those randomized to MPCs rather than sham control (HR, 1.2; P = .406).

“We learned a lot in this trial,” said Dr. Perin, who is medical director of the Texas Heart Institute in Houston, acknowledging that the expectation of benefit on the primary endpoint now appears to have been misplaced, but the positive result on other outcomes opens a new research direction.

With a negative result on the primary endpoint, a benefit on secondary endpoints is considered hypothesis generating. But Dr. Perin defended his sense of overall optimism about the results, because all of the endpoints on which benefit was demonstrated were prespecified. The positive findings “are not from a post hoc analyses,” he emphasized.
 

DREAM-HF

In the trial, 537 patients with chronic ischemic or nonischemic heart failure with NYHA class II or III symptoms and a left ventricular ejection fraction of 40% or lower were randomized at 51 sites in the United States and Canada. Patients were required to have elevated N-terminal of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide levels, at least one prior hospitalization for heart failure, and have been on positive inotropic therapy for more than 1 month (but less than 9 months).

The intracardiac administration of MPCs, which are derived from adult human bone marrow, were delivered by injection guided with the NOGA left ventricular electromechanical mapping system. Multiple transendocardial injections were delivered, all in a single session.

There were no differences in baseline characteristics between those receiving MPCs and those who underwent a sham procedure. In both groups, more than half of patients had a previous MI and a coronary revascularization. Nearly 85% had an implanted defibrillator. Roughly two-thirds were in NYHA class III HF and the remaining were in class II.

Over the follow-up, the lines on a graph documenting nonfatal decompensated heart failure events were largely superimposed for the MPC-treated and sham-treated patients, with no significant differences seen over time.

However, the differences on the secondary events were sizable. For the composite outcome of nonfatal MI and nonfatal stroke over a mean follow-up of about 30 months, the rate of events was less than half as great in those randomized to MPCs (4.6% vs. 13.0%). This translated into about 65% reduction in risk (HR, 0.346; P = .001) overall, and the reduction was about the same in class II or III patients.

For a composite endpoint of MACE, events in the group treated with MPCs were about one-third lower than in the sham procedure group (20.3% vs. 30.1%), a difference that also reached significance (HR, 0.667; P = .021).

For this MACE endpoint, response was evaluated by systemic inflammation. For those with a high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level of less than 2 mg/L, the risk reduction was small and not significant (HR, 0.843; P = .519). Conversely, there was a large risk reduction in those with hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L that did reach statistical significance (HR, 0.551; P = .012).

Inflammation was also found to be a discriminator for time to cardiac death among the patients with NYHA class II HF. Again, there was no benefit among those with hsCRP below 2 mg/L (HR, 1.355; P = .672), but an 80% risk reduction for those with hsCRP of at least 2 mg/L (HR, 0.204; P = .005).

In class II patients with hsCRP at least 2 mg/L, there was also a 60% reduction in all-cause death (HR, 0.401; P = .027). Neither the reduction in cardiac death nor all-cause death was observed in class III HF patients whether or not they had elevated hsCRP.

These signals of benefit provide a direction for a new set of studies, but Dr. Perin said that safety analyses from the DREAM-HF trial are reassuring for further clinical development.

In addition to the fact that “treatment-emergent adverse events and serious adverse events were similar in the MPC-treated and control patients,” Dr. Perin said that MPC administration was not associated with any clinically meaningful immune responses.

MPCs were first injected into a human 15 years ago, according to Dr. Perin. While a phase 2 trial published several years ago did show an association of MPC administration with a reduction in HF-associated events as well as a reduction in adverse ventricular remodeling, the ischemic benefits observed in this trial, particularly in those with elevated hsCRP, provide a new direction for future trials.

“This turns the page in heart failure research. We now have a new mechanism to consider,” Dr. Perin said.
 

Not so fast, expert says

This might be a reasonable conclusion, but the AHA-invited discussant, Larry Allen, MD, believes there is essentially no clinical message from this trial. He reiterated multiple times that this trial was neutral with no trend for benefit on the primary outcome.

“There was benefit on the secondary outcomes of nonfatal MI or stroke, but these are not the outcomes we follow in heart failure patients,” he said, noting that benefit from regenerative therapy on ischemic events has not been a major focus of the trials that preceded DREAM-HF.

Despite these intriguing results, “patients should understand that stem cells remain experimental,” he said. For the patient, it is “more important to double down on the importance of guideline directed medical therapy,” which is still being administered at levels that are suboptimal, according to Dr. Allen, medical director of advanced heart failure at the University of Colorado at Denver, Aurora.

“Keep up the investment” in the promise of stem cell therapy, he said, but he cautioned that some of the secondary benefits observed in DREAM-HF, such as the greater response in patients with elevated hsCRP, appear to be new observations that will require a great deal more study to validate.

Dr. Perin has a financial relationship with Mesoblast, which provided funding for the DREAM-HF trial. Dr. Allen reported no relevant conflicts of interest.

When provided at the bedside of patients hospitalized for heart failure, an electronic health record (EHR) alert with prognostic information did not improve outcomes or appear to have any impact on what treatments were offered.

There was no signal that the EHR prognostic alerts, which identified the 12-month risk of mortality, had any impact on any of a variety of clinical-decision-making metrics or on any of the primary or secondary outcomes, according to Tariq Ahmad, MD, who reported results of the randomized REVEAL-HF trial, presented at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

“These results call into question the hypothesis that accurate prognostic information alone will lead to better clinical decision-making,” said Dr. Ahmad, medical director of the Heart Transplant and Mechanical Circulatory Support Program at Yale University, New Haven, Conn., and principal investigator of REVEAL-HF.

He acknowledged that the possibility that many clinicians pay little or no attention to EHR alert might have played a role in the negative results.

At four participating Yale-affiliated clinical centers, all patients hospitalized for acute heart failure were randomized as long as they were over the age of 18, had an N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level above 500 pg/mL, and had been placed on IV diuretics within 24 hours of admission. In the experimental arm, the provider at the time of entering orders received an EHR alert with an estimate of the risk of all-cause mortality at 12 months. There was no such alert for patients managed in the control arm.
 

Twelve-month mortality estimates calculated

The all-cause mortality risk was calculated on a sizeable list of variables that included laboratory results, such as cell counts, and patient characteristics, such as weight and age. The risk estimate was displayed along with a five-category color-coded bar to provide context for the risk in the spectrum of very low, low, medium, high, and very high likelihood of death within 12 months.

The 1,590 patients randomized to the experimental arm and the 1,534 patients randomized to the usual care arm did not differ significantly in any baseline characteristics. The median age was about 77 years, the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 55%. About 29% had an LVEF below 40%, about 40% had chronic kidney disease, and about 30% had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

The composite primary outcome of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization within 12 months was reached by 38.9% and 39.3% (P = 0.82) of the intervention and control arms, respectively. The components of the primary outcome were also nearly identical, as was inpatient mortality (8.4% vs. 8.8%; P = 0.72).

There were no significant differences in any of the secondary outcomes, which included rates of 30-day rehospitalizations, discharge on guideline-recommended heart failure therapies, implantation of a cardioverter defibrillator, use of a left ventricular assist device, or heart transplant.

The proportion of patients referred for palliative care was almost identical in the very low, low, and medium risk groups. In the high (23.4 vs. 15.6; P = 0.19) and very high (50% vs. 40%; P = 0.92) groups, there were numerically more referrals in the group randomized to usual care, but these rates did not reach significance.
 

No differences seen in discharge meds

There was essentially no difference between groups in the rates at which patients were discharged on beta-blockers, renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, sodium-glucose co-transporter type 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, or mineralocorticoid antagonists.

When prespecified subgroups, such as those older than age 75 years relative to those younger, males relative to females, Black versus White participants, patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) relative to preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and intensive care unit versus non-ICU patients, were compared, there were no indications that the EHR alert improved outcomes.

Invited discussant Harriette G. C. Van Spall, MD, director of digital health and virtual care and associate professor of cardiology at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., did not dispute the conclusions, but she pointed out several potential explanations for the neutral result.

Not least, nearly 75% of those enrolled had low risk or very low risk for adverse outcomes within 1 year, so the opportunity to show a reduction in events, including all-cause mortality, was limited.

“This was largely a HFpEF population, for which there are no treatments for which a risk score would change therapy,” she said.
 

EHR alert efficacy questioned

There is considerable evidence that risk prediction tools “are common but underutilized in HF,” Dr. Van Spall added. She noted that many clinicians find alerts in the EHR more annoying than informative, and it remains unknown what proportion of clinicians pay attention to them, particularly in the absence of evidence that they lead to meaningful improvements in care over their own clinical judgment.

Dr. Ahmad agreed.

“I think that we need to study these alerts in a clinical trial format,” he said. Acknowledging that alerts have been poorly received by many clinicians, Dr. Ahmad said that trials to validate the impact of any specific alert are needed to improve their credibility. If a positive impact cannot be shown, he said the alert should be eliminated, leaving only the alerts with proven clinical value.

Dr. Ahmad reported financial relationships with Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cytokinetics, Novartis, and Relypsa. Dr. Van Spall reports no potential conflicts of interest.

When provided at the bedside of patients hospitalized for heart failure, an electronic health record (EHR) alert with prognostic information did not improve outcomes or appear to have any impact on what treatments were offered.

There was no signal that the EHR prognostic alerts, which identified the 12-month risk of mortality, had any impact on any of a variety of clinical-decision-making metrics or on any of the primary or secondary outcomes, according to Tariq Ahmad, MD, who reported results of the randomized REVEAL-HF trial, presented at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

“These results call into question the hypothesis that accurate prognostic information alone will lead to better clinical decision-making,” said Dr. Ahmad, medical director of the Heart Transplant and Mechanical Circulatory Support Program at Yale University, New Haven, Conn., and principal investigator of REVEAL-HF.

He acknowledged that the possibility that many clinicians pay little or no attention to EHR alert might have played a role in the negative results.

At four participating Yale-affiliated clinical centers, all patients hospitalized for acute heart failure were randomized as long as they were over the age of 18, had an N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level above 500 pg/mL, and had been placed on IV diuretics within 24 hours of admission. In the experimental arm, the provider at the time of entering orders received an EHR alert with an estimate of the risk of all-cause mortality at 12 months. There was no such alert for patients managed in the control arm.
 

Twelve-month mortality estimates calculated

The all-cause mortality risk was calculated on a sizeable list of variables that included laboratory results, such as cell counts, and patient characteristics, such as weight and age. The risk estimate was displayed along with a five-category color-coded bar to provide context for the risk in the spectrum of very low, low, medium, high, and very high likelihood of death within 12 months.

The 1,590 patients randomized to the experimental arm and the 1,534 patients randomized to the usual care arm did not differ significantly in any baseline characteristics. The median age was about 77 years, the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 55%. About 29% had an LVEF below 40%, about 40% had chronic kidney disease, and about 30% had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

The composite primary outcome of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization within 12 months was reached by 38.9% and 39.3% (P = 0.82) of the intervention and control arms, respectively. The components of the primary outcome were also nearly identical, as was inpatient mortality (8.4% vs. 8.8%; P = 0.72).

There were no significant differences in any of the secondary outcomes, which included rates of 30-day rehospitalizations, discharge on guideline-recommended heart failure therapies, implantation of a cardioverter defibrillator, use of a left ventricular assist device, or heart transplant.

The proportion of patients referred for palliative care was almost identical in the very low, low, and medium risk groups. In the high (23.4 vs. 15.6; P = 0.19) and very high (50% vs. 40%; P = 0.92) groups, there were numerically more referrals in the group randomized to usual care, but these rates did not reach significance.
 

No differences seen in discharge meds

There was essentially no difference between groups in the rates at which patients were discharged on beta-blockers, renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, sodium-glucose co-transporter type 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, or mineralocorticoid antagonists.

When prespecified subgroups, such as those older than age 75 years relative to those younger, males relative to females, Black versus White participants, patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) relative to preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and intensive care unit versus non-ICU patients, were compared, there were no indications that the EHR alert improved outcomes.

Invited discussant Harriette G. C. Van Spall, MD, director of digital health and virtual care and associate professor of cardiology at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., did not dispute the conclusions, but she pointed out several potential explanations for the neutral result.

Not least, nearly 75% of those enrolled had low risk or very low risk for adverse outcomes within 1 year, so the opportunity to show a reduction in events, including all-cause mortality, was limited.

“This was largely a HFpEF population, for which there are no treatments for which a risk score would change therapy,” she said.
 

EHR alert efficacy questioned

There is considerable evidence that risk prediction tools “are common but underutilized in HF,” Dr. Van Spall added. She noted that many clinicians find alerts in the EHR more annoying than informative, and it remains unknown what proportion of clinicians pay attention to them, particularly in the absence of evidence that they lead to meaningful improvements in care over their own clinical judgment.

Dr. Ahmad agreed.

“I think that we need to study these alerts in a clinical trial format,” he said. Acknowledging that alerts have been poorly received by many clinicians, Dr. Ahmad said that trials to validate the impact of any specific alert are needed to improve their credibility. If a positive impact cannot be shown, he said the alert should be eliminated, leaving only the alerts with proven clinical value.

Dr. Ahmad reported financial relationships with Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cytokinetics, Novartis, and Relypsa. Dr. Van Spall reports no potential conflicts of interest.

When provided at the bedside of patients hospitalized for heart failure, an electronic health record (EHR) alert with prognostic information did not improve outcomes or appear to have any impact on what treatments were offered.

There was no signal that the EHR prognostic alerts, which identified the 12-month risk of mortality, had any impact on any of a variety of clinical-decision-making metrics or on any of the primary or secondary outcomes, according to Tariq Ahmad, MD, who reported results of the randomized REVEAL-HF trial, presented at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

“These results call into question the hypothesis that accurate prognostic information alone will lead to better clinical decision-making,” said Dr. Ahmad, medical director of the Heart Transplant and Mechanical Circulatory Support Program at Yale University, New Haven, Conn., and principal investigator of REVEAL-HF.

He acknowledged that the possibility that many clinicians pay little or no attention to EHR alert might have played a role in the negative results.

At four participating Yale-affiliated clinical centers, all patients hospitalized for acute heart failure were randomized as long as they were over the age of 18, had an N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level above 500 pg/mL, and had been placed on IV diuretics within 24 hours of admission. In the experimental arm, the provider at the time of entering orders received an EHR alert with an estimate of the risk of all-cause mortality at 12 months. There was no such alert for patients managed in the control arm.
 

Twelve-month mortality estimates calculated

The all-cause mortality risk was calculated on a sizeable list of variables that included laboratory results, such as cell counts, and patient characteristics, such as weight and age. The risk estimate was displayed along with a five-category color-coded bar to provide context for the risk in the spectrum of very low, low, medium, high, and very high likelihood of death within 12 months.

The 1,590 patients randomized to the experimental arm and the 1,534 patients randomized to the usual care arm did not differ significantly in any baseline characteristics. The median age was about 77 years, the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 55%. About 29% had an LVEF below 40%, about 40% had chronic kidney disease, and about 30% had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

The composite primary outcome of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization within 12 months was reached by 38.9% and 39.3% (P = 0.82) of the intervention and control arms, respectively. The components of the primary outcome were also nearly identical, as was inpatient mortality (8.4% vs. 8.8%; P = 0.72).

There were no significant differences in any of the secondary outcomes, which included rates of 30-day rehospitalizations, discharge on guideline-recommended heart failure therapies, implantation of a cardioverter defibrillator, use of a left ventricular assist device, or heart transplant.

The proportion of patients referred for palliative care was almost identical in the very low, low, and medium risk groups. In the high (23.4 vs. 15.6; P = 0.19) and very high (50% vs. 40%; P = 0.92) groups, there were numerically more referrals in the group randomized to usual care, but these rates did not reach significance.
 

No differences seen in discharge meds

There was essentially no difference between groups in the rates at which patients were discharged on beta-blockers, renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, sodium-glucose co-transporter type 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, or mineralocorticoid antagonists.

When prespecified subgroups, such as those older than age 75 years relative to those younger, males relative to females, Black versus White participants, patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) relative to preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and intensive care unit versus non-ICU patients, were compared, there were no indications that the EHR alert improved outcomes.

Invited discussant Harriette G. C. Van Spall, MD, director of digital health and virtual care and associate professor of cardiology at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., did not dispute the conclusions, but she pointed out several potential explanations for the neutral result.

Not least, nearly 75% of those enrolled had low risk or very low risk for adverse outcomes within 1 year, so the opportunity to show a reduction in events, including all-cause mortality, was limited.

“This was largely a HFpEF population, for which there are no treatments for which a risk score would change therapy,” she said.
 

EHR alert efficacy questioned

There is considerable evidence that risk prediction tools “are common but underutilized in HF,” Dr. Van Spall added. She noted that many clinicians find alerts in the EHR more annoying than informative, and it remains unknown what proportion of clinicians pay attention to them, particularly in the absence of evidence that they lead to meaningful improvements in care over their own clinical judgment.

Dr. Ahmad agreed.

“I think that we need to study these alerts in a clinical trial format,” he said. Acknowledging that alerts have been poorly received by many clinicians, Dr. Ahmad said that trials to validate the impact of any specific alert are needed to improve their credibility. If a positive impact cannot be shown, he said the alert should be eliminated, leaving only the alerts with proven clinical value.

Dr. Ahmad reported financial relationships with Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cytokinetics, Novartis, and Relypsa. Dr. Van Spall reports no potential conflicts of interest.

Extended follow-up of the PRAGUE-17 trial suggests left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) remains noninferior to direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) with regard to major cardiovascular and neurologic events in high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation.

At a median follow-up of 3.5 years, the annualized rate of the primary outcome – a composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), systemic embolism, cardiovascular death, clinically relevant bleeding, or significant procedure- or device-related complications – was 8.6% in patients who underwent LAAC and 11.9% in those managed with DOACs (P value for noninferiority = .006).

The study was not powered to assess the individual components, but most were similar between the LAAC and DOAC groups, including cardiovascular death (20 vs. 30 events) and all stroke/TIA (16 vs. 18 events).

Nonprocedural clinically relevant bleeding was lower with LAAC (23 vs. 40 events; annualized rate, 3.4% vs. 5.9%; P = .039), said Pavel Osmancik, MD, PhD, Charles University and University Hospital Kralovske Vinohrady, both in Prague.

The data were presented at the Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics annual meeting, held virtually and live in Orlando and sponsored by the Cardiovascular Research Foundation, and was published simultaneously in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

The results are generally in line with those reported in 2020 with an average follow-up of 20 months, when the annualized primary event rate was 11% with LAAC and 13% with DOACs, also known as novel OACs (NOACs).

The trial randomly assigned 415 patients to LAAC with the Amulet (Abbott Vascular) or Watchman/Watchman FLX devices (Boston Scientific) or to rivaroxaban, dabigatran, or preferably apixaban (96%). The modified intention-to-treat analysis included 201 patients in each group, with follow-up extending to 4.3 years in the LAAC group and 4.2 years in the DOAC group.

Dr. Osmancik said the trial enrolled a very-high-risk atrial fibrillation cohort, citing a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 4.7 in both groups and a HAS-BLED score of 3.0-3.1. More than half of the LAAC group (54.2%) and 47.3% of the DOAC group had a history of bleeding or bleeding predisposition.

During a discussion of the results, the panel questioned whether the continuing divergence of the primary event curves at 4 years was potentially related to the effect of noncompliance to the NOACs over time.

Dr. Osmancik replied: “We didn’t do any medication look among the patients, but I don’t think that the number of patients who stopped the NOAC treatment was too high because the rate of strokes was very similar to that in the NOAC trials.”

He reported that 26 patients in the DOAC group permanently stopped their DOAC during follow-up; 15 (58%) because of clinically relevant bleeding, and 13 crossed over to LAAC. Of the 13 patients, 12 cases were successful with dual antiplatelet therapy for 3 months.

In the LAAC group, 17 patients started a DOAC during follow-up. Of these, three (18%) initiated DOAC treatment because of device-related thrombus (DRT) on transesophageal echocardiography, three (18%) because of a peridevice leak (PDL), and five (29%) because of a stroke/TIA.

“Given the observed trend of significantly increased nonprocedural clinically relevant bleeding in the NOAC arm, it is likely that late bleeding events will increasingly favor LAAC over time,” Faisal Merchant, MD, Emory University, Atlanta, wrote in an accompanying editorial.

NOACs, he noted, have important indications beyond prevention of left atrial appendage thrombi, including prevention of non-LAA sources of stroke/systemic embolism (SSE) and treatment of venous thromboembolism. “If significant numbers of patients treated with LAAC end up on anticoagulation in the long run, the benefits of LAAC are likely to be attenuated.”

Although PRAGUE-17 provides some insights into the longer-term indications for resuming anticoagulation in patients previously treated with LAAC, Dr. Merchant said the trial is a “real missed opportunity” in terms of understanding late device-associated risks. Unfortunately, two-thirds of the follow-up transesophageal echocardiograms were canceled because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Although the incidence of late DRT and PDL isn’t known, the longer-term PRAGUE-17 data are helpful in demonstrating that rates of SSE remain similar in the LAAC and NOAC groups over time, without any obvious signal of late ischemic events in the LAAC group,” he wrote.

The editorialist also called attention to the “often overlooked” issue of aspirin adherence in long-term medical therapy. Although patients treated with LAAC typically remain on aspirin indefinitely, the percentage who discontinue long-term aspirin is not well described and is not reported in PRAGUE-17. In the AVERROES trial, comparing aspirin with apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation, however, 20.5% of patients permanently discontinued aspirin at 2 years, compared with only 17.9% on apixaban.

“It is plausible that discontinuation of aspirin may contribute to late ischemic events in patients treated with LAAC, potentially by increasing the risk of late DRT or through other mechanisms,” Dr. Merchant wrote. “Adherence to, and the impact of, long-term antiplatelet therapy should be a focus of future LAAC studies.”

The study was funded by a research grant from the Ministry of Health, Czech Republic. Dr. Osmancik reported occasional speaking honoraria from Bayer and Abbott. Dr. Merchant disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Extended follow-up of the PRAGUE-17 trial suggests left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) remains noninferior to direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) with regard to major cardiovascular and neurologic events in high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation.

At a median follow-up of 3.5 years, the annualized rate of the primary outcome – a composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), systemic embolism, cardiovascular death, clinically relevant bleeding, or significant procedure- or device-related complications – was 8.6% in patients who underwent LAAC and 11.9% in those managed with DOACs (P value for noninferiority = .006).

The study was not powered to assess the individual components, but most were similar between the LAAC and DOAC groups, including cardiovascular death (20 vs. 30 events) and all stroke/TIA (16 vs. 18 events).

Nonprocedural clinically relevant bleeding was lower with LAAC (23 vs. 40 events; annualized rate, 3.4% vs. 5.9%; P = .039), said Pavel Osmancik, MD, PhD, Charles University and University Hospital Kralovske Vinohrady, both in Prague.

The data were presented at the Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics annual meeting, held virtually and live in Orlando and sponsored by the Cardiovascular Research Foundation, and was published simultaneously in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

The results are generally in line with those reported in 2020 with an average follow-up of 20 months, when the annualized primary event rate was 11% with LAAC and 13% with DOACs, also known as novel OACs (NOACs).

The trial randomly assigned 415 patients to LAAC with the Amulet (Abbott Vascular) or Watchman/Watchman FLX devices (Boston Scientific) or to rivaroxaban, dabigatran, or preferably apixaban (96%). The modified intention-to-treat analysis included 201 patients in each group, with follow-up extending to 4.3 years in the LAAC group and 4.2 years in the DOAC group.

Dr. Osmancik said the trial enrolled a very-high-risk atrial fibrillation cohort, citing a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 4.7 in both groups and a HAS-BLED score of 3.0-3.1. More than half of the LAAC group (54.2%) and 47.3% of the DOAC group had a history of bleeding or bleeding predisposition.

During a discussion of the results, the panel questioned whether the continuing divergence of the primary event curves at 4 years was potentially related to the effect of noncompliance to the NOACs over time.

Dr. Osmancik replied: “We didn’t do any medication look among the patients, but I don’t think that the number of patients who stopped the NOAC treatment was too high because the rate of strokes was very similar to that in the NOAC trials.”

He reported that 26 patients in the DOAC group permanently stopped their DOAC during follow-up; 15 (58%) because of clinically relevant bleeding, and 13 crossed over to LAAC. Of the 13 patients, 12 cases were successful with dual antiplatelet therapy for 3 months.

In the LAAC group, 17 patients started a DOAC during follow-up. Of these, three (18%) initiated DOAC treatment because of device-related thrombus (DRT) on transesophageal echocardiography, three (18%) because of a peridevice leak (PDL), and five (29%) because of a stroke/TIA.

“Given the observed trend of significantly increased nonprocedural clinically relevant bleeding in the NOAC arm, it is likely that late bleeding events will increasingly favor LAAC over time,” Faisal Merchant, MD, Emory University, Atlanta, wrote in an accompanying editorial.

NOACs, he noted, have important indications beyond prevention of left atrial appendage thrombi, including prevention of non-LAA sources of stroke/systemic embolism (SSE) and treatment of venous thromboembolism. “If significant numbers of patients treated with LAAC end up on anticoagulation in the long run, the benefits of LAAC are likely to be attenuated.”

Although PRAGUE-17 provides some insights into the longer-term indications for resuming anticoagulation in patients previously treated with LAAC, Dr. Merchant said the trial is a “real missed opportunity” in terms of understanding late device-associated risks. Unfortunately, two-thirds of the follow-up transesophageal echocardiograms were canceled because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Although the incidence of late DRT and PDL isn’t known, the longer-term PRAGUE-17 data are helpful in demonstrating that rates of SSE remain similar in the LAAC and NOAC groups over time, without any obvious signal of late ischemic events in the LAAC group,” he wrote.

The editorialist also called attention to the “often overlooked” issue of aspirin adherence in long-term medical therapy. Although patients treated with LAAC typically remain on aspirin indefinitely, the percentage who discontinue long-term aspirin is not well described and is not reported in PRAGUE-17. In the AVERROES trial, comparing aspirin with apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation, however, 20.5% of patients permanently discontinued aspirin at 2 years, compared with only 17.9% on apixaban.

“It is plausible that discontinuation of aspirin may contribute to late ischemic events in patients treated with LAAC, potentially by increasing the risk of late DRT or through other mechanisms,” Dr. Merchant wrote. “Adherence to, and the impact of, long-term antiplatelet therapy should be a focus of future LAAC studies.”

The study was funded by a research grant from the Ministry of Health, Czech Republic. Dr. Osmancik reported occasional speaking honoraria from Bayer and Abbott. Dr. Merchant disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Extended follow-up of the PRAGUE-17 trial suggests left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) remains noninferior to direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) with regard to major cardiovascular and neurologic events in high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation.

At a median follow-up of 3.5 years, the annualized rate of the primary outcome – a composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), systemic embolism, cardiovascular death, clinically relevant bleeding, or significant procedure- or device-related complications – was 8.6% in patients who underwent LAAC and 11.9% in those managed with DOACs (P value for noninferiority = .006).

The study was not powered to assess the individual components, but most were similar between the LAAC and DOAC groups, including cardiovascular death (20 vs. 30 events) and all stroke/TIA (16 vs. 18 events).

Nonprocedural clinically relevant bleeding was lower with LAAC (23 vs. 40 events; annualized rate, 3.4% vs. 5.9%; P = .039), said Pavel Osmancik, MD, PhD, Charles University and University Hospital Kralovske Vinohrady, both in Prague.

The data were presented at the Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics annual meeting, held virtually and live in Orlando and sponsored by the Cardiovascular Research Foundation, and was published simultaneously in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

The results are generally in line with those reported in 2020 with an average follow-up of 20 months, when the annualized primary event rate was 11% with LAAC and 13% with DOACs, also known as novel OACs (NOACs).

The trial randomly assigned 415 patients to LAAC with the Amulet (Abbott Vascular) or Watchman/Watchman FLX devices (Boston Scientific) or to rivaroxaban, dabigatran, or preferably apixaban (96%). The modified intention-to-treat analysis included 201 patients in each group, with follow-up extending to 4.3 years in the LAAC group and 4.2 years in the DOAC group.

Dr. Osmancik said the trial enrolled a very-high-risk atrial fibrillation cohort, citing a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 4.7 in both groups and a HAS-BLED score of 3.0-3.1. More than half of the LAAC group (54.2%) and 47.3% of the DOAC group had a history of bleeding or bleeding predisposition.

During a discussion of the results, the panel questioned whether the continuing divergence of the primary event curves at 4 years was potentially related to the effect of noncompliance to the NOACs over time.

Dr. Osmancik replied: “We didn’t do any medication look among the patients, but I don’t think that the number of patients who stopped the NOAC treatment was too high because the rate of strokes was very similar to that in the NOAC trials.”

He reported that 26 patients in the DOAC group permanently stopped their DOAC during follow-up; 15 (58%) because of clinically relevant bleeding, and 13 crossed over to LAAC. Of the 13 patients, 12 cases were successful with dual antiplatelet therapy for 3 months.

In the LAAC group, 17 patients started a DOAC during follow-up. Of these, three (18%) initiated DOAC treatment because of device-related thrombus (DRT) on transesophageal echocardiography, three (18%) because of a peridevice leak (PDL), and five (29%) because of a stroke/TIA.

“Given the observed trend of significantly increased nonprocedural clinically relevant bleeding in the NOAC arm, it is likely that late bleeding events will increasingly favor LAAC over time,” Faisal Merchant, MD, Emory University, Atlanta, wrote in an accompanying editorial.

NOACs, he noted, have important indications beyond prevention of left atrial appendage thrombi, including prevention of non-LAA sources of stroke/systemic embolism (SSE) and treatment of venous thromboembolism. “If significant numbers of patients treated with LAAC end up on anticoagulation in the long run, the benefits of LAAC are likely to be attenuated.”

Although PRAGUE-17 provides some insights into the longer-term indications for resuming anticoagulation in patients previously treated with LAAC, Dr. Merchant said the trial is a “real missed opportunity” in terms of understanding late device-associated risks. Unfortunately, two-thirds of the follow-up transesophageal echocardiograms were canceled because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Although the incidence of late DRT and PDL isn’t known, the longer-term PRAGUE-17 data are helpful in demonstrating that rates of SSE remain similar in the LAAC and NOAC groups over time, without any obvious signal of late ischemic events in the LAAC group,” he wrote.

The editorialist also called attention to the “often overlooked” issue of aspirin adherence in long-term medical therapy. Although patients treated with LAAC typically remain on aspirin indefinitely, the percentage who discontinue long-term aspirin is not well described and is not reported in PRAGUE-17. In the AVERROES trial, comparing aspirin with apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation, however, 20.5% of patients permanently discontinued aspirin at 2 years, compared with only 17.9% on apixaban.

“It is plausible that discontinuation of aspirin may contribute to late ischemic events in patients treated with LAAC, potentially by increasing the risk of late DRT or through other mechanisms,” Dr. Merchant wrote. “Adherence to, and the impact of, long-term antiplatelet therapy should be a focus of future LAAC studies.”

The study was funded by a research grant from the Ministry of Health, Czech Republic. Dr. Osmancik reported occasional speaking honoraria from Bayer and Abbott. Dr. Merchant disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Background: Although troponin is the preferred biomarker to indicate acute myocardial infarction, little is known about the implications of elevated troponin in the absence of plaque rupture.

Dr. Bhasin is a hospitalist at Northwestern Memorial Hospital and Lurie Children’s Hospital and assistant professor of medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, all in Chicago.

Background: Although troponin is the preferred biomarker to indicate acute myocardial infarction, little is known about the implications of elevated troponin in the absence of plaque rupture.

Dr. Bhasin is a hospitalist at Northwestern Memorial Hospital and Lurie Children’s Hospital and assistant professor of medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, all in Chicago.

Background: Although troponin is the preferred biomarker to indicate acute myocardial infarction, little is known about the implications of elevated troponin in the absence of plaque rupture.

Dr. Bhasin is a hospitalist at Northwestern Memorial Hospital and Lurie Children’s Hospital and assistant professor of medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, all in Chicago.

People with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation who explored potential triggers of their arrhythmia, and used them to make lifestyle changes, went on to show a 40% decline in subjectively experienced bouts of AFib in a randomized trial with an unusual design.

American Heart Association

But the study didn’t provide evidence that the drop in self-reported AFib necessarily improved their quality of life, its primary endpoint. Nor was there any apparent relationship between potential triggers and AFib episodes detected less subjectively using a handheld electrocardiography monitor.

Although the study – called I-STOP-AFib – has limitations, its results jibe with alcohol intake’s increasingly appreciated status as a potential AFib trigger. It was alone among many possible triggers tested in showing a consistent association with self-reported AFib.

As a result, the study offers no support for such a link between the arrhythmia and caffeine intake, sleep deprivation, dehydration, exercise, or other conditions sometimes perceived as triggers, observed principal investigator Gregory M. Marcus, MD, MAS, University of California, San Francisco, when presenting results at the American Heart Association scientific sessions. He is also lead author on the study’s simultaneous publication in JAMA Cardiology.

The I-STOP-AFib trial was unusual in part for its virtual design, in which participants followed instructions and tracked AFib episodes – both perceived and detected by the handheld ECG device – through a smartphone application. It also featured an N-of-1 randomized comparisons of different weeks in which individuals were or were not exposed to their self-selected trigger.

Such patients following their own weekly personalized randomization were compared to an entirely separate randomized control arm of the trial, in which patients simply tracked any ECG-monitored and self-perceived AFib episodes.
 

Current use in patients

Although wearable and smartphone-based ECG recorders are increasingly popular for AFib screening, Dr. Marcus said the devices may be especially helpful for validating whether a person’s symptoms are actually caused by AFib.

“I have actually suggested to some of my patients that they run some of these experiments,” he said at a media briefing on I-STOP-AFib before his main presentation of the trial. The demonstration might help patients recognize that some perceived triggers actually do not induce AFib.

Allowing patients to determine on their own whether a substance indeed triggers their AFib “is an efficient use of these devices,” Dr. Marcus said. Such N-of-1 exploration of possible triggers “might help free patients up to enjoy substances – caffeine or coffee is one example – that they otherwise might not, and may help actually reassure them that certain exposures –like certain exercises, which can also be beneficial – might actually not be harmful.”

Dr. Marcus and the other authors on the report noted – as he did at the AHA sessions – that the study has several limitations, such as the subjectivity of self-reported AFib, dropouts from the trial that shrank the randomization arms, and a population that may not be very representative.

There is also the potential for detection bias in the group assigned to track their selected triggers, as Dr. Marcus and some observers have noted.

It follows that conscious avoidance of a potential AFib trigger might well lead to a reduction in AFib subjectively identified by symptoms, proposed David Conen, MD, MPH, Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont. But perhaps there would have been no reduction in AFib had it been objectively documented with the handheld ECG device, he said in an interview.

“If I were to redesign the study,” he said, “I think the primary endpoint should be confirmed atrial fibrillation, because we would have to show first that the specific trigger actually reduced objective AFib events before we then try to address the question whether reducing that trigger improves quality of life.”
 

Unrepresentative sample

The trial entered 446 overwhelmingly White and college-educated adults known to have symptomatic paroxysmal AFib who were “interested in testing a presumed AFib trigger they could readily introduce or withhold” and who owned a smartphone; the average age was 58 years, and 58% were men. The cohort was randomly assigned to the trigger-testing group or the control group, charged only with tracking their AFib.

Of the total, 320, or about 72%, completed the study; those who did not were mostly from the trigger-testing arm, leaving 136 in that group versus 184 patients in the control group.

Potential triggers that participants selected for tracking included, foremost, caffeine, alcohol, reduced sleep, and exercise, followed by lying on the left side, dehydration, large meals, and cold food or drink, the report noted.

Patients in the control group used the smartphone app and handheld ECG monitor (KardiaMobile, AliveCor) to document the duration and severity of AFib episodes daily and received data summary reports through the app weekly for 10 weeks. They then had the option to follow the trigger-testing protocol at least once.

Those in the trigger-testing group conducted their N-of-1 trials by exposing themselves to their chosen potential trigger during 3 separate weeks and avoiding the trigger during 3 other weeks, alternating each of the 6 weeks of trigger exposure or avoidance. They were instructed through the app to start the 6-week sequence with one or the other strategy randomly and to regularly track their AFib.

At the end of 6 weeks, each participant in the trigger-testing group had the opportunity to review their data for any potential trigger-AFib associations. They were then to use the next 4 weeks to enact lifestyle changes based on what they learned – as described in the report and on clinicaltrials.gov. They had the option of repeating the entire N-of-1 sequence at least one more time.

Participants in both the trigger-tracking and control arms were tested at baseline and at 10 weeks using the validated Atrial Fibrillation Effect on Quality-of-Life (AFEQT) questionnaire.

AFEQT scores didn’t change significantly over the 10 weeks in either arm, nor were they significantly different in one arm, compared with the other.

On the other hand, patients in the trigger-tracking arm reported significantly fewer daily AFib episodes during the final 4-week period of lifestyle changes based on their N-of-1 trial results, compared to the monitoring-only control group’s final 4 weeks.

The adjusted relative risk in the trigger-tracking arm was 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.83; P < .001), the difference driven by patients who selected alcohol, dehydration, or exercise for their trigger, Dr. Marcus reported.

Only alcohol intake emerged consistently as a significant predictor of risk for self-reported AFib episodes in a series of meta-analyses conducted using all of the individual N-of-1 trials that provided per-protocol data. The odds ratio was 1.77 (95% CI, 1.20-2.69).

I-STOP-AFib explored an important subject “that has been understudied,” Dr. Conen said. “The trial has some limitations that the authors address themselves, but hopefully it opens the path to future studies that can build upon this experience.”

Dr. Marcus reported receiving personal fees and equity interest from InCarda Therapeutics; personal fees from Johnson & Johnson; and grants from Baylis Medical, Medtronic, the National Institutes of Health, the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, and the California Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

People with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation who explored potential triggers of their arrhythmia, and used them to make lifestyle changes, went on to show a 40% decline in subjectively experienced bouts of AFib in a randomized trial with an unusual design.

American Heart Association

But the study didn’t provide evidence that the drop in self-reported AFib necessarily improved their quality of life, its primary endpoint. Nor was there any apparent relationship between potential triggers and AFib episodes detected less subjectively using a handheld electrocardiography monitor.

Although the study – called I-STOP-AFib – has limitations, its results jibe with alcohol intake’s increasingly appreciated status as a potential AFib trigger. It was alone among many possible triggers tested in showing a consistent association with self-reported AFib.

As a result, the study offers no support for such a link between the arrhythmia and caffeine intake, sleep deprivation, dehydration, exercise, or other conditions sometimes perceived as triggers, observed principal investigator Gregory M. Marcus, MD, MAS, University of California, San Francisco, when presenting results at the American Heart Association scientific sessions. He is also lead author on the study’s simultaneous publication in JAMA Cardiology.

The I-STOP-AFib trial was unusual in part for its virtual design, in which participants followed instructions and tracked AFib episodes – both perceived and detected by the handheld ECG device – through a smartphone application. It also featured an N-of-1 randomized comparisons of different weeks in which individuals were or were not exposed to their self-selected trigger.

Such patients following their own weekly personalized randomization were compared to an entirely separate randomized control arm of the trial, in which patients simply tracked any ECG-monitored and self-perceived AFib episodes.
 

Current use in patients

Although wearable and smartphone-based ECG recorders are increasingly popular for AFib screening, Dr. Marcus said the devices may be especially helpful for validating whether a person’s symptoms are actually caused by AFib.

“I have actually suggested to some of my patients that they run some of these experiments,” he said at a media briefing on I-STOP-AFib before his main presentation of the trial. The demonstration might help patients recognize that some perceived triggers actually do not induce AFib.

Allowing patients to determine on their own whether a substance indeed triggers their AFib “is an efficient use of these devices,” Dr. Marcus said. Such N-of-1 exploration of possible triggers “might help free patients up to enjoy substances – caffeine or coffee is one example – that they otherwise might not, and may help actually reassure them that certain exposures –like certain exercises, which can also be beneficial – might actually not be harmful.”

Dr. Marcus and the other authors on the report noted – as he did at the AHA sessions – that the study has several limitations, such as the subjectivity of self-reported AFib, dropouts from the trial that shrank the randomization arms, and a population that may not be very representative.

There is also the potential for detection bias in the group assigned to track their selected triggers, as Dr. Marcus and some observers have noted.

It follows that conscious avoidance of a potential AFib trigger might well lead to a reduction in AFib subjectively identified by symptoms, proposed David Conen, MD, MPH, Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont. But perhaps there would have been no reduction in AFib had it been objectively documented with the handheld ECG device, he said in an interview.

“If I were to redesign the study,” he said, “I think the primary endpoint should be confirmed atrial fibrillation, because we would have to show first that the specific trigger actually reduced objective AFib events before we then try to address the question whether reducing that trigger improves quality of life.”
 

Unrepresentative sample

The trial entered 446 overwhelmingly White and college-educated adults known to have symptomatic paroxysmal AFib who were “interested in testing a presumed AFib trigger they could readily introduce or withhold” and who owned a smartphone; the average age was 58 years, and 58% were men. The cohort was randomly assigned to the trigger-testing group or the control group, charged only with tracking their AFib.

Of the total, 320, or about 72%, completed the study; those who did not were mostly from the trigger-testing arm, leaving 136 in that group versus 184 patients in the control group.

Potential triggers that participants selected for tracking included, foremost, caffeine, alcohol, reduced sleep, and exercise, followed by lying on the left side, dehydration, large meals, and cold food or drink, the report noted.

Patients in the control group used the smartphone app and handheld ECG monitor (KardiaMobile, AliveCor) to document the duration and severity of AFib episodes daily and received data summary reports through the app weekly for 10 weeks. They then had the option to follow the trigger-testing protocol at least once.

Those in the trigger-testing group conducted their N-of-1 trials by exposing themselves to their chosen potential trigger during 3 separate weeks and avoiding the trigger during 3 other weeks, alternating each of the 6 weeks of trigger exposure or avoidance. They were instructed through the app to start the 6-week sequence with one or the other strategy randomly and to regularly track their AFib.

At the end of 6 weeks, each participant in the trigger-testing group had the opportunity to review their data for any potential trigger-AFib associations. They were then to use the next 4 weeks to enact lifestyle changes based on what they learned – as described in the report and on clinicaltrials.gov. They had the option of repeating the entire N-of-1 sequence at least one more time.

Participants in both the trigger-tracking and control arms were tested at baseline and at 10 weeks using the validated Atrial Fibrillation Effect on Quality-of-Life (AFEQT) questionnaire.

AFEQT scores didn’t change significantly over the 10 weeks in either arm, nor were they significantly different in one arm, compared with the other.

On the other hand, patients in the trigger-tracking arm reported significantly fewer daily AFib episodes during the final 4-week period of lifestyle changes based on their N-of-1 trial results, compared to the monitoring-only control group’s final 4 weeks.

The adjusted relative risk in the trigger-tracking arm was 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.83; P < .001), the difference driven by patients who selected alcohol, dehydration, or exercise for their trigger, Dr. Marcus reported.

Only alcohol intake emerged consistently as a significant predictor of risk for self-reported AFib episodes in a series of meta-analyses conducted using all of the individual N-of-1 trials that provided per-protocol data. The odds ratio was 1.77 (95% CI, 1.20-2.69).

I-STOP-AFib explored an important subject “that has been understudied,” Dr. Conen said. “The trial has some limitations that the authors address themselves, but hopefully it opens the path to future studies that can build upon this experience.”

Dr. Marcus reported receiving personal fees and equity interest from InCarda Therapeutics; personal fees from Johnson & Johnson; and grants from Baylis Medical, Medtronic, the National Institutes of Health, the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, and the California Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

People with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation who explored potential triggers of their arrhythmia, and used them to make lifestyle changes, went on to show a 40% decline in subjectively experienced bouts of AFib in a randomized trial with an unusual design.

American Heart Association

But the study didn’t provide evidence that the drop in self-reported AFib necessarily improved their quality of life, its primary endpoint. Nor was there any apparent relationship between potential triggers and AFib episodes detected less subjectively using a handheld electrocardiography monitor.

Although the study – called I-STOP-AFib – has limitations, its results jibe with alcohol intake’s increasingly appreciated status as a potential AFib trigger. It was alone among many possible triggers tested in showing a consistent association with self-reported AFib.

As a result, the study offers no support for such a link between the arrhythmia and caffeine intake, sleep deprivation, dehydration, exercise, or other conditions sometimes perceived as triggers, observed principal investigator Gregory M. Marcus, MD, MAS, University of California, San Francisco, when presenting results at the American Heart Association scientific sessions. He is also lead author on the study’s simultaneous publication in JAMA Cardiology.

The I-STOP-AFib trial was unusual in part for its virtual design, in which participants followed instructions and tracked AFib episodes – both perceived and detected by the handheld ECG device – through a smartphone application. It also featured an N-of-1 randomized comparisons of different weeks in which individuals were or were not exposed to their self-selected trigger.

Such patients following their own weekly personalized randomization were compared to an entirely separate randomized control arm of the trial, in which patients simply tracked any ECG-monitored and self-perceived AFib episodes.
 

Current use in patients

Although wearable and smartphone-based ECG recorders are increasingly popular for AFib screening, Dr. Marcus said the devices may be especially helpful for validating whether a person’s symptoms are actually caused by AFib.

“I have actually suggested to some of my patients that they run some of these experiments,” he said at a media briefing on I-STOP-AFib before his main presentation of the trial. The demonstration might help patients recognize that some perceived triggers actually do not induce AFib.

Allowing patients to determine on their own whether a substance indeed triggers their AFib “is an efficient use of these devices,” Dr. Marcus said. Such N-of-1 exploration of possible triggers “might help free patients up to enjoy substances – caffeine or coffee is one example – that they otherwise might not, and may help actually reassure them that certain exposures –like certain exercises, which can also be beneficial – might actually not be harmful.”

Dr. Marcus and the other authors on the report noted – as he did at the AHA sessions – that the study has several limitations, such as the subjectivity of self-reported AFib, dropouts from the trial that shrank the randomization arms, and a population that may not be very representative.

There is also the potential for detection bias in the group assigned to track their selected triggers, as Dr. Marcus and some observers have noted.

It follows that conscious avoidance of a potential AFib trigger might well lead to a reduction in AFib subjectively identified by symptoms, proposed David Conen, MD, MPH, Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont. But perhaps there would have been no reduction in AFib had it been objectively documented with the handheld ECG device, he said in an interview.

“If I were to redesign the study,” he said, “I think the primary endpoint should be confirmed atrial fibrillation, because we would have to show first that the specific trigger actually reduced objective AFib events before we then try to address the question whether reducing that trigger improves quality of life.”
 

Unrepresentative sample

The trial entered 446 overwhelmingly White and college-educated adults known to have symptomatic paroxysmal AFib who were “interested in testing a presumed AFib trigger they could readily introduce or withhold” and who owned a smartphone; the average age was 58 years, and 58% were men. The cohort was randomly assigned to the trigger-testing group or the control group, charged only with tracking their AFib.

Of the total, 320, or about 72%, completed the study; those who did not were mostly from the trigger-testing arm, leaving 136 in that group versus 184 patients in the control group.

Potential triggers that participants selected for tracking included, foremost, caffeine, alcohol, reduced sleep, and exercise, followed by lying on the left side, dehydration, large meals, and cold food or drink, the report noted.

Patients in the control group used the smartphone app and handheld ECG monitor (KardiaMobile, AliveCor) to document the duration and severity of AFib episodes daily and received data summary reports through the app weekly for 10 weeks. They then had the option to follow the trigger-testing protocol at least once.

Those in the trigger-testing group conducted their N-of-1 trials by exposing themselves to their chosen potential trigger during 3 separate weeks and avoiding the trigger during 3 other weeks, alternating each of the 6 weeks of trigger exposure or avoidance. They were instructed through the app to start the 6-week sequence with one or the other strategy randomly and to regularly track their AFib.

At the end of 6 weeks, each participant in the trigger-testing group had the opportunity to review their data for any potential trigger-AFib associations. They were then to use the next 4 weeks to enact lifestyle changes based on what they learned – as described in the report and on clinicaltrials.gov. They had the option of repeating the entire N-of-1 sequence at least one more time.

Participants in both the trigger-tracking and control arms were tested at baseline and at 10 weeks using the validated Atrial Fibrillation Effect on Quality-of-Life (AFEQT) questionnaire.

AFEQT scores didn’t change significantly over the 10 weeks in either arm, nor were they significantly different in one arm, compared with the other.

On the other hand, patients in the trigger-tracking arm reported significantly fewer daily AFib episodes during the final 4-week period of lifestyle changes based on their N-of-1 trial results, compared to the monitoring-only control group’s final 4 weeks.

The adjusted relative risk in the trigger-tracking arm was 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.83; P < .001), the difference driven by patients who selected alcohol, dehydration, or exercise for their trigger, Dr. Marcus reported.

Only alcohol intake emerged consistently as a significant predictor of risk for self-reported AFib episodes in a series of meta-analyses conducted using all of the individual N-of-1 trials that provided per-protocol data. The odds ratio was 1.77 (95% CI, 1.20-2.69).

I-STOP-AFib explored an important subject “that has been understudied,” Dr. Conen said. “The trial has some limitations that the authors address themselves, but hopefully it opens the path to future studies that can build upon this experience.”

Dr. Marcus reported receiving personal fees and equity interest from InCarda Therapeutics; personal fees from Johnson & Johnson; and grants from Baylis Medical, Medtronic, the National Institutes of Health, the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, and the California Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Higher intake of vegetable fats from foods such as olive oil and nuts is associated with a lower risk for stroke, whereas people who eat more animal fats, especially processed red meats, may have a higher stroke risk, observational findings suggest.

camij/thinkstockphotos.com

In a study of more than 117,000 health professionals who were followed for 27 years, those whose diet was in the highest quintile for intake of vegetable fat had a 12% lower risk for stroke, compared with those who consumed the least amount of vegetable fats.

Conversely, having the highest intake of animal fat from nondairy sources was associated with a 16% increased risk of stroke.

Fenglei Wang, PhD, presented these results at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

“Our findings support the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and dietary recommendations by AHA,” Dr. Wang, a postdoctoral fellow in the department of nutrition at Harvard University’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health in Boston, told this news organization.

“The main sources of vegetable fat have a large overlap with polyunsaturated fat, such as vegetable oils, nuts, walnuts, and peanut butter,” Dr. Wang noted, adding that fish, especially fatty fish, is a main source of polyunsaturated fat and is recommended for cardiovascular health.

“We would recommend that people reduce consumption of red and processed meat, minimize fatty parts of unprocessed meat if consumed, and replace lard or tallow (beef fat) with nontropical vegetable oils, such as olive oil, corn, or soybean oils in cooking, to lower their stroke risk,” she said.

Moreover, although the results from this study of dietary fat are informative, Dr. Wang continued, “there are other dietary factors (fruits, vegetables, salt, alcohol, et cetera), and lifestyle factors (physical activity, smoking, et cetera), that are associated with stroke risk and worthy of attention as well.”

“Many processed meats are high in salt and saturated fat, and low in vegetable fat,” Alice H. Lichtenstein, DSc, an AHA spokesperson who was not involved with this research, noted in a press release.

“Research shows that replacing processed meat with other protein sources, particularly plant sources, is associated with lower death rates,” added Dr. Lichtenstein, the Stanley N. Gershoff professor of nutrition science and policy at Tufts University in Boston, and lead author of the AHA’s 2021 scientific statement, Dietary Guidance to Improve Cardiovascular Health.

“Key features of a heart-healthy diet pattern,” she summarized, “are to balance calorie intake with calorie needs to achieve and maintain a healthy weight; choose whole grains, lean and plant-based protein, and a variety of fruits and vegetables; limit salt, sugar, animal fat, processed foods, and alcohol; and apply this guidance regardless of where the food is prepared or consumed.”
 

Replace processed meat with plant proteins

The focus on stroke in this study “is important” because, traditionally, studies of diet and cardiovascular health have focused on coronary heart disease, Andrew Mente, PhD, who also was not involved in this research, said in an email to this news organization.

“Overall, the take-home message from the study is that replacing processed meat with plant sources of protein in the diet is probably beneficial,” Dr. Mente, associate professor, health research methods, evidence, and impact, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., said.

The finding that people who ate the most vegetable fat had a modest 12% lower risk of stroke than those who ate the least vegetable fat “points to protective effects of foods like seeds, nuts, vegetables, and olive oil, which has been shown previously,” he continued.

The highest quintile of total red meat intake was associated with an 8% higher risk for stroke, but this was driven mainly by processed red meat (which was associated with a 12% higher risk for stroke). These findings are “generally consistent with cohort studies showing that processed meat, as with most highly processed foods for that matter, are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events,” Dr. Mente noted.

“Surprisingly, dairy products (such as cheese, butter, or milk) in the study were not connected with the risk of stroke,” he added. This finding differs from results of meta-analyses of multiple cohort studies of dairy intake and stroke and the recent large international PURE study, which showed that dairy intake was associated with a lower risk for stroke.

“What is needed to move the field forward,” according to Dr. Mente, “is to employ new methods that use cutting-edge technology to study nutritional biomarkers and health outcomes.”

“When dealing with modest associations as usually encountered in nutrition, it is a challenge to make causal connections based on dietary questionnaires, which are fraught with measurement error,” he added. “The use of novel methods is where the field is headed.”
 

Total dietary fat, different types, and different food sources

Dr. Wang and colleagues investigated how total dietary fat, different types of fat, and fats from different foods were associated with incident stroke in 73,867 women in the 1984-2016 Nurses’ Health Study and 43,269 men who participated in the 1986-2016 Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

The participants had an average age of 50 years, 63% were women, and 97% were White. They replied to food-frequency questionnaires every 4 years.

Total red meat included beef, pork, or lamb (as a main dish or in sandwiches or mixed dishes) as well as processed red meats (such as bacon, sausage, bologna, hot dogs, and salami).

Animal fat sources included meat, beef tallow, lard, and full-fat dairy products, such as full-fat milk and cheese.

The median percentage of total daily calories from different sources of fat ranged from 10% to 20% for vegetable fat, 3% to 10% for dairy fat, and 7% to 17% for nondairy animal fat (for lowest to highest quintiles).

The median percentage of total daily calories from different types of fat ranged from 5% to 8% for polyunsaturated fat, 4% to 7% for n-6 polyunsaturated fat, 9% to 15% for monounsaturated fat, 8% to 14% for saturated fat, and 1% to 2% for trans fat.

During follow-up, there were 6,189 incident strokes, including 2,967 ischemic strokes and 814 hemorrhagic strokes.

The researchers found that intake in the highest quintile of vegetable fat was associated with a lower risk for total stroke, compared with the lowest quintile (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.96; P for trend < .001).

Similarly, the highest intake of polyunsaturated fat was also associated with lower total stroke (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.96; P for trend = .002). 

Highest intake of nondairy animal fat, however, was associated with an increased risk for total stroke (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29; P for trend < .001). They observed “similar associations” for ischemic stroke, but the only positive association for nondairy animal fat was with hemorrhagic stroke, the abstract notes.   

The risk for stroke was lower by 9% per serving per day for vegetable oil but increased by 8% and 12%, respectively, per serving of total red meat or processed red meat.

The association for vegetable oil was attenuated after adjustment for vegetable fat or polyunsaturated fat, whereas adjustment for nondairy animal fat rendered the association for total red meat and processed red meat nonsignificant. 

The study was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health. Dr. Wang has no relevant financial disclosures. Dr. Mente has received research funding from the Dairy Farmers of Canada and the National Dairy Council to analyze data on dairy consumption and health outcomes in the PURE study, which is funded by the Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences Research Institute, and more than 70 other sources (government and pharmaceutical).

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Higher intake of vegetable fats from foods such as olive oil and nuts is associated with a lower risk for stroke, whereas people who eat more animal fats, especially processed red meats, may have a higher stroke risk, observational findings suggest.

camij/thinkstockphotos.com

In a study of more than 117,000 health professionals who were followed for 27 years, those whose diet was in the highest quintile for intake of vegetable fat had a 12% lower risk for stroke, compared with those who consumed the least amount of vegetable fats.

Conversely, having the highest intake of animal fat from nondairy sources was associated with a 16% increased risk of stroke.

Fenglei Wang, PhD, presented these results at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

“Our findings support the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and dietary recommendations by AHA,” Dr. Wang, a postdoctoral fellow in the department of nutrition at Harvard University’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health in Boston, told this news organization.

“The main sources of vegetable fat have a large overlap with polyunsaturated fat, such as vegetable oils, nuts, walnuts, and peanut butter,” Dr. Wang noted, adding that fish, especially fatty fish, is a main source of polyunsaturated fat and is recommended for cardiovascular health.

“We would recommend that people reduce consumption of red and processed meat, minimize fatty parts of unprocessed meat if consumed, and replace lard or tallow (beef fat) with nontropical vegetable oils, such as olive oil, corn, or soybean oils in cooking, to lower their stroke risk,” she said.

Moreover, although the results from this study of dietary fat are informative, Dr. Wang continued, “there are other dietary factors (fruits, vegetables, salt, alcohol, et cetera), and lifestyle factors (physical activity, smoking, et cetera), that are associated with stroke risk and worthy of attention as well.”

“Many processed meats are high in salt and saturated fat, and low in vegetable fat,” Alice H. Lichtenstein, DSc, an AHA spokesperson who was not involved with this research, noted in a press release.

“Research shows that replacing processed meat with other protein sources, particularly plant sources, is associated with lower death rates,” added Dr. Lichtenstein, the Stanley N. Gershoff professor of nutrition science and policy at Tufts University in Boston, and lead author of the AHA’s 2021 scientific statement, Dietary Guidance to Improve Cardiovascular Health.

“Key features of a heart-healthy diet pattern,” she summarized, “are to balance calorie intake with calorie needs to achieve and maintain a healthy weight; choose whole grains, lean and plant-based protein, and a variety of fruits and vegetables; limit salt, sugar, animal fat, processed foods, and alcohol; and apply this guidance regardless of where the food is prepared or consumed.”
 

Replace processed meat with plant proteins

The focus on stroke in this study “is important” because, traditionally, studies of diet and cardiovascular health have focused on coronary heart disease, Andrew Mente, PhD, who also was not involved in this research, said in an email to this news organization.

“Overall, the take-home message from the study is that replacing processed meat with plant sources of protein in the diet is probably beneficial,” Dr. Mente, associate professor, health research methods, evidence, and impact, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., said.

The finding that people who ate the most vegetable fat had a modest 12% lower risk of stroke than those who ate the least vegetable fat “points to protective effects of foods like seeds, nuts, vegetables, and olive oil, which has been shown previously,” he continued.

The highest quintile of total red meat intake was associated with an 8% higher risk for stroke, but this was driven mainly by processed red meat (which was associated with a 12% higher risk for stroke). These findings are “generally consistent with cohort studies showing that processed meat, as with most highly processed foods for that matter, are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events,” Dr. Mente noted.

“Surprisingly, dairy products (such as cheese, butter, or milk) in the study were not connected with the risk of stroke,” he added. This finding differs from results of meta-analyses of multiple cohort studies of dairy intake and stroke and the recent large international PURE study, which showed that dairy intake was associated with a lower risk for stroke.

“What is needed to move the field forward,” according to Dr. Mente, “is to employ new methods that use cutting-edge technology to study nutritional biomarkers and health outcomes.”

“When dealing with modest associations as usually encountered in nutrition, it is a challenge to make causal connections based on dietary questionnaires, which are fraught with measurement error,” he added. “The use of novel methods is where the field is headed.”
 

Total dietary fat, different types, and different food sources

Dr. Wang and colleagues investigated how total dietary fat, different types of fat, and fats from different foods were associated with incident stroke in 73,867 women in the 1984-2016 Nurses’ Health Study and 43,269 men who participated in the 1986-2016 Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

The participants had an average age of 50 years, 63% were women, and 97% were White. They replied to food-frequency questionnaires every 4 years.

Total red meat included beef, pork, or lamb (as a main dish or in sandwiches or mixed dishes) as well as processed red meats (such as bacon, sausage, bologna, hot dogs, and salami).

Animal fat sources included meat, beef tallow, lard, and full-fat dairy products, such as full-fat milk and cheese.

The median percentage of total daily calories from different sources of fat ranged from 10% to 20% for vegetable fat, 3% to 10% for dairy fat, and 7% to 17% for nondairy animal fat (for lowest to highest quintiles).

The median percentage of total daily calories from different types of fat ranged from 5% to 8% for polyunsaturated fat, 4% to 7% for n-6 polyunsaturated fat, 9% to 15% for monounsaturated fat, 8% to 14% for saturated fat, and 1% to 2% for trans fat.

During follow-up, there were 6,189 incident strokes, including 2,967 ischemic strokes and 814 hemorrhagic strokes.

The researchers found that intake in the highest quintile of vegetable fat was associated with a lower risk for total stroke, compared with the lowest quintile (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.96; P for trend < .001).

Similarly, the highest intake of polyunsaturated fat was also associated with lower total stroke (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.96; P for trend = .002). 

Highest intake of nondairy animal fat, however, was associated with an increased risk for total stroke (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29; P for trend < .001). They observed “similar associations” for ischemic stroke, but the only positive association for nondairy animal fat was with hemorrhagic stroke, the abstract notes.   

The risk for stroke was lower by 9% per serving per day for vegetable oil but increased by 8% and 12%, respectively, per serving of total red meat or processed red meat.

The association for vegetable oil was attenuated after adjustment for vegetable fat or polyunsaturated fat, whereas adjustment for nondairy animal fat rendered the association for total red meat and processed red meat nonsignificant. 

The study was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health. Dr. Wang has no relevant financial disclosures. Dr. Mente has received research funding from the Dairy Farmers of Canada and the National Dairy Council to analyze data on dairy consumption and health outcomes in the PURE study, which is funded by the Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences Research Institute, and more than 70 other sources (government and pharmaceutical).

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Higher intake of vegetable fats from foods such as olive oil and nuts is associated with a lower risk for stroke, whereas people who eat more animal fats, especially processed red meats, may have a higher stroke risk, observational findings suggest.

camij/thinkstockphotos.com

In a study of more than 117,000 health professionals who were followed for 27 years, those whose diet was in the highest quintile for intake of vegetable fat had a 12% lower risk for stroke, compared with those who consumed the least amount of vegetable fats.

Conversely, having the highest intake of animal fat from nondairy sources was associated with a 16% increased risk of stroke.

Fenglei Wang, PhD, presented these results at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

“Our findings support the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and dietary recommendations by AHA,” Dr. Wang, a postdoctoral fellow in the department of nutrition at Harvard University’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health in Boston, told this news organization.

“The main sources of vegetable fat have a large overlap with polyunsaturated fat, such as vegetable oils, nuts, walnuts, and peanut butter,” Dr. Wang noted, adding that fish, especially fatty fish, is a main source of polyunsaturated fat and is recommended for cardiovascular health.

“We would recommend that people reduce consumption of red and processed meat, minimize fatty parts of unprocessed meat if consumed, and replace lard or tallow (beef fat) with nontropical vegetable oils, such as olive oil, corn, or soybean oils in cooking, to lower their stroke risk,” she said.

Moreover, although the results from this study of dietary fat are informative, Dr. Wang continued, “there are other dietary factors (fruits, vegetables, salt, alcohol, et cetera), and lifestyle factors (physical activity, smoking, et cetera), that are associated with stroke risk and worthy of attention as well.”

“Many processed meats are high in salt and saturated fat, and low in vegetable fat,” Alice H. Lichtenstein, DSc, an AHA spokesperson who was not involved with this research, noted in a press release.

“Research shows that replacing processed meat with other protein sources, particularly plant sources, is associated with lower death rates,” added Dr. Lichtenstein, the Stanley N. Gershoff professor of nutrition science and policy at Tufts University in Boston, and lead author of the AHA’s 2021 scientific statement, Dietary Guidance to Improve Cardiovascular Health.

“Key features of a heart-healthy diet pattern,” she summarized, “are to balance calorie intake with calorie needs to achieve and maintain a healthy weight; choose whole grains, lean and plant-based protein, and a variety of fruits and vegetables; limit salt, sugar, animal fat, processed foods, and alcohol; and apply this guidance regardless of where the food is prepared or consumed.”
 

Replace processed meat with plant proteins

The focus on stroke in this study “is important” because, traditionally, studies of diet and cardiovascular health have focused on coronary heart disease, Andrew Mente, PhD, who also was not involved in this research, said in an email to this news organization.

“Overall, the take-home message from the study is that replacing processed meat with plant sources of protein in the diet is probably beneficial,” Dr. Mente, associate professor, health research methods, evidence, and impact, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., said.

The finding that people who ate the most vegetable fat had a modest 12% lower risk of stroke than those who ate the least vegetable fat “points to protective effects of foods like seeds, nuts, vegetables, and olive oil, which has been shown previously,” he continued.

The highest quintile of total red meat intake was associated with an 8% higher risk for stroke, but this was driven mainly by processed red meat (which was associated with a 12% higher risk for stroke). These findings are “generally consistent with cohort studies showing that processed meat, as with most highly processed foods for that matter, are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events,” Dr. Mente noted.

“Surprisingly, dairy products (such as cheese, butter, or milk) in the study were not connected with the risk of stroke,” he added. This finding differs from results of meta-analyses of multiple cohort studies of dairy intake and stroke and the recent large international PURE study, which showed that dairy intake was associated with a lower risk for stroke.

“What is needed to move the field forward,” according to Dr. Mente, “is to employ new methods that use cutting-edge technology to study nutritional biomarkers and health outcomes.”

“When dealing with modest associations as usually encountered in nutrition, it is a challenge to make causal connections based on dietary questionnaires, which are fraught with measurement error,” he added. “The use of novel methods is where the field is headed.”
 

Total dietary fat, different types, and different food sources

Dr. Wang and colleagues investigated how total dietary fat, different types of fat, and fats from different foods were associated with incident stroke in 73,867 women in the 1984-2016 Nurses’ Health Study and 43,269 men who participated in the 1986-2016 Health Professionals Follow-up Study.

The participants had an average age of 50 years, 63% were women, and 97% were White. They replied to food-frequency questionnaires every 4 years.

Total red meat included beef, pork, or lamb (as a main dish or in sandwiches or mixed dishes) as well as processed red meats (such as bacon, sausage, bologna, hot dogs, and salami).

Animal fat sources included meat, beef tallow, lard, and full-fat dairy products, such as full-fat milk and cheese.

The median percentage of total daily calories from different sources of fat ranged from 10% to 20% for vegetable fat, 3% to 10% for dairy fat, and 7% to 17% for nondairy animal fat (for lowest to highest quintiles).

The median percentage of total daily calories from different types of fat ranged from 5% to 8% for polyunsaturated fat, 4% to 7% for n-6 polyunsaturated fat, 9% to 15% for monounsaturated fat, 8% to 14% for saturated fat, and 1% to 2% for trans fat.

During follow-up, there were 6,189 incident strokes, including 2,967 ischemic strokes and 814 hemorrhagic strokes.

The researchers found that intake in the highest quintile of vegetable fat was associated with a lower risk for total stroke, compared with the lowest quintile (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.96; P for trend < .001).

Similarly, the highest intake of polyunsaturated fat was also associated with lower total stroke (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.96; P for trend = .002). 

Highest intake of nondairy animal fat, however, was associated with an increased risk for total stroke (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29; P for trend < .001). They observed “similar associations” for ischemic stroke, but the only positive association for nondairy animal fat was with hemorrhagic stroke, the abstract notes.   

The risk for stroke was lower by 9% per serving per day for vegetable oil but increased by 8% and 12%, respectively, per serving of total red meat or processed red meat.

The association for vegetable oil was attenuated after adjustment for vegetable fat or polyunsaturated fat, whereas adjustment for nondairy animal fat rendered the association for total red meat and processed red meat nonsignificant. 

The study was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health. Dr. Wang has no relevant financial disclosures. Dr. Mente has received research funding from the Dairy Farmers of Canada and the National Dairy Council to analyze data on dairy consumption and health outcomes in the PURE study, which is funded by the Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences Research Institute, and more than 70 other sources (government and pharmaceutical).

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A novel trial using real-time monitoring found that drinking coffee did not increase atrial arrhythmias but was associated with more premature ventricular contractions.

S_Bachstroem/Getty Images

There was no increase in premature atrial contractions (PACs) or supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) with coffee consumption, and, in fact, there was less SVT in per protocol analyses.

Coffee consumption was also linked to a “clinically meaningful increase in physical activity as well as a clinically meaningful reduction in sleep,” coprincipal investigator Gregory M. Marcus, MD, of the University of California, San Francisco, reported at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

Although some professional society guidelines warn against caffeine consumption to avoid arrhythmias, he noted that the data have been mixed and that growing evidence suggests coffee consumption may actually lower the risk for arrhythmias, diabetes, and even mortality. The exact relationship has been hard to prove, however, as most coffee studies are observational and rely on self-report.

The Coffee and Real-time Atrial and Ventricular Ectopy (CRAVE) trial took advantage of digital health tools to examine the effect of caffeine consumption on cardiac ectopy burden in 100 healthy volunteers using an N-of-1 design. The primary outcomes were daily PAC and premature ventricular contraction (PVC) counts.

Participants consumed as much coffee as they wanted for 1 day and avoided all caffeine the next, alternating the assignment in 2-day blocks over 2 weeks. They used a smartphone app to receive daily coffee assignments and reminders and wore a continuous recording electrocardiography monitor (ZioPatch, iRhythm Technologies); a continuous glucose monitor (Dexcom); and Fitbit Flex 2, which recorded step counts and sleep duration.

At baseline, 21% of participants drank six to seven cups of coffee per month, 29% drank one cup per day, 21% drank two to three cups per day, and 3% drank four to five cups per day. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has cited 400 mg per day, or about four or five cups of coffee, as generally safe for healthy adults.

To assess adherence, participants were asked to press the button on the ZioPatch for every coffee drink and were queried daily regarding actual coffee consumption the previous day. Date-stamped receipts for coffee purchases were reimbursed, and smartphone geolocation was used to track coffee shop visits. The great majority of times, participants followed their assignment by all measures, Dr. Marcus said.

ITT and per protocol analyses

ZioPatch data collected over a median of 13.3 days showed a daily median of 12.8 PACs, 7.5 PVCs, 1 nonsustained SVT, and 1 nonsustained ventricular tachycardia.

In intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses, there was no evidence of a relationship between coffee consumption and daily PAC counts (RR, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.20; P = .10).

In contrast, participants had an average of 54% more PVCs on days randomized to coffee by ITT (RR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.19-2.00; P = .001), and, per protocol, those consuming more than two cups of coffee per day had a doubling of PVCs (RR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.24-3.92; P = .007).

No relationship was observed with coffee consumption and SVT episodes in ITT analyses (RR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.69-1.03; P = .10), but, per protocol, every additional coffee drink consumed in real time was associated with a 12% lower risk for an SVT episode (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.99; P = .028).

No significant relationships were observed with VT episodes, which were admittedly rare, Dr. Marcus said.

In ITT analyses that adjusted for day of the week, participants took an average of 1,058 more steps on days they drank coffee (95% CI, 441-1,675 steps; P = .001) but slept 36 fewer minutes (95% CI, 22-50 minutes; P < .001).

Per protocol, every additional coffee drink was associated with 587 more steps per day (95% CI, 355-820 steps; P < .001) and 18 fewer minutes of sleep (95% CI, 13-23 minutes; P < .001).

No significant differences in glucose levels were observed. Genetic analyses revealed two significant interactions: fast coffee metabolizers had a heightened risk for PVCs and slow metabolizers experienced more sleep deprivation, Dr. Marcus said.

Typical patients?

Dedicated discussant Sana Al-Khatib, MD, MHS, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, N.C., said CRAVE is a “well-conducted and informative trial” that very nicely and effectively used a digital health platform.

She pointed out, however, that the trial enrolled healthy volunteers who not only owned a smartphone but were able to interact with the study team using it. They also had an average age of 38 years, median body mass index of 24 kg/m², and no prior arrhythmias or cardiovascular issues. “These are not representative of the average patient that we see in clinical practice.”

“The other thing to keep in mind is that the primary outcome that they looked at, while relevant, is not adequate in my view to help us derive definitive conclusions about how coffee consumption affects clinically meaningful arrhythmias,” Dr. Al-Khatib said. “Yes, PACs trigger atrial fibrillation, but they don’t do so in every patient. And PVCs have been shown to be associated with increased mortality as well as worsened cardiovascular outcomes, but that’s mostly in patients with structural heart disease.”

She praised the investigators for including genetic data in their analysis. “Whether the results related to physical activity and sleep translate into any major effect on clinical outcomes deserves a study.”

The overall findings need to be replicated by other groups, in other populations, and examine hard outcomes over longer follow-up, concluded Dr. Al-Khatib.

Speaking to this news organization, Dr. Marcus countered that the participants were “pretty run of the mill” coffee drinkers of all ages and that the study highlights the complexity of coffee consumption as well as providing unique data inferring causality regarding increasing physical activity.

“Because coffee is so commonly consumed, highlighting the actual effects is important, and the hope is that understanding those true causal effects and minimizing confounding will help tailor recommendations regarding coffee consumption,” he said. “For those concerned about atrial fibrillation, for example, these data suggest that avoiding coffee does not necessarily make sense to reduce the risk of atrial fibrillation. For those with ventricular arrhythmias, abstinence or minimizing coffee may be a worthwhile experiment.”

Kalyanam Shivkumar, MD, PhD, director of the cardiac arrhythmia center at the University of California, Los Angeles, told this news organization that CRAVE is an important and much-needed study that provides reassuring and objective data for a common clinical question.

“It fits in with the emerging consensus that, in itself, coffee is not problematic,” he said. “And it provides a nice framework for what we’ll be seeing in the future – more studies that use these types of long ECG recordings and interlinking that data with biological readouts.”

Although it is too early to draw any conclusions regarding the genetic analyses, “future studies could use this as a baseline to further explore what happens between fast and slow metabolizers. This is a very useful stepping stone to putting data in context for an individual patient.”

Unless coffee consumption is excessive, such as over five cups per day in young people, all of the evidence points to coffee and caffeine being safe, Chip Lavie, MD, a frequent coffee researcher and medical director of cardiac rehabilitation and prevention at John Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute, New Orleans, told this news organization.

“The benefits of coffee on physical activity/sleep seem to outweigh the risks as this current study suggests,” he said. “This study also supports the safety with regards to atrial arrhythmias, and suggests that those with symptomatic PVCs could try reducing coffee to see if they feel better. In total, however, the benefits of one or several cups of coffee per day on cardiovascular disease outweigh the risks.”

The study was funded by the University of California, San Francisco. Dr. Marcus reports research with the National Institutes of Health, the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program, Medtronic, Eight Sleep, and Baylis; consulting for InCarda Therapeutics and Johnson & Johnson; and equity in InCarda Therapeutics as cofounder.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A novel trial using real-time monitoring found that drinking coffee did not increase atrial arrhythmias but was associated with more premature ventricular contractions.

S_Bachstroem/Getty Images

There was no increase in premature atrial contractions (PACs) or supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) with coffee consumption, and, in fact, there was less SVT in per protocol analyses.

Coffee consumption was also linked to a “clinically meaningful increase in physical activity as well as a clinically meaningful reduction in sleep,” coprincipal investigator Gregory M. Marcus, MD, of the University of California, San Francisco, reported at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

Although some professional society guidelines warn against caffeine consumption to avoid arrhythmias, he noted that the data have been mixed and that growing evidence suggests coffee consumption may actually lower the risk for arrhythmias, diabetes, and even mortality. The exact relationship has been hard to prove, however, as most coffee studies are observational and rely on self-report.

The Coffee and Real-time Atrial and Ventricular Ectopy (CRAVE) trial took advantage of digital health tools to examine the effect of caffeine consumption on cardiac ectopy burden in 100 healthy volunteers using an N-of-1 design. The primary outcomes were daily PAC and premature ventricular contraction (PVC) counts.

Participants consumed as much coffee as they wanted for 1 day and avoided all caffeine the next, alternating the assignment in 2-day blocks over 2 weeks. They used a smartphone app to receive daily coffee assignments and reminders and wore a continuous recording electrocardiography monitor (ZioPatch, iRhythm Technologies); a continuous glucose monitor (Dexcom); and Fitbit Flex 2, which recorded step counts and sleep duration.

At baseline, 21% of participants drank six to seven cups of coffee per month, 29% drank one cup per day, 21% drank two to three cups per day, and 3% drank four to five cups per day. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has cited 400 mg per day, or about four or five cups of coffee, as generally safe for healthy adults.

To assess adherence, participants were asked to press the button on the ZioPatch for every coffee drink and were queried daily regarding actual coffee consumption the previous day. Date-stamped receipts for coffee purchases were reimbursed, and smartphone geolocation was used to track coffee shop visits. The great majority of times, participants followed their assignment by all measures, Dr. Marcus said.

ITT and per protocol analyses

ZioPatch data collected over a median of 13.3 days showed a daily median of 12.8 PACs, 7.5 PVCs, 1 nonsustained SVT, and 1 nonsustained ventricular tachycardia.

In intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses, there was no evidence of a relationship between coffee consumption and daily PAC counts (RR, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.20; P = .10).

In contrast, participants had an average of 54% more PVCs on days randomized to coffee by ITT (RR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.19-2.00; P = .001), and, per protocol, those consuming more than two cups of coffee per day had a doubling of PVCs (RR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.24-3.92; P = .007).

No relationship was observed with coffee consumption and SVT episodes in ITT analyses (RR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.69-1.03; P = .10), but, per protocol, every additional coffee drink consumed in real time was associated with a 12% lower risk for an SVT episode (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.99; P = .028).

No significant relationships were observed with VT episodes, which were admittedly rare, Dr. Marcus said.

In ITT analyses that adjusted for day of the week, participants took an average of 1,058 more steps on days they drank coffee (95% CI, 441-1,675 steps; P = .001) but slept 36 fewer minutes (95% CI, 22-50 minutes; P < .001).

Per protocol, every additional coffee drink was associated with 587 more steps per day (95% CI, 355-820 steps; P < .001) and 18 fewer minutes of sleep (95% CI, 13-23 minutes; P < .001).

No significant differences in glucose levels were observed. Genetic analyses revealed two significant interactions: fast coffee metabolizers had a heightened risk for PVCs and slow metabolizers experienced more sleep deprivation, Dr. Marcus said.

Typical patients?

Dedicated discussant Sana Al-Khatib, MD, MHS, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, N.C., said CRAVE is a “well-conducted and informative trial” that very nicely and effectively used a digital health platform.

She pointed out, however, that the trial enrolled healthy volunteers who not only owned a smartphone but were able to interact with the study team using it. They also had an average age of 38 years, median body mass index of 24 kg/m², and no prior arrhythmias or cardiovascular issues. “These are not representative of the average patient that we see in clinical practice.”

“The other thing to keep in mind is that the primary outcome that they looked at, while relevant, is not adequate in my view to help us derive definitive conclusions about how coffee consumption affects clinically meaningful arrhythmias,” Dr. Al-Khatib said. “Yes, PACs trigger atrial fibrillation, but they don’t do so in every patient. And PVCs have been shown to be associated with increased mortality as well as worsened cardiovascular outcomes, but that’s mostly in patients with structural heart disease.”

She praised the investigators for including genetic data in their analysis. “Whether the results related to physical activity and sleep translate into any major effect on clinical outcomes deserves a study.”

The overall findings need to be replicated by other groups, in other populations, and examine hard outcomes over longer follow-up, concluded Dr. Al-Khatib.

Speaking to this news organization, Dr. Marcus countered that the participants were “pretty run of the mill” coffee drinkers of all ages and that the study highlights the complexity of coffee consumption as well as providing unique data inferring causality regarding increasing physical activity.

“Because coffee is so commonly consumed, highlighting the actual effects is important, and the hope is that understanding those true causal effects and minimizing confounding will help tailor recommendations regarding coffee consumption,” he said. “For those concerned about atrial fibrillation, for example, these data suggest that avoiding coffee does not necessarily make sense to reduce the risk of atrial fibrillation. For those with ventricular arrhythmias, abstinence or minimizing coffee may be a worthwhile experiment.”

Kalyanam Shivkumar, MD, PhD, director of the cardiac arrhythmia center at the University of California, Los Angeles, told this news organization that CRAVE is an important and much-needed study that provides reassuring and objective data for a common clinical question.

“It fits in with the emerging consensus that, in itself, coffee is not problematic,” he said. “And it provides a nice framework for what we’ll be seeing in the future – more studies that use these types of long ECG recordings and interlinking that data with biological readouts.”

Although it is too early to draw any conclusions regarding the genetic analyses, “future studies could use this as a baseline to further explore what happens between fast and slow metabolizers. This is a very useful stepping stone to putting data in context for an individual patient.”

Unless coffee consumption is excessive, such as over five cups per day in young people, all of the evidence points to coffee and caffeine being safe, Chip Lavie, MD, a frequent coffee researcher and medical director of cardiac rehabilitation and prevention at John Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute, New Orleans, told this news organization.

“The benefits of coffee on physical activity/sleep seem to outweigh the risks as this current study suggests,” he said. “This study also supports the safety with regards to atrial arrhythmias, and suggests that those with symptomatic PVCs could try reducing coffee to see if they feel better. In total, however, the benefits of one or several cups of coffee per day on cardiovascular disease outweigh the risks.”

The study was funded by the University of California, San Francisco. Dr. Marcus reports research with the National Institutes of Health, the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program, Medtronic, Eight Sleep, and Baylis; consulting for InCarda Therapeutics and Johnson & Johnson; and equity in InCarda Therapeutics as cofounder.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A novel trial using real-time monitoring found that drinking coffee did not increase atrial arrhythmias but was associated with more premature ventricular contractions.

S_Bachstroem/Getty Images

There was no increase in premature atrial contractions (PACs) or supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) with coffee consumption, and, in fact, there was less SVT in per protocol analyses.

Coffee consumption was also linked to a “clinically meaningful increase in physical activity as well as a clinically meaningful reduction in sleep,” coprincipal investigator Gregory M. Marcus, MD, of the University of California, San Francisco, reported at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

Although some professional society guidelines warn against caffeine consumption to avoid arrhythmias, he noted that the data have been mixed and that growing evidence suggests coffee consumption may actually lower the risk for arrhythmias, diabetes, and even mortality. The exact relationship has been hard to prove, however, as most coffee studies are observational and rely on self-report.

The Coffee and Real-time Atrial and Ventricular Ectopy (CRAVE) trial took advantage of digital health tools to examine the effect of caffeine consumption on cardiac ectopy burden in 100 healthy volunteers using an N-of-1 design. The primary outcomes were daily PAC and premature ventricular contraction (PVC) counts.

Participants consumed as much coffee as they wanted for 1 day and avoided all caffeine the next, alternating the assignment in 2-day blocks over 2 weeks. They used a smartphone app to receive daily coffee assignments and reminders and wore a continuous recording electrocardiography monitor (ZioPatch, iRhythm Technologies); a continuous glucose monitor (Dexcom); and Fitbit Flex 2, which recorded step counts and sleep duration.

At baseline, 21% of participants drank six to seven cups of coffee per month, 29% drank one cup per day, 21% drank two to three cups per day, and 3% drank four to five cups per day. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has cited 400 mg per day, or about four or five cups of coffee, as generally safe for healthy adults.

To assess adherence, participants were asked to press the button on the ZioPatch for every coffee drink and were queried daily regarding actual coffee consumption the previous day. Date-stamped receipts for coffee purchases were reimbursed, and smartphone geolocation was used to track coffee shop visits. The great majority of times, participants followed their assignment by all measures, Dr. Marcus said.

ITT and per protocol analyses

ZioPatch data collected over a median of 13.3 days showed a daily median of 12.8 PACs, 7.5 PVCs, 1 nonsustained SVT, and 1 nonsustained ventricular tachycardia.

In intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses, there was no evidence of a relationship between coffee consumption and daily PAC counts (RR, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.20; P = .10).

In contrast, participants had an average of 54% more PVCs on days randomized to coffee by ITT (RR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.19-2.00; P = .001), and, per protocol, those consuming more than two cups of coffee per day had a doubling of PVCs (RR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.24-3.92; P = .007).

No relationship was observed with coffee consumption and SVT episodes in ITT analyses (RR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.69-1.03; P = .10), but, per protocol, every additional coffee drink consumed in real time was associated with a 12% lower risk for an SVT episode (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.99; P = .028).

No significant relationships were observed with VT episodes, which were admittedly rare, Dr. Marcus said.

In ITT analyses that adjusted for day of the week, participants took an average of 1,058 more steps on days they drank coffee (95% CI, 441-1,675 steps; P = .001) but slept 36 fewer minutes (95% CI, 22-50 minutes; P < .001).

Per protocol, every additional coffee drink was associated with 587 more steps per day (95% CI, 355-820 steps; P < .001) and 18 fewer minutes of sleep (95% CI, 13-23 minutes; P < .001).

No significant differences in glucose levels were observed. Genetic analyses revealed two significant interactions: fast coffee metabolizers had a heightened risk for PVCs and slow metabolizers experienced more sleep deprivation, Dr. Marcus said.

Typical patients?

Dedicated discussant Sana Al-Khatib, MD, MHS, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, N.C., said CRAVE is a “well-conducted and informative trial” that very nicely and effectively used a digital health platform.

She pointed out, however, that the trial enrolled healthy volunteers who not only owned a smartphone but were able to interact with the study team using it. They also had an average age of 38 years, median body mass index of 24 kg/m², and no prior arrhythmias or cardiovascular issues. “These are not representative of the average patient that we see in clinical practice.”

“The other thing to keep in mind is that the primary outcome that they looked at, while relevant, is not adequate in my view to help us derive definitive conclusions about how coffee consumption affects clinically meaningful arrhythmias,” Dr. Al-Khatib said. “Yes, PACs trigger atrial fibrillation, but they don’t do so in every patient. And PVCs have been shown to be associated with increased mortality as well as worsened cardiovascular outcomes, but that’s mostly in patients with structural heart disease.”

She praised the investigators for including genetic data in their analysis. “Whether the results related to physical activity and sleep translate into any major effect on clinical outcomes deserves a study.”

The overall findings need to be replicated by other groups, in other populations, and examine hard outcomes over longer follow-up, concluded Dr. Al-Khatib.

Speaking to this news organization, Dr. Marcus countered that the participants were “pretty run of the mill” coffee drinkers of all ages and that the study highlights the complexity of coffee consumption as well as providing unique data inferring causality regarding increasing physical activity.

“Because coffee is so commonly consumed, highlighting the actual effects is important, and the hope is that understanding those true causal effects and minimizing confounding will help tailor recommendations regarding coffee consumption,” he said. “For those concerned about atrial fibrillation, for example, these data suggest that avoiding coffee does not necessarily make sense to reduce the risk of atrial fibrillation. For those with ventricular arrhythmias, abstinence or minimizing coffee may be a worthwhile experiment.”

Kalyanam Shivkumar, MD, PhD, director of the cardiac arrhythmia center at the University of California, Los Angeles, told this news organization that CRAVE is an important and much-needed study that provides reassuring and objective data for a common clinical question.

“It fits in with the emerging consensus that, in itself, coffee is not problematic,” he said. “And it provides a nice framework for what we’ll be seeing in the future – more studies that use these types of long ECG recordings and interlinking that data with biological readouts.”

Although it is too early to draw any conclusions regarding the genetic analyses, “future studies could use this as a baseline to further explore what happens between fast and slow metabolizers. This is a very useful stepping stone to putting data in context for an individual patient.”

Unless coffee consumption is excessive, such as over five cups per day in young people, all of the evidence points to coffee and caffeine being safe, Chip Lavie, MD, a frequent coffee researcher and medical director of cardiac rehabilitation and prevention at John Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute, New Orleans, told this news organization.

“The benefits of coffee on physical activity/sleep seem to outweigh the risks as this current study suggests,” he said. “This study also supports the safety with regards to atrial arrhythmias, and suggests that those with symptomatic PVCs could try reducing coffee to see if they feel better. In total, however, the benefits of one or several cups of coffee per day on cardiovascular disease outweigh the risks.”

The study was funded by the University of California, San Francisco. Dr. Marcus reports research with the National Institutes of Health, the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, Tobacco-Related Disease Research Program, Medtronic, Eight Sleep, and Baylis; consulting for InCarda Therapeutics and Johnson & Johnson; and equity in InCarda Therapeutics as cofounder.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

In patients treated for persistent atrial fibrillation (AFib) with pulmonary vein antral isolation (PVAI), there was a numerical but not a statistical advantage for adjunctive left atrial appendage (LAA) ligation in a multicenter randomized trial.

SilkenOne/Thinkstock.com

The study, called aMAZE, was conducted with the LARIAT LAA (AtriCure) ligation system. AtriCure announced in August that the primary efficacy endpoint was not met; the full results were presented Nov. 14 at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

Exploratory analyses suggested that some subgroups might benefit, but the overall 4.3% advantage provided by adjunctive LAA ligation for freedom from atrial arrhythmias (AA) at 12 months “did not meet predefined criteria for superiority,” according to coprincipal investigator David J. Wilber, MD.

Based on evidence that the LAA contributes substrate for generation of persistent AFib, the hypothesis of the study was that LAA ligation would improve on long-term rhythm control achieved with PVAI alone, which Dr. Wilber noted is currently suboptimal. The LARIAT device is deployed percutaneously into the LAA sac, where it seals off the opening to the left atrium, potentially blocking a pathway for rhythm disturbances.

The study randomized 610 patients at 53 sites in the United States in a 2:1 ratio to LARIAT LAA ligation plus PVAI or to PVAI alone. Enrollment criteria included longstanding persistent and symptomatic AFib and prior failure of ablation therapy. AA was defined as freedom from more than 30 seconds of AFib, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia 12 months after treatment without new or increased dosages of antiarrhythmia therapy.

The primary safety endpoint was a composite of serious adverse events within 30 days of placement of the LARIAT device. Technical success was defined as ≤1 mm (+/– 1 mm) residual communication between the LAA and the left atrium.

At 12 months, AA was achieved in 59.9% of those treated with PVAI alone and 64.3% in those who received the LARIAT ligation procedure in addition to PVAI. The P value for superiority was not significant (P = .835).

At 3.4%, the incidence of serious events at 30 days was considered reasonable, leading Dr. Wilber, director of electrophysiology at Loyola University in Chicago, to conclude that the LARIAT system “appears safe.” Overall, bleeding events requiring intervention occurred in 2.2%, cardiac structural injuries requiring surgery occurred in 0.8%, and vascular injuries requiring surgery occurred in 0.3%.

Technical success at 30 days was achieved by the study definition in 81%. If defined as a residual communication of 5 mm or less, the technical success rate was 99%.

Two groups appeared to potentially benefit in exploratory analyses. When stratified by AFib duration, there was a relative 7.5% reduction in AA for those who received LARIAT plus PVAI relative to PVAI alone. This trended towards statistical significance (P = .084), but no advantage was seen for those with longer duration of AFib.

For those with a median volume of at least133 cm³, the advantage of LARIAT for the primary endpoint was 12.4%. This also trended toward significance (P = .093). Conversely, there was a numerical disadvantage for LARIAT plus PVAI relative to PVAI alone for AA at 12 months.

While Dr. Wilber stressed that these analyses were not prespecified and require further exploration, he did conclude that strategies to build on the current success of PVAI with adjunctive strategies “may require some individualization,” taking into account patient or disease characteristics that exert an impact on risk of recurrent AA.

As an AHA-invited discussant on this trial, Usha B. Tedrow, MD, director of the clinical cardiac electrophysiology fellowship at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, reiterated that this study failed to meet its primary endpoint, but she agreed with the premise that “some subgroups may benefit.”

She identified several aspects of AFib pathophysiology involving the pulmonary vein and the LAA as well as prior studies that suggest the LAA might be a target for adjunctive therapy in patients treated with PVAI for persistent AFib. On this basis, she suggested that there might be other directions to explore before ruling out a role of the LARIAT device in all patients. For example, PVAI plus LARIAT ligation plus another adjunctive ablation intervention might be considered to add durable rhythm control.

She also said that the rigorous conduct of the aMAZE trial might have been a relative obstacle to its own success. Although she praised the meticulous design and conduct of the trial, it might have resulted in an uncommon benefit in controls that diluted the results.

“The success rate in the PVAI group in aMAZE was higher than standard ablation in previous studies looking at LAA exclusion. Could the strict protocol have played a role?” she asked.

Dr. Wilbur reports financial relationships with Abbott, Biosense Webster, Boston Scientific, and AtriCure, which provided funding for this study. Dr. Tedrow reports financial relationships with Abbott, Baylis Medical, Boston Scientific, Biosense Webster, and Thermedical.

In patients treated for persistent atrial fibrillation (AFib) with pulmonary vein antral isolation (PVAI), there was a numerical but not a statistical advantage for adjunctive left atrial appendage (LAA) ligation in a multicenter randomized trial.

SilkenOne/Thinkstock.com

The study, called aMAZE, was conducted with the LARIAT LAA (AtriCure) ligation system. AtriCure announced in August that the primary efficacy endpoint was not met; the full results were presented Nov. 14 at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

Exploratory analyses suggested that some subgroups might benefit, but the overall 4.3% advantage provided by adjunctive LAA ligation for freedom from atrial arrhythmias (AA) at 12 months “did not meet predefined criteria for superiority,” according to coprincipal investigator David J. Wilber, MD.

Based on evidence that the LAA contributes substrate for generation of persistent AFib, the hypothesis of the study was that LAA ligation would improve on long-term rhythm control achieved with PVAI alone, which Dr. Wilber noted is currently suboptimal. The LARIAT device is deployed percutaneously into the LAA sac, where it seals off the opening to the left atrium, potentially blocking a pathway for rhythm disturbances.

The study randomized 610 patients at 53 sites in the United States in a 2:1 ratio to LARIAT LAA ligation plus PVAI or to PVAI alone. Enrollment criteria included longstanding persistent and symptomatic AFib and prior failure of ablation therapy. AA was defined as freedom from more than 30 seconds of AFib, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia 12 months after treatment without new or increased dosages of antiarrhythmia therapy.

The primary safety endpoint was a composite of serious adverse events within 30 days of placement of the LARIAT device. Technical success was defined as ≤1 mm (+/– 1 mm) residual communication between the LAA and the left atrium.

At 12 months, AA was achieved in 59.9% of those treated with PVAI alone and 64.3% in those who received the LARIAT ligation procedure in addition to PVAI. The P value for superiority was not significant (P = .835).

At 3.4%, the incidence of serious events at 30 days was considered reasonable, leading Dr. Wilber, director of electrophysiology at Loyola University in Chicago, to conclude that the LARIAT system “appears safe.” Overall, bleeding events requiring intervention occurred in 2.2%, cardiac structural injuries requiring surgery occurred in 0.8%, and vascular injuries requiring surgery occurred in 0.3%.

Technical success at 30 days was achieved by the study definition in 81%. If defined as a residual communication of 5 mm or less, the technical success rate was 99%.

Two groups appeared to potentially benefit in exploratory analyses. When stratified by AFib duration, there was a relative 7.5% reduction in AA for those who received LARIAT plus PVAI relative to PVAI alone. This trended towards statistical significance (P = .084), but no advantage was seen for those with longer duration of AFib.

For those with a median volume of at least133 cm³, the advantage of LARIAT for the primary endpoint was 12.4%. This also trended toward significance (P = .093). Conversely, there was a numerical disadvantage for LARIAT plus PVAI relative to PVAI alone for AA at 12 months.

While Dr. Wilber stressed that these analyses were not prespecified and require further exploration, he did conclude that strategies to build on the current success of PVAI with adjunctive strategies “may require some individualization,” taking into account patient or disease characteristics that exert an impact on risk of recurrent AA.

As an AHA-invited discussant on this trial, Usha B. Tedrow, MD, director of the clinical cardiac electrophysiology fellowship at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, reiterated that this study failed to meet its primary endpoint, but she agreed with the premise that “some subgroups may benefit.”

She identified several aspects of AFib pathophysiology involving the pulmonary vein and the LAA as well as prior studies that suggest the LAA might be a target for adjunctive therapy in patients treated with PVAI for persistent AFib. On this basis, she suggested that there might be other directions to explore before ruling out a role of the LARIAT device in all patients. For example, PVAI plus LARIAT ligation plus another adjunctive ablation intervention might be considered to add durable rhythm control.

She also said that the rigorous conduct of the aMAZE trial might have been a relative obstacle to its own success. Although she praised the meticulous design and conduct of the trial, it might have resulted in an uncommon benefit in controls that diluted the results.

“The success rate in the PVAI group in aMAZE was higher than standard ablation in previous studies looking at LAA exclusion. Could the strict protocol have played a role?” she asked.

Dr. Wilbur reports financial relationships with Abbott, Biosense Webster, Boston Scientific, and AtriCure, which provided funding for this study. Dr. Tedrow reports financial relationships with Abbott, Baylis Medical, Boston Scientific, Biosense Webster, and Thermedical.

In patients treated for persistent atrial fibrillation (AFib) with pulmonary vein antral isolation (PVAI), there was a numerical but not a statistical advantage for adjunctive left atrial appendage (LAA) ligation in a multicenter randomized trial.

SilkenOne/Thinkstock.com

The study, called aMAZE, was conducted with the LARIAT LAA (AtriCure) ligation system. AtriCure announced in August that the primary efficacy endpoint was not met; the full results were presented Nov. 14 at the American Heart Association scientific sessions.

Exploratory analyses suggested that some subgroups might benefit, but the overall 4.3% advantage provided by adjunctive LAA ligation for freedom from atrial arrhythmias (AA) at 12 months “did not meet predefined criteria for superiority,” according to coprincipal investigator David J. Wilber, MD.

Based on evidence that the LAA contributes substrate for generation of persistent AFib, the hypothesis of the study was that LAA ligation would improve on long-term rhythm control achieved with PVAI alone, which Dr. Wilber noted is currently suboptimal. The LARIAT device is deployed percutaneously into the LAA sac, where it seals off the opening to the left atrium, potentially blocking a pathway for rhythm disturbances.

The study randomized 610 patients at 53 sites in the United States in a 2:1 ratio to LARIAT LAA ligation plus PVAI or to PVAI alone. Enrollment criteria included longstanding persistent and symptomatic AFib and prior failure of ablation therapy. AA was defined as freedom from more than 30 seconds of AFib, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia 12 months after treatment without new or increased dosages of antiarrhythmia therapy.

The primary safety endpoint was a composite of serious adverse events within 30 days of placement of the LARIAT device. Technical success was defined as ≤1 mm (+/– 1 mm) residual communication between the LAA and the left atrium.

At 12 months, AA was achieved in 59.9% of those treated with PVAI alone and 64.3% in those who received the LARIAT ligation procedure in addition to PVAI. The P value for superiority was not significant (P = .835).

At 3.4%, the incidence of serious events at 30 days was considered reasonable, leading Dr. Wilber, director of electrophysiology at Loyola University in Chicago, to conclude that the LARIAT system “appears safe.” Overall, bleeding events requiring intervention occurred in 2.2%, cardiac structural injuries requiring surgery occurred in 0.8%, and vascular injuries requiring surgery occurred in 0.3%.

Technical success at 30 days was achieved by the study definition in 81%. If defined as a residual communication of 5 mm or less, the technical success rate was 99%.

Two groups appeared to potentially benefit in exploratory analyses. When stratified by AFib duration, there was a relative 7.5% reduction in AA for those who received LARIAT plus PVAI relative to PVAI alone. This trended towards statistical significance (P = .084), but no advantage was seen for those with longer duration of AFib.

For those with a median volume of at least133 cm³, the advantage of LARIAT for the primary endpoint was 12.4%. This also trended toward significance (P = .093). Conversely, there was a numerical disadvantage for LARIAT plus PVAI relative to PVAI alone for AA at 12 months.

While Dr. Wilber stressed that these analyses were not prespecified and require further exploration, he did conclude that strategies to build on the current success of PVAI with adjunctive strategies “may require some individualization,” taking into account patient or disease characteristics that exert an impact on risk of recurrent AA.

As an AHA-invited discussant on this trial, Usha B. Tedrow, MD, director of the clinical cardiac electrophysiology fellowship at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, reiterated that this study failed to meet its primary endpoint, but she agreed with the premise that “some subgroups may benefit.”

She identified several aspects of AFib pathophysiology involving the pulmonary vein and the LAA as well as prior studies that suggest the LAA might be a target for adjunctive therapy in patients treated with PVAI for persistent AFib. On this basis, she suggested that there might be other directions to explore before ruling out a role of the LARIAT device in all patients. For example, PVAI plus LARIAT ligation plus another adjunctive ablation intervention might be considered to add durable rhythm control.

She also said that the rigorous conduct of the aMAZE trial might have been a relative obstacle to its own success. Although she praised the meticulous design and conduct of the trial, it might have resulted in an uncommon benefit in controls that diluted the results.

“The success rate in the PVAI group in aMAZE was higher than standard ablation in previous studies looking at LAA exclusion. Could the strict protocol have played a role?” she asked.

Dr. Wilbur reports financial relationships with Abbott, Biosense Webster, Boston Scientific, and AtriCure, which provided funding for this study. Dr. Tedrow reports financial relationships with Abbott, Baylis Medical, Boston Scientific, Biosense Webster, and Thermedical.